Framework Journal · one stock, one dated entry

Recorded 2024-06-30 · Permanent

Australian Oilseeds Holdings Limited COOT

Outside both standards

An entry written while the outcome is still unknown. It will be scored by what the market does next, and it will never be edited to look cleverer than it was.

In plain words · Australian Oilseeds Holdings Limited, through its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells chemical free, non-genetically modified organism, and sustainable edible oils and products derived from oilseeds worldwide.

The label
Accumulation

read at $0.43

Australian Oilseeds Holdings Limited holds its Accumulation at $0.43.

PHINPOOPSC
  • PHPhase · the trend structure carries the Accumulation label
  • INInsiders · no filings inside 60 days, left as found
  • POPositioning · no disclosures inside 60 days, left as found
  • OPOptions · no verdict drawn today, left as found
  • SCScreen · does not pass the values gate
  • edge confirmed
  • edge broken
  • edge forming

Each arm is one independent read. Conviction is not a single call, it is how many edges converge.

The investor read · the season, not the day

As held on the ledger · 2024-06-30
PhaseAccumulation
Quantitative stateThe statistical read favours the sellers, held for 18 days
Price$0.43
ValuationN/A trailing · N/A forward price to earnings
Values screenFAIL · score 70.0
Beta0.13

The business, in plain words · what the numbers mean

The fundamentals · plain-English read
Revenue growth9.8%
steady growth
Profit margin-6.5%
currently unprofitable
Return on equity-136.4%
not currently earning a positive return on equity
Debt to equity5.59
heavy leverage — higher risk if revenue softens
Current ratio0.59
below 1 — short-term bills exceed liquid assets
Beta0.13
barely tracks the market's swings
Market cap$13M
Employees16

The risks · The things to watch: it's a small-cap, so the share price can swing harder than the market; its business and earnings are exposed to Australia and to currency swings; it carries a real debt load, which raises the stakes if revenue slips.

Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.

Related securities · others in COOT's space worth a look

Screened names in the same industry · explore each on its own page.

The trader read · the latest dated commentary

The framework reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 32.5% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B. Technically it is momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are down 20%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 30%. Entered 2026-07-25 · Markdown

The dated journal · newest first, never edited

2026-07-25 Markdown $0.43 -32.5% Entry 4

The framework reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 32.5% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B. Technically it is momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are down 20%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 30%.

2026-07-18 Markdown $0.64 +0.0% Entry 3

The framework reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B. Technically it is momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are down 20%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 30%.

2026-07-03 Markdown $0.64 +0.0% Entry 2

The framework reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns.

2026-07-02 Markdown $0.64 Entry 1

The framework reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns.

Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.

What holding actually paid · price plus dividends

If $1,000 had been placed · historical, not a promise
PeriodPrice thenPrice returnDivs per share$1,000 becameTotal return
1 month $0.63 -3.2% · $968 -3.2%
2 months $0.57 +7.8% · $1,078 +7.8%
3 months $0.86 -29.1% · $709 -29.1%
6 months $0.82 -25.6% · $744 -25.6%
1 year $0.76 -19.9% · $801 -19.9%
2 years $1.01 -39.6% · $604 -39.6%
3 years $10.93 -94.4% · $56 -94.4%
5 years $10.07 -93.9% · $61 -93.9%

Historical returns from market close data. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

This entry now belongs to the ledger. Whatever COOT does next, these words stay.

Australian Oilseeds Holdings Limited · COOT · Accumulation · $0.43
Recorded 2024-06-30 · before the outcome · scored mechanically

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