The framework has shifted from markup to markdown since the last review. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 9.9% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with strong ethical credentials. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 6% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 21%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 18%. The street (8 analysts) rates it hold, with a mean price target of $390.
Snap-on
SNA · a US exchange · USD · Market cap $19.5B · 13,000 employees
Snap-on Incorporated manufactures and markets tools, equipment, diagnostics, and repair information and systems solutions for professional users worldwide.
PASS · Titan Ethical · score 83.9At the last full screen
2026-09-09
Screened 2026-09-09 · the tape above runs as of 05:00 UTC · two dates, stated on purpose · verdict and workings shown in full · never trimmed
What this means: price 377.42 against the desk's fair-value range, base estimate 359.05, over the last year.
- Trend Markdown
- Insiders no filings inside 60 days, left as found
- Positioning no disclosures inside 60 days, left as found
- Options no verdict drawn today, left as found
- Ethical passes the values gate
Our analytic regime reads on this name, dated and marked against today's price. Small sample per name, and separate from the daily-framework accuracy on the Track Record page.
This name holds its markdown label.
Snap-on holds its Markdown at $377.42. The statistical read favours the sellers, held for 215 days.
| Phase | Markdown · caution |
| Quantitative state | The statistical read favours the sellers, held for 215 days |
| Price at the screen | $377.42 |
| Valuation | 19.26 trailing · 17.69 forward price to earnings |
| Values screen | PASS · score 83.9 |
| Beta | 0.71 |
Five Screens, Shown in Full
Full pass across all five screens. This security clears the Titan Ethical Standard: its business and its balance sheet both stay inside the lines.
| Test | Figure | Limit | What it means | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Business activity | Permissible | Core business clean | Its core business isn't built on prohibited lines: no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending. | Pass |
| Debt load | 15.36% | Below 33% | Interest-bearing debt is just 15.4% of its assets, well under the one-third ceiling: it does not run on borrowed money. | Pass |
| Interest-bearing cash | 0.00% | Below 33% | Cash held in interest-bearing accounts and securities is 0.0% of assets, under the one-third limit. | Pass |
| Receivables | 29.79% | Below 49% | Money owed to the company is 29.8% of assets, under the 49% limit. | Pass |
| Revenue purity | 1.14% | Below 5% | Only 1.1% of revenue comes from non-compliant sources, under the 5% line. | Pass |
Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.
What the Numbers Say It Is WorthThe Fair Value Range
Our framework reads OVERVALUED: it trades above our $359.05 fair value estimate, moderate competitive moat, 4.20% revenue growth.
Fair value range in USD, drawn from the 2026-09-09 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. The price runs 4.9% above the base estimate.
Third-party analyst targets: 9 covering, consensus Hold. The average target sits +10% from the screen price.
Reading the gap · Our more conservative model reads it as fully-to-richly valued here, while the Street is more bullish: a quality-at-a-fair-price name rather than a deep-value one.
Price History & ProjectionsWhere it has been, where the models see it going. History from market close data; projection points are our fair-value estimates and third-party analyst targets, dated to the 2026-09-09 screen.
Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.
The Business, in Plain WordsPremium Tools Priced Beyond Their Worth
Walk into any professional garage and the Snap-on truck is the one mechanics trust for tools that survive daily abuse. Yet at $411 the shares sit 11% above our fair value, leaving no margin of safety and an overvalued rating despite steady 5% revenue growth and 20% profit margins.
The business earns an 18% ROE with a moderate moat and clears our ethical screen without issue. Nine analysts sit on a hold rating with a median target near the current price, but the 19.2 times forward earnings already bake in perfection the numbers do not justify.
Industrial demand can swing with car repair volumes and workshop spending, so any slowdown would hit harder from this starting valuation. Analysis, not advice.
| Forward P/E | 17.7xexpensive even after accounting for its growth |
| Trailing P/E | 19.3xreasonably valued |
| EPS, trailing | 19.60 |
| EPS, forward | 21.34 |
| Revenue growth | +4.2%slow but positive growth |
| Profit margin | 19.6%healthy profit margins |
| Return on equity | 17.9%a solid return on shareholder capital |
| FCF yield | 5.68% |
| Dividend yield | 2.66% |
| Debt to equity | 0.22minimal debt: a conservative balance sheet |
| Current ratio | 3.43comfortably covers its short-term bills |
| Beta | 0.71steadier than the market |
| Short interest, float | 0.07% |
| 52-week range | 320.80 - 423.02 |
| Moat | MODERATE |
| Market cap | $19.5B |
| Employees | 13,000 |
The risks · The main risks here are ordinary market swings and the chance our fair-value read proves too optimistic.
Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.
Where & How to TradeSNA trades on a US exchange. As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.
Every Entry, As Written
The framework has shifted from distribution to markup since the last review. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved up 10.3% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with strong ethical credentials. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 6% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 21%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 18%. The street (8 analysts) rates it hold, with a mean price target of $390.
The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with strong ethical credentials. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 6% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 21%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 18%. The street (8 analysts) rates it hold, with a mean price target of $390.
The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with strong ethical credentials. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns.
The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Ethical screening: PASS with strong ethical credentials. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.
- 3 Reasons SNA is Risky and 1 Stock to Buy Instead StockStory · 21d ago
- Are Wall Street Analysts Bullish on Snap-on Stock? Barchart · 25d ago
- Snap On (SNA) Beat Expectations, Is The Stock Fully Priced? Simply Wall St. · 25d ago
- Spotting Winners: Snap-on (NYSE:SNA) And Professional Tools and Equipment Stocks In Q2 StockStory · 26d ago
- Can Snap-on's RCI Execution and Innovation Sustain Growth? Zacks · 21 Aug 2026
Headlines from third-party outlets, linked for reference: not our reporting, not advice.
Screened names in the same industry · explore each on its own page.
| Date | Insider | Title | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-14 | PAGLIARI ALDO JOHN | Chief Financial Officer | 8,000 | $1,349,600 | |
| 2026-05-14 | PAGLIARI ALDO JOHN | Chief Financial Officer | 5,713 | $2,097,742 | |
| 2026-05-05 | PINCHUK NICHOLAS T | Chief Executive Officer | 33,750 | $5,693,625 | |
| 2026-05-05 | PINCHUK NICHOLAS T | Chief Executive Officer | 23,396 | $8,791,429 | |
| 2026-04-30 | HOLDEN JAMES P | Director | 91 | $34,889 | |
| 2026-02-25 | LEMERAND JUNE C | Chief Investment Officer | 1,378 | $534,075 | |
| 2026-02-23 | PINCHUK NICHOLAS T | Chief Executive Officer | 33,750 | $5,693,625 | |
| 2026-02-23 | PINCHUK NICHOLAS T | Chief Executive Officer | 23,229 | $8,905,029 | |
| 2026-02-19 | PAGLIARI ALDO JOHN | Chief Financial Officer | 10,000 | $20,000 | |
| 2026-02-19 | PAGLIARI ALDO JOHN | Chief Financial Officer | 7,043 | $2,690,785 |
Public filings, recorded as found. The full tape lives at Insider Intelligence.
| Date | Politician | Party | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-27 | Alan Armstrong | Republican | buy | 1K–15K |
| Period | Price then | Price return | Divs per share | $1,000 became | Total return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 month | $367.95 | +2.9% | $2.44 | $1,036 | +3.6% |
| 2 months | $377.15 | +0.4% | $2.44 | $1,010 | +1.0% |
| 3 months | $361.74 | +4.7% | $2.44 | $1,053 | +5.3% |
| 6 months | $346.90 | +9.1% | $4.88 | $1,105 | +10.5% |
| 1 year | $313.45 | +20.8% | $9.46 | $1,238 | +23.8% |
| 2 years | $254.12 | +49.0% | $17.74 | $1,560 | +56.0% |
| 3 years | $247.20 | +53.2% | $24.94 | $1,632 | +63.2% |
| 5 years | $209.64 | +80.6% | $36.71 | $1,981 | +98.1% |
Historical returns from market close data. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
This entry now belongs to the ledger. Whatever SNA does next, these words stay.
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Join the deskScreening is research, not a fatwa and not financial advice. Figures are drawn from public accounts at the screen date shown. Always manage your risk.