NAS10029,447+1.73%S&P7,638+1.14%GOLD$4,412+0.27%BTC$77,965+2.04%VIX15.48+0.26%live tape · as of 13:00 UTC
The Screen · Technology · Software - Infrastructure
Akamai Technologies
AKAM · a US exchange · USD · Market cap $15.9B · 11,419 employees
Akamai Technologies, Inc.
FAIL · Does not pass the screen
110.75 USD
At the last full screen 2026-09-09
Screened 2026-09-09 · the tape above runs as of 13:00 UTC · two dates, stated on purpose · verdict and workings shown in full · never trimmed
The Label · The Season, Not the Day
This name holds its distribution label.
Akamai Technologies holds its Distribution at $110.75. The statistical read favours the sellers, held for 21 days.
As held on the ledger · 2026-09-09
Phase
Distribution · caution
Quantitative state
The statistical read favours the sellers, held for 21 days
Price at the screen
$110.75
Valuation
40.13 trailing · 15.41 forward price to earnings
Values screen
FAIL· score 10.0
Beta
0.64
The Workings
Five Screens, Shown in Full
Does not pass. Debt ratio
Test
Figure
Limit
What it means
Status
Business activity
Permissible
Core business clean
Its core business isn't built on prohibited lines: no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending.
Pass
Debt load
49.44%
Below 33%
Interest-bearing debt is 49.4% of its assets, above the one-third ceiling the screen allows.
Fail
Interest-bearing cash
6.39%
Below 33%
Cash held in interest-bearing accounts and securities is 6.4% of assets, under the one-third limit.
Pass
Receivables
13.14%
Below 49%
Money owed to the company is 13.1% of assets, under the 49% limit.
Pass
Revenue purity
1.68%
Below 5%
Only 1.7% of revenue comes from non-compliant sources, under the 5% line.
Pass
Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.
What the Numbers Say It Is Worth
The Fair Value Range
Our framework reads AVOID: it trades at roughly a 54% discount to our $170.93 fair value, narrow competitive moat, 5.40% revenue growth.
Fair value range in USD, drawn from the 2026-09-09 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. A 54.3% margin of safety to the base estimate.
Third-party analyst targets: 23 covering, consensus Buy. The average target sits +40% from the screen price.
Reading the gap · Both our model and the analysts see meaningful upside from here.
Price History & Projections
Where it has been, where the models see it going. History from market close data; projection points are our fair-value estimates and third-party analyst targets, dated to the 2026-09-09 screen.
Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.
The Business, in Plain Words
Web delivery giant trips on ethical debt test
Every time you stream video or load a secure checkout, Akamai moves the traffic. Yet we are staying away. The shares trade at a 46 percent discount to our fair value, but that gap does not outweigh the red flags.
Revenue is growing just 6 percent, margins sit at 10 percent and return on equity is only 9 percent. A narrow moat and forward multiple of 16.7 times do not scream cheap when growth is this modest. The decisive issue is the ethical screen, which fails on the debt ratio.
Analysts may still like the name and point to a 165 dollar median target, but we do not override a clear ethical fail. That screen exists for exactly these cases. Analysis, not advice.
The risks · The things to watch: it carries a real debt load, which raises the stakes if revenue slips.
Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.
Where & How to Trade
AKAM trades on a US exchange. As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.
The framework has shifted from markup to distribution since the last review. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved up 1.7% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 59% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are up 69%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 31%. The street (22 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $157.
2026-07-21Markup$120.19-19.5%Entry 5
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 19.5% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it A, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 59% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are up 69%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 31%. The street (22 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $157.
2026-07-18Markup$149.32+0.0%Entry 4
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it A, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 59% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are up 69%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 31%. The street (22 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $157.
2026-07-17Markup$149.32+0.0%Entry 3
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it A, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 59% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are up 69%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 31%. The street (22 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $157.
2026-07-03Markup$149.32+0.0%Entry 2
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns.
2026-07-02Markup$149.32Entry 1
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.
