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The Screen · Industrials · Specialty Industrial Machinery
Fanuc Corporation
6954.T · TSE · JPY · Market cap $6.49T
Fanuc Corporation engages in the development, manufacture, sale, and maintenance services of products used in automated production systems in Japan, the United States, Europe, China, the rest of Asia, and internationally.
Not yet scored
5,852.00 JPY
Screen close, 2026-09-18 · not a live quote Last reviewed 18 days ago
Screened 2026-09-18 · the tape above runs as of 09:09 UTC · two dates, stated on purpose · verdict and workings shown in full · never trimmed
PRICE · FAIR-VALUE RANGE1M3M6MYTD1Y3Y5Y
What this means: price 5,852.00 against the desk's fair-value range, base estimate 5,024.68, over the last year.
Positioning no disclosures inside 60 days, left as found
Options no verdict drawn today, left as found
Ethical screen not yet scored
Price5,852.00 JPY
Fair value5,024.68
Ethical score70.0/100
RatingAVOID
Our investment reviews on this name
2026-10-02Read Markdown5,852.00+0.0% to today
2026-08-23Read Distribution6,950.00-15.8% to today ✓
2026-07-16Read Markup6,950.00-15.8% to today
Our analytic regime reads on this name, dated and marked against the screened price. Small sample per name, and separate from the daily-framework accuracy on the Track Record page.
Fanuc Corporation holds its Accumulation at $5,852.00. Consolidating, no directional conviction, held for 20 days.
As held on the ledger · 2026-09-18
Phase
Accumulation
Quantitative state
Consolidating, no directional conviction, held for 20 days
Price at the screen
$5,852.00
Valuation
32.76 trailing · 33.81 forward price to earnings
Values screen
Not scored· score 70.0
Beta
0.94
The Workings
Five Screens, Shown in Full
This security has not been fully scored against the values screen yet.
Test
Figure
Limit
What it means
Status
Business activity
Permissible
Core business clean
Its core business isn't built on prohibited lines: no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending.
Pass
Debt load
Excluded
Below 33%
Interest-bearing debt is of its assets, above the one-third ceiling the screen allows.
Fail
Interest-bearing cash
10.68%
Below 33%
Cash held in interest-bearing accounts and securities is 10.7% of assets, under the one-third limit.
Pass
Receivables
42.51%
Below 49%
Money owed to the company is 42.5% of assets, under the 49% limit.
Pass
Revenue purity
0.88%
Below 5%
Only 0.9% of revenue comes from non-compliant sources, under the 5% line.
Pass
Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.
The Ethical Read
The Read, in Plain English
Fanuc clears the business-activity screen and the figures we can measure look clean, but its debt figure is still pending, so the verdict is not final yet.
Read as at 2026-10-04. It updates when the underlying figures move, and past reads are kept below.
What the Numbers Say It Is Worth
The Fair Value Range
Our framework reads AVOID: it trades above our $5,024.68 fair value estimate, 10.60% revenue growth.
Fair value range in JPY, drawn from the 2026-09-18 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. The price runs 14.1% above the base estimate.
Third-party analyst targets: 20 covering, consensus Buy. The average target sits +26% from the screen price.
Reading the gap · Our more conservative model reads it as fully-to-richly valued here, while the Street is more bullish: a quality-at-a-fair-price name rather than a deep-value one.
Price History & Projections
Where it has been, where the models see it going. History from market close data; projection points are our fair-value estimates and third-party analyst targets, dated to the 2026-09-18 screen.
Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.
The Business, in Plain Words
Why it gives us pause
At 33.8x forward earnings, the price already runs ahead of the business. It trades 14% above our $5,024.68 fair value, so you would be buying at a premium, not a discount.
The risks · The things to watch: its business and earnings are exposed to Japan and to currency swings.
Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.
Where & How to Trade
6954.T trades on TSE (the company is based in Japan). As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.
The framework has shifted from distribution to markdown since the last review. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 15.8% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 51% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading overbought. Over the past year the shares are up 81%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 32%. The street (20 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $7380. Since the last review it entered the Titan Ethical 500; its composite score rose.
The framework has shifted from markup to distribution since the last review. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 51% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading overbought. Over the past year the shares are up 81%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 32%. The street (20 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $7380.
2026-07-23Markup$6,950.00+0.0%Entry 11
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it A, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 51% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading overbought. Over the past year the shares are up 81%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 32%. The street (20 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $7380. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-07-22Markup$6,950.00+0.0%Entry 10
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it A, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 51% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading overbought. Over the past year the shares are up 81%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 32%. The street (20 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $7380. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-07-21Markup$6,950.00+0.0%Entry 9
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it A, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 51% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading overbought. Over the past year the shares are up 81%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 32%. The street (20 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $7380. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-07-20Markup$6,950.00+0.0%Entry 8
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it A, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 51% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading overbought. Over the past year the shares are up 81%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 32%. The street (20 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $7380. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-07-19Markup$6,950.00+0.0%Entry 7
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it A, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 51% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading overbought. Over the past year the shares are up 81%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 32%. The street (20 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $7380. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-07-18Markup$6,950.00+0.0%Entry 6
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it A, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 51% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading overbought. Over the past year the shares are up 81%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 32%. The street (20 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $7380. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-07-17Markup$6,950.00+0.0%Entry 5
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it A, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 51% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading overbought. Over the past year the shares are up 81%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 32%. The street (20 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $7380. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-07-16Markup$6,950.00+0.0%Entry 4
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it A, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 51% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading overbought. Over the past year the shares are up 81%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 32%. The street (20 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $7380. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.
What Holding Actually Paid · Price Plus Dividends
If $1,000 had been placed · historical, not a promise
Period
Price then
Price return
Divs per share
$1,000 became
Total return
1 month
$7,564.00
-10.6%
·
$894
-10.6%
2 months
$6,249.00
+8.2%
·
$1,082
+8.2%
3 months
$6,164.40
+9.7%
$55.76
$1,106
+10.6%
6 months
$6,253.53
+8.2%
$55.76
$1,090
+9.0%
1 year
$3,727.93
+81.4%
$107.09
$1,843
+84.3%
2 years
$4,177.44
+61.9%
$201.48
$1,667
+66.7%
3 years
$4,735.46
+42.8%
$285.62
$1,489
+48.9%
5 years
$4,699.51
+43.9%
$489.89
$1,543
+54.3%
Historical returns from market close data. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
The Ledger's Promise
This entry now belongs to the ledger. Whatever 6954.T does next, these words stay.
Fanuc Corporation · 6954.T · Accumulation · $5,852.00
Recorded 2026-09-18 · before the outcome · scored mechanically