7203.T
Toyota Motor
Consumer Discretionary · Automobile Manufacturers · TSE
$2,913.00
Close 2026-05-09
✗ ETHICAL FAIL

UNKNOWN MOAT
HIGH
Data Confidence: 100%
Full financial profile available
Market Cap
$34.5T
Trailing P/E
9.86
Forward P/E
8.98
Rev Growth
+1.9%
Profit Margin
7.6%
ROE
10.2%
Analyst Target
$3,827.44
Recommendation
BUY
About Toyota Motor

Toyota Motor Corporation designs, manufactures, assembles, and sells passenger vehicles, minivans and commercial vehicles, and related parts and accessories in Japan, North America, Europe, Asia, Central and South America, Oceania, Africa, the Middle East, and internationally. It operates through Automotive, Financial Services, and All Other segments.

Opportunity Summary
Trading at $2913 against a fair value of $3633, a 20% discount. Fails ethical screen (Debt ratio 41.4%). Ranks better than 67% of screened stocks.
Ethical Screen
Business ActivityPASS
Debt Ratio (0.41%)FAIL
Cash Ratio (0.10%)PASS
Receivables Ratio (0.24%)PASS
Revenue Ratio (0.01%)PASS
OverallFAIL
Score Ethical: 10.0
Score Valuation: 90.5
Score Quality: 41.0
Score Combined: 45.4
Fair Value Est: $3,633.17 · Margin of Safety: +24.7% · Tier: AVOID

Full Analysis

Opportunity scores, earnings history, insider transactions, institutional holders, analyst consensus, and more.

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Opportunity Scores
Valuation100.0
Quality25.6
Cash Flow0.0
Moat40.0
Balance Sheet0.0
Debt Purity0.0
Liquid Purity70.9
Rev Purity89.8
Compliance47.3
Tier: BRONZE · Score: 54.6 · Rank: #923
Earnings History (Last 8 Quarters)
DateEPS Est.Reported EPSSurprise %
2026-08-0672.97Pending--
2026-05-0852.6662.70+19.1%
2026-02-0674.0596.48+30.3%
2025-11-0550.0871.51+42.8%
2025-08-0653.3364.56+21.1%
2025-05-0841.1551.61+25.4%
2025-02-0498.79165.80+67.8%
2024-11-0572.6943.16-40.6%
Quarterly Financials
PeriodRevenueNet IncomeEBITDAGross ProfitOp. IncomeEPS
2026-03-31$12.6T$817.2B$1.6T$1.9T$569.5B
2025-12-31$13.5T$1.3T$2.4T$2.4T$1.2T
2025-09-30$12.4T$932.1B$1.8T$2.0T$839.6B
2025-06-30$12.3T$841.3B$1.8T$2.2T$1.2T64.56
2025-03-31$12.4T$664.7B$1.5T$2.3T$1.1T
Insider Transactions
DateNameRoleSharesValue
2022-02-28Toyota Motor Corp--
2019-11-06Toyota Motor Corp416,184,731--
2019-08-05Toyota Motor Corp12,816,600$847.3M
2019-06-21Toyota Motor Corp8,099,800$505.9M
2019-01-30Toyota Motor Corp--
2018-11-06Toyota Motor Corp--
2018-03-31Toyota Motor Corp--
2017-09-30Toyota Motor Corp--
2015-09-30Toyota Motor Corp25,570,794--
2013-12-31Toyota Motor Corp--
Top Institutional Holders
HolderSharesValue% Held
Pacer Advisors, Inc.188.7K$563.7M
Williams Jones Wealth Management, LLC.15.0K$44.8M
Analyst Recommendations
3 Months Ago
3
9
5
17 analysts
2 Months Ago
3
9
5
17 analysts
Last Month
3
9
5
17 analysts
Current
4
9
5
18 analysts
Strong Buy Buy Hold Sell Strong Sell
Additional Fundamentals
Enterprise Value
$69.4T
Price/Book
0.98
Beta
0.327
Analysts
18
Total Revenue (TTM)
$50.7T
Total Debt
$43.2T
Earnings Growth
+23.2%
Dividend Yield
343.0%
Rec. Mean
1.78

Elite Intelligence

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Trade Consideration
The Opportunity
Score 45.4 (P62 — top 38.0% of scored tickers). Unknown Moat. Ethical FAIL. 18 analysts at Buy.
Price: $2,913.00 | Target: $3,827.44 (+31%) | Fair Value: $3,633.17 (+25%)
Score
45
Moat
Unknown
Conviction
Standard
Upside
+31%
The Fundamentals
Revenue Growth+1.9%
Profit Margin0.0%
ROE10.2%
Forward P/E9.0
Market Cap$34.5T
Earnings Track Record
DateEstimateReportedSurprise
2026-08-06$72.97Pending
2026-05-08$52.66$62.70+19.1%
2026-02-06$74.05$96.48+30.3%
2025-11-05$50.08$71.51+42.8%
2025-08-06$53.33$64.56+21.1%
2025-05-08$41.15$51.61+25.4%
Position Sizing Scenarios
Stop: $2,476.05 (-15%) | Entry: $2,913.00
SharesCostProfit to TargetR:R
To Consensus ($3,827.44, 18 analysts)
10$29,130.00+$9,144.40 (31%)2.1R
50$145,650.00+$45,722.00 (31%)2.1R
100$291,300.00+$91,444.00 (31%)2.1R
To Fair Value ($3,633.17)
10$29,130.00+$7,201.70 (25%)1.6R
50$145,650.00+$36,008.50 (25%)1.6R
100$291,300.00+$72,017.00 (25%)1.6R
Risk Factors
  • No elevated risk flags in current data
The Verdict
Toyota Motor holds a unknown competitive moat.
Quantitative Grade

A single score combining all analytical layers below. A is strongest, D is weakest.

C
Quant Score
45.0
Risk Grade
LOW_RISK
Layers
8
Quality: CONSISTENT_BEATER
Risk Profile

How much could this ticker lose on a bad day? These metrics measure worst-case scenarios from historical data.

VaR 95%
-3.5%
worst expected daily loss, 19 in 20 days
CVaR 95%
-5.1%
avg loss on the worst 5% of days
Annual Volatility
Sortino Ratio
-0.14
above 1.0 is good
Max Drawdown
-35.3%
Worst Day
Forward Outlook

Based on 10,000 simulated price paths, here is the probability of where this ticker could be in 30, 60, and 90 days.

30d Prob Up
90d Prob Up
Median Return 30d
Liquidity Score
72
Liquidity Grade
LIQUID
Trend & Momentum

What direction is this ticker actually moving, filtered through noise? Is it speeding up or slowing down?

Kalman Trend
Trend Strength
Momentum Signal
HMM Regime
RSI Signal
Technical Signals

Classic chart signals that institutional traders monitor. Golden Cross is bullish, Death Cross is bearish.

MA Crossover
ABOVE_200
Bollinger Position
UPPER_HALF
Beta
Relative Volume
2.1x
Short Interest
Financial Health

Is this company financially sound? The Z-Score measures bankruptcy risk. The F-Score measures fundamental strength.

Altman Z-Score
below 1.81 = distress zone
Piotroski F-Score
Earnings Beat Rate
87.5%
Earnings Consistency
Correlations

These tickers tend to move together (positive) or in opposite directions (negative). Useful for portfolio diversification.

Most Correlated
TickerCorrelation
6902.T0.797
7267.T0.778
7270.T0.770
7261.T0.753
8015.T0.719
Inverse Correlated
TickerCorrelation
BAES.L-0.213
ENSV-0.157
GINS.KW-0.152
LGN-0.148
BLSH-0.128
Seasonality

Does this ticker have consistent patterns on certain days or months? Historical tendencies, not guarantees.

Best Day
Tuesday
Worst Day
Monday
Best Month
Dec
Worst Month
Mar
Fri-Mon Effect
0.29568636883046107
Earnings Drift

After this company beats earnings, does the price keep going up? Drift tracks post-earnings momentum.

Avg Drift After Beat
+0.1%
Beat Drift Positive %
50.0%
Consistency
Momentum Rankings

How does this ticker's recent performance compare to the entire universe? Ranked across 1, 3, 6, and 12-month returns.

1M Return
-7.9%
3M Return
-17.8%
6M Return
-4.1%
12M Return
+9.3%
Momentum Rank
#3633
Momentum Signal
DOWN

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