An entry written while the outcome is still unknown. It will be scored by what the market does next, and it will never be edited to look cleverer than it was.
In plain words · CoreWeave, Inc.
VERDICT
The label
Distribution
read at $70.79
CoreWeave Inc holds its Distribution at $70.79.
PHPhase · the trend structure carries the Distribution label
INInsiders · no filings inside 60 days, left as found
POPositioning · no disclosures inside 60 days, left as found
OPOptions · no verdict drawn today, left as found
SCScreen · does not pass the values gate
edge confirmed
edge broken
edge forming
Each arm is one independent read. Conviction is not a single call, it is how many edges converge.
INVESTOR
The investor read · the season, not the day
As held on the ledger · 2025-12-31
Phase
Distribution · caution
Quantitative state
The statistical read favours the sellers, held for 232 days
Price
$70.79
Valuation
N/A trailing · -44.56 forward price to earnings
Values screen
FAIL· score 70.0
Beta
N/A
OPPORTUNITY
The opportunity · what the numbers say it is worth
Read at
$70.79
N/A P/E · -44.56 fwd
Our fair value
$137.50
94% discount
Analyst target (avg)
$137.50
+94% to current
Target low $36.00Analyst target rangeTarget high $303.00
▲ current $70.79 · | average target
Price history & projections · where it has been, where the models see it going
The valuation journey · where the price sits against fair value and the Street
Current
$70.79
you are here
Conservative
$36.00
-49%
Analyst avg
$137.50
+94%
Our fair value
$137.50
+94%
Analyst high
$303.00
+328%
Green marks levels above today's price, red below; the shaded band is the gap between the price and our fair value.
Reading the gap · Both our model and the analysts see meaningful upside from here.
Revenue growth
111.60%
Profit margin
-25.57%
Debt to equity
738.54
Analyst consensus
Buy · 34 covering
Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; target range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.
SCREEN
The values screen, explained · five checks, plain English
This company is excluded by both standards. There are two widely recognised ways to check whether a company is suitable for a Muslim investor. It fails on both:
The common standard· AAOIFI Used by most halal investing apps✗ DOES NOT PASS
Our stricter standard· asset-based The one Titan applies✗ DOES NOT PASS
Why it fails. The problem is its debt ratio. Because both standards agree on this, it is a clear exclusion, not a borderline case.
Business activityIts core business isn't built on prohibited lines — no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending.Pass
Debt loadInterest-bearing debt is 60.5% of its assets, above the one-third ceiling the screen allows.Fail
Interest-bearing cashCash held in interest-bearing accounts and securities is 0.1% of assets, under the one-third limit.Pass
ReceivablesMoney owed to the company is 12.8% of assets, under the 49% limit.Pass
Revenue purityOnly 0.0% of revenue comes from non-compliant sources — under the 5% line.Pass
Every security is read against two recognised standards: our stricter asset-based screen (ratios measured against total assets) and the more widely used market-value standard (measured against market capitalisation). Where they agree we say so plainly; where they part ways — almost always on the debt check — we show both readings and mark it, because that disagreement is the finding, not a fault. We report the score; you and your scholar make the call.
PLAIN
The business, in plain words · what the numbers mean
AI cloud demand runs into heavy losses
Every time a model trainer spins up fresh GPUs the need for fast flexible capacity rises. CoreWeave built its platform to serve exactly that slice of demand and revenue is rising at 112 percent. Yet the numbers still show losses.
Forward earnings sit at minus 50 times sales while profit margins run at minus 26 percent and return on equity at minus 41 percent. Analysts cluster around a 140 dollar target but our screen finds no opportunity worth taking. The narrow moat offers little protection against larger cloud rivals.
High growth cannot mask the cash burn or the fact that current returns remain deeply negative. Any margin of safety rests on future promises rather than present results. Analysis, not advice.
Screened names in the same industry · explore each on its own page.
TRADER
The trader read · the latest dated commentary
The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 27.2% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B. Technically it is momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are down 38%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 43%. The street (33 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $140. Entered 2026-07-25 · Distribution
JOURNAL
The dated journal · newest first, never edited
2026-07-25Distribution$73.21-27.2%Entry 4
The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 27.2% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B. Technically it is momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are down 38%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 43%. The street (33 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $140.
2026-07-18Distribution$100.55+0.0%Entry 3
The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B. Technically it is momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are down 38%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 43%. The street (33 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $140.
2026-07-03Distribution$100.55+0.0%Entry 2
The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns.
2026-07-02Distribution$100.55Entry 1
The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.
RETURNS
What holding actually paid · price plus dividends
If $1,000 had been placed · historical, not a promise
Period
Price then
Price return
Divs per share
$1,000 became
Total return
1 month
$114.70
-16.0%
·
$840
-16.0%
2 months
$102.00
-5.5%
·
$945
-5.5%
3 months
$79.86
+20.7%
·
$1,207
+20.7%
6 months
$87.38
+10.3%
·
$1,103
+10.3%
1 year
$154.90
-37.8%
·
$622
-37.8%
Historical returns from market close data. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
SEALED
This entry now belongs to the ledger. Whatever CRWV does next, these words stay.
CoreWeave Inc · CRWV · Distribution · $70.79
Recorded 2025-12-31 · before the outcome · scored mechanically
