SMPL
The Simply Good Foods Company
Consumer Defensive · Packaged Foods · NCM
$11.69
Close 2026-05-28
✓ ETHICAL PASS

UNKNOWN MOAT
HIGH
Data Confidence: 86%
Full financial profile available
Market Cap
$1.1B
Trailing P/E
Forward P/E
6.74
Rev Growth
-9.4%
Profit Margin
-7.5%
ROE
-6.4%
Analyst Target
$15.50
Recommendation
BUY
About The Simply Good Foods Company

The Simply Good Foods Company, a consumer-packaged food and beverage company, engages in the development, marketing, and sale of snacks and meal replacements, and other products in North America and internationally. The company offers protein bars, ready-to-drink beverages and shakes, sweet and salty snacks, cookies, muffins, protein chips and crackers, protein powders, and recipes under the Quest, Atkins, and OWYN brand names. It also provides confectionery products, such as peanut butter cups, brownies, caramel candy bites, chocolatey coated peanut candies, and caramel candy bars. In addition, the company licenses certain products that contain its brands and logos; and distributes its products to various retail channels, such as mass merchandise, grocery and drug stores, club and convenience stores, gas stations, and other channels. It also sells its products through e-commerce channels, including questnutrition.com, atkins.com, liveowyn.com, amazon.com and others. The company was incorporated in 2017 and is headquartered in Denver, Colorado.

Ethical Screen
Business ActivityPASS
Debt RatioN/A
Cash RatioN/A
Receivables RatioN/A
Revenue Ratio (0.00%)PASS
OverallPASS
Score Ethical: 64.7
Score Valuation: 78.5
Score Quality: 20.0
Score Combined: 45.3

Full Analysis

Opportunity scores, earnings history, insider transactions, institutional holders, analyst consensus, and more.

Unlock with Membership
Opportunity Scores
Valuation85.0
Quality0.0
Cash Flow100.0
Moat40.0
Balance Sheet0.0
Debt Purity50.0
Liquid Purity50.0
Rev Purity100.0
Compliance100.0
Tier: BRONZE · Score: 47.5 · Rank: #2499
Insider Transactions
No insider transaction data.
Top Institutional Holders
No institutional holder data.
Additional Fundamentals
Enterprise Value
$1.4B
Price/Book
0.72
Beta
0.209
Analysts
10
Total Revenue (TTM)
$1.4B
Total Debt
$449.8M
Rec. Mean
2.17
Short Ratio
2.36
Short % Float
0.1%
Employees
328

Elite Intelligence

Trade Consideration with position sizing, convergence signals, and risk analysis. Available to Elite members.

Upgrade to Elite
Trade Consideration
The Opportunity
Score 45.3 (P62 — top 38.0% of scored tickers). Unknown Moat. Ethical PASS. 9 analysts at Buy.
Price: $11.69 | Target: $18.00 (+54%)
Score
45
Moat
Unknown
Conviction
Standard
Upside
+54%
The Fundamentals
Revenue Growth-9.4%
Profit Margin-7.5%
ROE-6.4%
Forward P/E6.7
Market Cap$1.1B
Position Sizing Scenarios
Stop: $9.94 (-15%) | Entry: $11.69
SharesCostProfit to TargetR:R
To Consensus ($18.00, 9 analysts)
10$116.90+$63.10 (54%)3.6R
50$584.50+$315.50 (54%)3.6R
100$1,169.00+$631.00 (54%)3.6R
Risk Factors
  • No elevated risk flags in current data
The Verdict
The Simply Good Foods Company passes all ethical screens and holds a unknown competitive moat.
Quantitative Grade

A single score combining all analytical layers below. A is strongest, D is weakest.

D
Quant Score
28.9
Risk Grade
LOW_RISK
Layers
7
Risk Profile

How much could this ticker lose on a bad day? These metrics measure worst-case scenarios from historical data.

VaR 95%
-3.4%
worst expected daily loss, 19 in 20 days
CVaR 95%
-5.9%
avg loss on the worst 5% of days
Annual Volatility
Sortino Ratio
-1.70
above 1.0 is good
Max Drawdown
-73.9%
Worst Day
Forward Outlook

Based on 10,000 simulated price paths, here is the probability of where this ticker could be in 30, 60, and 90 days.

30d Prob Up
90d Prob Up
Median Return 30d
Liquidity Score
75
Liquidity Grade
LIQUID
Trend & Momentum

What direction is this ticker actually moving, filtered through noise? Is it speeding up or slowing down?

Kalman Trend
Trend Strength
Momentum Signal
HMM Regime
RSI Signal
Technical Signals

Classic chart signals that institutional traders monitor. Golden Cross is bullish, Death Cross is bearish.

MA Crossover
BELOW_200
Bollinger Position
LOWER_HALF
Beta
Relative Volume
0.6x
Short Interest
Financial Health

Is this company financially sound? The Z-Score measures bankruptcy risk. The F-Score measures fundamental strength.

Altman Z-Score
below 1.81 = distress zone
Piotroski F-Score
Earnings Beat Rate
Earnings Consistency
Correlations

These tickers tend to move together (positive) or in opposite directions (negative). Useful for portfolio diversification.

Most Correlated
TickerCorrelation
ITGR0.394
ROP0.390
FLO0.371
CTSH0.358
PAYX0.345
Inverse Correlated
TickerCorrelation
KUWAITRE.KW-0.210
MRLN-0.190
ANTA-0.190
MPLT-0.155
MSAI-0.154
Seasonality

Does this ticker have consistent patterns on certain days or months? Historical tendencies, not guarantees.

Best Day
Friday
Worst Day
Monday
Best Month
Nov
Worst Month
Mar
Fri-Mon Effect
0.28888270185956644
Momentum Rankings

How does this ticker's recent performance compare to the entire universe? Ranked across 1, 3, 6, and 12-month returns.

1M Return
-14.4%
3M Return
-30.8%
6M Return
-40.2%
12M Return
-66.2%
Momentum Rank
#4341
Momentum Signal
STRONG_DOWN

Get our daily market read free. Join thousands of traders.

Free Explorer Access