An entry written while the outcome is still unknown. It will be scored by what the market does next, and it will never be edited to look cleverer than it was.
In plain words · Bridgestone Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells tires and rubber products in Japan, China, India, the Asia Pacific, the United States, the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, and Africa.
VERDICT
The label
Markup
read at $11.70
Bridgestone Corporation holds its Markup at $11.70.
PHPhase · the trend structure carries the Markup label
INInsiders · no filings inside 60 days, left as found
POPositioning · no disclosures inside 60 days, left as found
OPOptions · no verdict drawn today, left as found
SCScreen · does not pass the values gate
edge confirmed
edge broken
edge forming
Each arm is one independent read. Conviction is not a single call, it is how many edges converge.
INVESTOR
The investor read · the season, not the day
As held on the ledger · 2026-07-27
Phase
Markup
Quantitative state
The statistical read favours the buyers, held for 498 days
Price
$11.70
Valuation
32.50 trailing · 6.32 forward price to earnings
Values screen
FAIL· score 70.0
Beta
0.45
OPPORTUNITY
The opportunity · what the numbers say it is worth
Our framework reads AVOID — it trades above our $10.52 fair value estimate, weak competitive moat, 5.20% revenue growth.
Read at
$11.70
32.50 P/E · 6.32 fwd
Our fair value
$10.52
10% premium
Analyst target (avg)
$10.52
-10% to current
Price history & projections · where it has been, where the models see it going
The valuation journey · where the price sits against fair value and the Street
Current
$11.70
you are here
Conservative
$10.52
-10%
Analyst avg
$10.52
-10%
Our fair value
$10.52
-10%
Analyst high
$10.52
-10%
Green marks levels above today's price, red below; the shaded band is the gap between the price and our fair value.
Reading the gap · Both our model and the Street see limited upside at this price.
Revenue growth
5.20%
Profit margin
7.66%
Debt to equity
21.40
Analyst consensus
Hold · 1 covering
Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; target range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.
SCREEN
The values screen, explained · five checks, plain English
This company is excluded by both standards. There are two widely recognised ways to check whether a company is suitable for a Muslim investor. It fails on both:
The common standard· AAOIFI Used by most halal investing apps✗ DOES NOT PASS
Our stricter standard· asset-based The one Titan applies✗ DOES NOT PASS
Why it fails. The problem is its debt ratio. Because both standards agree on this, it is a clear exclusion, not a borderline case.
Business activityIts core business isn't built on prohibited lines — no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending.Pass
Debt loadInterest-bearing debt is 3,140.9% of its assets, above the one-third ceiling the screen allows.Fail
Interest-bearing cashInterest-bearing cash and securities are 2,711.0% of assets, above the one-third limit.Fail
ReceivablesMoney owed to the company is 0.0% of assets, under the 49% limit.Pass
Revenue purityOnly 0.0% of revenue comes from non-compliant sources — under the 5% line.Pass
Every security is read against two recognised standards: our stricter asset-based screen (ratios measured against total assets) and the more widely used market-value standard (measured against market capitalisation). Where they agree we say so plainly; where they part ways — almost always on the debt check — we show both readings and mark it, because that disagreement is the finding, not a fault. We report the score; you and your scholar make the call.
PLAIN
The business, in plain words · what the numbers mean
Tyres roll on but debt and cycles bite
Every vehicle eventually needs new rubber, yet Bridgestone trades at a forward multiple of just 6.2 times while sitting above our fair value. The low price looks tempting until you remember this is a cyclical auto parts business where peak earnings often coincide with the lowest multiples. On top of that the ethical screen flags the debt ratio, so we pass.
Revenue is growing at 5 percent with an 8 percent profit margin and 9 percent return on equity, but the moat is weak and one lone analyst sees little upside from here. The combination of modest returns and balance sheet concerns outweighs any apparent cheapness.
Cyclical exposure means earnings can drop sharply when car sales slow, turning the low multiple into a trap rather than a bargain. Analysis, not advice.
Screened names in the same industry · explore each on its own page.
TRADE
Where & how to trade · wherever in the world you are
BRDCY trades on PNK (the company is based in Japan). As a US-listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering US markets. New to this, or investing from outside the US? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.
TRADER
The trader read · the latest dated commentary
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved up 8.3% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 5%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 11%. The street (1 analysts) rates it hold, with a mean price target of $11. Entered 2026-07-23 · Markup
JOURNAL
The dated journal · newest first, never edited
2026-07-23Markup$11.49+8.3%Entry 4
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved up 8.3% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 5%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 11%. The street (1 analysts) rates it hold, with a mean price target of $11.
2026-07-18Markup$10.61+0.0%Entry 3
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 5%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 11%. The street (1 analysts) rates it hold, with a mean price target of $11.
2026-07-03Markup$10.61+0.0%Entry 2
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns.
2026-07-02Markup$10.61Entry 1
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.
RETURNS
What holding actually paid · price plus dividends
If $1,000 had been placed · historical, not a promise
Period
Price then
Price return
Divs per share
$1,000 became
Total return
1 month
$10.49
+0.6%
·
$1,006
+0.6%
2 months
$10.82
-2.5%
·
$975
-2.5%
3 months
$10.61
-0.6%
·
$994
-0.6%
6 months
$11.60
-9.1%
·
$909
-9.1%
1 year
$10.09
+4.6%
$0.19
$1,065
+6.5%
2 years
$10.32
+2.3%
$0.37
$1,058
+5.8%
3 years
$10.09
+4.6%
$0.37
$1,082
+8.2%
5 years
$10.79
-2.2%
$0.37
$1,012
+1.2%
Historical returns from market close data. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
SEALED
This entry now belongs to the ledger. Whatever BRDCY does next, these words stay.
Bridgestone Corporation · BRDCY · Markup · $11.70
Recorded 2026-07-27 · before the outcome · scored mechanically
