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The Screen · Real Estate

Land Securities Group

LAND.L · LSE · GBp · Market cap $4.4B

FAIL · Does not pass the screen
625.50 GBp

Screen close, 2026-09-18 · not a live quote
Last reviewed 18 days ago

Screened 2026-09-18 · the tape above runs as of 19:04 UTC · two dates, stated on purpose · verdict and workings shown in full · never trimmed

PRICE · FAIR-VALUE RANGE1M3M6MYTD1Y3Y5Y
312.75312.75312.75

What this means: price 625.50 against the desk's fair-value range, base estimate 312.75, over the last year.

Current read
Markdown ?
AVOID · screened 2026-09-18
  • Trend Markdown
  • Insiders no filings inside 60 days, left as found
  • Positioning no disclosures inside 60 days, left as found
  • Options no verdict drawn today, left as found
  • Ethical does not pass the values gate
Price625.50 GBp
Fair value312.75
Ethical score10.0/100
RatingAVOID
Our investment reviews on this name
2026-09-04Read Markdown626.50-0.2% to today ✓
2026-07-02Read Markup626.50-0.2% to today

Our analytic regime reads on this name, dated and marked against the screened price. Small sample per name, and separate from the daily-framework accuracy on the Track Record page.

The full research record, in depth, below
The Label · The Season, Not the Day

This name holds its markdown label.

Land Securities Group holds its Markdown at $625.50. Consolidating, no directional conviction, held for 4 days.

As held on the ledger · 2026-09-18
PhaseMarkdown · caution
Quantitative stateConsolidating, no directional conviction, held for 4 days
Price at the screen$625.50
Valuation1,895.45 trailing · 1,214.12 forward price to earnings
Values screenFAIL · score 10.0
The Workings

Five Screens, Shown in Full

Does not pass. Debt ratio 39.2%; Revenue purity 11.9%

TestFigureLimitWhat it meansStatus
Business activity Permissible Core business clean Its core business isn't built on prohibited lines: no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending. Pass
Debt load 39.19% Below 33% Interest-bearing debt is 39.2% of its assets, above the one-third ceiling the screen allows. Fail
Interest-bearing cash 0.34% Below 33% Cash held in interest-bearing accounts and securities is 0.3% of assets, under the one-third limit. Pass
Receivables 2.68% Below 49% Money owed to the company is 2.7% of assets, under the 49% limit. Pass
Revenue purity 11.90% Below 5% 11.9% of revenue comes from non-compliant sources, over the 5% line. Fail

Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.

The Ethical Read

Why It Falls Short, in Plain English

Land Securities's business is in a permissible area, but its interest-bearing debt is about 39% of the company, just over the ~33% line, so it does not pass on the financial screens.

Read as at 2026-10-04. It updates when the underlying figures move, and past reads are kept below.

What the Numbers Say It Is Worth

The Fair Value Range

Our framework reads AVOID: it trades above our $312.75 fair value estimate, 12.50% revenue growth.

312.75Conservative312.75Base case312.75Growth case 625.50Price

Fair value range in GBp, drawn from the 2026-09-18 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. The price runs 50.0% above the base estimate.

Price History & Projections
$742$512$281TODAY5y agoPROJECTIONConservative$312.75 -52%Our fair value$312.75 -52%

Where it has been, where the models see it going. History from market close data; projection points are our fair-value estimates and third-party analyst targets, dated to the 2026-09-18 screen.

Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.

The Business, in Plain Words

Why it gives us pause

At 1,214.1x forward earnings, the price already runs ahead of the business. It trades 50% above our $312.75 fair value, so you would be buying at a premium, not a discount.

The fundamentals · plain-English read
Forward P/E1,214.1xexpensive even after accounting for its growth
Trailing P/E1,895.5xexpensive: the price assumes strong growth ahead
EPS, trailing0.33
EPS, forward0.52
Revenue growth+12.5%steady growth
Profit margin0.0%currently unprofitable
Return on equity3.9%a modest return on shareholder capital
FCF yield-4.82%
Dividend yield1,285.00%
Debt to equity0.73moderate, manageable leverage
Market cap$4.4B

The risks · The main risks here are ordinary market swings and the chance our fair-value read proves too optimistic.

Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.

Where & How to Trade

LAND.L trades on LSE. As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.

The Dated Journal · Newest First, Never Edited

Every Entry, As Written

2026-10-02 Markdown $625.50 -0.2% Entry 6

The framework reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 0.2% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is momentum reading overbought. Over the past year the shares are up 2%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 12%. The street (17 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $698.

2026-09-04 Markdown · changed $626.50 +0.0% Entry 5

The framework has shifted from markup to markdown since the last review. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is momentum reading overbought. Over the past year the shares are up 2%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 12%. The street (17 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $698.

2026-08-04 Markup $626.50 +0.0% Entry 4

The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is momentum reading overbought. Over the past year the shares are up 2%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 12%. The street (17 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $698.

2026-07-18 Markup $626.50 +0.0% Entry 3

The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is momentum reading overbought. Over the past year the shares are up 2%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 12%. The street (17 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $698.

2026-07-03 Markup $626.50 +0.0% Entry 2

The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns.

2026-07-02 Markup $626.50 Entry 1

The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns.

Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.

The Insider Ledger · Form 4 Filings, As Filed
Most recent filings · LAND.L
DateInsiderTitleTypeSharesValue
2026-05-19 Allan (Mark) 42,500 $339,830
2026-05-05 Allan (Mark) 25 $198
2026-05-05 Allan (Mark) 25 ·
2026-05-05 Simms (Vanessa) 26 $206
2026-05-05 Simms (Vanessa) 26 ·
2026-04-30 Land Securities Group Plc · ·
2026-04-07 Simms (Vanessa) 26 $198
2026-04-07 Simms (Vanessa) 26 ·
2026-04-07 Allan (Mark) 26 $198
2026-04-07 Allan (Mark) 26 ·

Public filings, recorded as found. The full tape lives at Insider Intelligence.

What Holding Actually Paid · Price Plus Dividends
If $1,000 had been placed · historical, not a promise
PeriodPrice thenPrice returnDivs per share$1,000 becameTotal return
1 month $583.00 +11.2% · $1,112 +11.2%
2 months $581.00 +11.6% · $1,116 +11.6%
3 months $590.00 +9.9% · $1,099 +9.9%
6 months $585.50 +10.8% · $1,108 +10.8%
1 year $634.18 +2.3% $31.30 $1,072 +7.2%
2 years $644.26 +0.7% $71.50 $1,118 +11.8%
3 years $612.50 +5.9% $111.00 $1,240 +24.0%
5 years $710.39 -8.7% $183.60 $1,171 +17.1%

Historical returns from market close data. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

The Ledger's Promise

This entry now belongs to the ledger. Whatever LAND.L does next, these words stay.

Land Securities Group · LAND.L · Markdown · $625.50
Recorded 2026-09-18 · before the outcome · scored mechanically

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