Positioning no disclosures inside 60 days, left as found
Options no verdict drawn today, left as found
Ethical does not pass the values gate
Price150.85 USD
Fair value211.56
Ethical score70.0/100
Our investment reviews on this name
2026-08-11Read Distribution150.870.0% to today ✓
2026-07-02Read Accumulation162.10-6.9% to today
Our analytic regime reads on this name, dated and marked against the screened price. Small sample per name, and separate from the daily-framework accuracy on the Track Record page.
Reddit Inc holds its Accumulation at $150.85. The statistical read favours the sellers, held for 269 days.
As held on the ledger · 2026-09-18
Phase
Accumulation
Quantitative state
The statistical read favours the sellers, held for 269 days
Price at the screen
$150.85
Valuation
35.08 trailing · 15.57 forward price to earnings
Values screen
FAIL· score 70.0
Beta
2.02
The Workings
Five Screens, Shown in Full
Does not pass. Interest-bearing securities
Test
Figure
Limit
What it means
Status
Business activity
Permissible
Core business clean
Its core business isn't built on prohibited lines: no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending.
Pass
Debt load
0.72%
Below 33%
Interest-bearing debt is just 0.7% of its assets, well under the one-third ceiling: it does not run on borrowed money.
Pass
Interest-bearing cash
47.03%
Below 33%
Interest-bearing cash and securities are 47.0% of assets, above the one-third limit.
Fail
Receivables
47.66%
Below 49%
Money owed to the company is 47.7% of assets, under the 49% limit.
Pass
Revenue purity
0.00%
Below 5%
Only 0.0% of revenue comes from non-compliant sources, under the 5% line.
Pass
Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.
Fair value range in USD, drawn from the 2026-09-18 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. A 40.2% margin of safety to the base estimate.
Third-party analyst targets: 33 covering, consensus Buy. The average target sits +39% from the screen price.
Reading the gap · Both our model and the analysts see meaningful upside from here.
Price History & Projections
Where it has been, where the models see it going. History from market close data; projection points are our fair-value estimates and third-party analyst targets, dated to the 2026-09-18 screen.
Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.
The Business, in Plain Words
Reddit turns online chatter into a real business
Picture a giant town square where millions drop in daily to swap tips, argue sports or sell old gear. Reddit has built exactly that and turned the footfall into fast revenue growth of 69 percent. The platform now clears a 29 percent profit margin and delivers 26 percent return on equity, all while passing the ethical screen with a narrow moat intact.
Those numbers explain why the shares sit below our fair value of 217.84 against a current price of 181.18 and why 32 analysts still carry a buy consensus with a 235 median target. Forward earnings sit at a reasonable 19.8 times, so the growth is not being ignored by the market.
Yet the opportunity rating stays at none. A narrow moat leaves room for bigger platforms to copy features or siphon users, and any slowdown in advertising spend would hit margins quickly. The valuation already prices in continued expansion.
The risks · The things to watch: it already moves more than the market on an average day.
Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.
Where & How to Trade
RDDT trades on the NYSE. As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.
The Dated Journal · Newest First, Never Edited
Every Entry, As Written
2026-09-11Distribution$162.45+7.7%Entry 5
The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved up 7.7% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are up 47%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 40%. The street (31 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $225.
The framework has shifted from accumulation to distribution since the last review. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 6.9% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are up 47%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 40%. The street (31 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $225.
2026-07-18Accumulation$162.10+0.0%Entry 3
The framework reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are up 47%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 40%. The street (31 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $225.
2026-07-03Accumulation$162.10+0.0%Entry 2
The framework reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns.
2026-07-02Accumulation$162.10Entry 1
The framework reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.
