Framework Journal · one stock, one dated entry

Recorded 2026-08-13 · Permanent

CONMED Corporation logoCONMED Corporation CNMD

Outside both standards

An entry written while the outcome is still unknown. It will be scored by what the market does next, and it will never be edited to look cleverer than it was.

In plain words · CONMED Corporation, a medical technology company, develops, manufactures, and sells devices and equipment for surgical procedures.

The label
Markup

read at $49.82

CONMED Corporation holds its Markup at $49.82.

PHINPOOPSC
  • PHPhase · the trend structure carries the Markup label
  • INInsiders · no filings inside 60 days, left as found
  • POPositioning · no disclosures inside 60 days, left as found
  • OPOptions · no verdict drawn today, left as found
  • SCScreen · does not pass the values gate
  • edge confirmed
  • edge broken
  • edge forming

Each arm is one independent read. Conviction is not a single call, it is how many edges converge.

The investor read · the season, not the day

As held on the ledger · 2026-08-13
PhaseMarkup
Quantitative stateThe statistical read favours the sellers, held for 16 days
Price$49.82
Valuation26.93 trailing · 10.42 forward price to earnings
Values screenFAIL · score 70.0
Beta0.90

The opportunity · what the numbers say it is worth

Read at
$49.82
26.93 P/E · 10.42 fwd
Our fair value
$49.00
2% premium
Analyst target (avg)
$45.00
-10% to current
Target low $43.00Analyst target rangeTarget high $49.00
▲ current $49.82 · | average target

Price history & projections · where it has been, where the models see it going

$139$83$28TODAY5y agoPROJECTIONConservative$49.00 +36%Our fair value$49.00 +36%Analyst high$49.00 +36%Analyst avg$45.00 +25%

The valuation journey · where the price sits against fair value and the Street

Current
$49.82
you are here
Conservative
$49.00
-2%
Analyst avg
$45.00
-10%
Our fair value
$49.00
-2%
Analyst high
$49.00
-2%

Green marks levels above today's price, red below; the shaded band is the gap between the price and our fair value.

Reading the gap · Both our model and the Street see limited upside at this price.

Revenue growth0.30%
Profit margin4.12%
Debt to equity80.11
Analyst consensusHold · 6 covering

Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; target range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.

The values screen, explained · five checks, plain English

This company is excluded by both standards. There are two widely recognised ways to check whether a company is suitable for a Muslim investor. It fails on both:

The common standard · AAOIFI
Used by most halal investing apps
✗ DOES NOT PASS
Our stricter standard · asset-based
The one Titan applies
✗ DOES NOT PASS

Why it fails. The problem is its debt ratio. Because both standards agree on this, it is a clear exclusion, not a borderline case.

What these two standards are, and how they differ →

  • Business activity Its core business isn't built on prohibited lines — no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending. Pass
  • Debt load Interest-bearing debt is 35.9% of its assets, above the one-third ceiling the screen allows. Fail
  • Interest-bearing cash Cash held in interest-bearing accounts and securities is 0.0% of assets, under the one-third limit. Pass
  • Receivables Money owed to the company is 12.4% of assets, under the 49% limit. Pass
  • Revenue purity Only 0.0% of revenue comes from non-compliant sources — under the 5% line. Pass

Every security is read against two recognised standards: our stricter asset-based screen (ratios measured against total assets) and the more widely used market-value standard (measured against market capitalisation). Where they agree we say so plainly; where they part ways — almost always on the debt check — we show both readings and mark it, because that disagreement is the finding, not a fault. We report the score; you and your scholar make the call.

The business, in plain words · what the numbers mean

Hospital gear maker shows little spark for growth

Picture a surgeon reaching for a tool that barely moves the needle on outcomes or orders. CONMED sits in that spot, selling devices into operating rooms with revenue already slipping one percent and returns on equity stuck at five percent. The ethical screen clears it, yet the business shows no real competitive edge and margins of just four percent leave little room for error or investment.

Forward earnings sit at nine times but that multiple reflects a company treading water rather than a bargain. Analysts see it the same way, holding a consensus target right at our own fair value of forty dollars while the shares trade a touch higher. Opportunity rating sits at none for good reason.

Any recovery would still run into slow procedure volumes and pricing pressure that medical suppliers face every cycle. Low returns like these often signal a value trap, not a hidden winner. Analysis, not advice.

The fundamentals · plain-English read
Forward P/E10.4x
expensive even after accounting for its growth
Trailing P/E26.9x
a premium valuation
Revenue growth0.3%
slow but positive growth
Profit margin4.1%
barely profitable
Return on equity5.5%
a modest return on shareholder capital
Debt to equity0.80
moderate, manageable leverage
Current ratio1.48
adequate liquidity, worth monitoring
Beta0.90
steadier than the market
Market cap$1.5B
Employees3,900

The risks · The things to watch: it's a small-cap, so the share price can swing harder than the market.

Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.

Related securities · others in CNMD's space worth a look

Screened names in the same industry · explore each on its own page.

Where & how to trade · wherever in the world you are

CNMD trades on the NYSE. As a US-listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering US markets. New to this, or investing from outside the US? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.

The trader read · the latest dated commentary

The framework reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved up 24.2% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading bearish. Over the past year the shares are down 39%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 15%. The street (5 analysts) rates it hold, with a mean price target of $40. Entered 2026-07-25 · Markdown

The dated journal · newest first, never edited

2026-07-25 Markdown $43.20 +24.2% Entry 4

The framework reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved up 24.2% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading bearish. Over the past year the shares are down 39%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 15%. The street (5 analysts) rates it hold, with a mean price target of $40.

2026-07-18 Markdown $34.77 +0.0% Entry 3

The framework reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading bearish. Over the past year the shares are down 39%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 15%. The street (5 analysts) rates it hold, with a mean price target of $40.

2026-07-03 Markdown $34.77 +0.0% Entry 2

The framework reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns.

2026-07-02 Markdown $34.77 Entry 1

The framework reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns.

Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.

What holding actually paid · price plus dividends

If $1,000 had been placed · historical, not a promise
PeriodPrice thenPrice returnDivs per share$1,000 becameTotal return
1 month $35.23 +2.1% · $1,021 +2.1%
2 months $36.74 -2.1% · $979 -2.1%
3 months $36.73 -2.1% · $979 -2.1%
6 months $39.85 -9.7% · $903 -9.7%
1 year $58.93 -39.0% $0.40 $617 -38.3%
2 years $73.04 -50.8% $1.20 $509 -49.1%
3 years $128.97 -72.1% $2.00 $294 -70.6%
5 years $131.47 -72.6% $3.60 $301 -69.9%

Historical returns from market close data. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

This entry now belongs to the ledger. Whatever CNMD does next, these words stay.

CONMED Corporation · CNMD · Markup · $49.82
Recorded 2026-08-13 · before the outcome · scored mechanically

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