NAS10029,644+0.67%S&P7,651+0.17%GOLD$4,418+0.42%BTC$81,092+6.14%VIX14.81−4.08%live tape · as of 21:00 UTC
The Screen · Industrials · Specialty Industrial Machinery
NuScale Power Corporation
SMR · the NYSE · USD · Market cap $3.5B · 428 employees
NuScale Power Corporation provides small modular reactor technology solutions.
FAIL · Does not pass the screen
8.61 USD
At the last full screen 2026-09-11
Screened 2026-09-11 · the tape above runs as of 21:00 UTC · two dates, stated on purpose · verdict and workings shown in full · never trimmed
The Label · The Season, Not the Day
This name holds its markdown label.
NuScale Power Corporation holds its Markdown at $8.61. Consolidating, no directional conviction, held for 28 days.
As held on the ledger · 2026-09-11
Phase
Markdown · caution
Quantitative state
Consolidating, no directional conviction, held for 28 days
Price at the screen
$8.61
Valuation
N/A trailing · -13.09 forward price to earnings
Values screen
FAIL· score 70.0
Beta
2.31
The Workings
Five Screens, Shown in Full
Does not pass. Accounts receivable
Test
Figure
Limit
What it means
Status
Business activity
Permissible
Core business clean
Its core business isn't built on prohibited lines: no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending.
Pass
Debt load
Excluded
Below 33%
Interest-bearing debt is of its assets, above the one-third ceiling the screen allows.
Fail
Interest-bearing cash
29.58%
Below 33%
Cash held in interest-bearing accounts and securities is 29.6% of assets, under the one-third limit.
Pass
Receivables
59.81%
Below 49%
Money owed to the company is 59.8% of assets, above the 49% limit.
Fail
Revenue purity
0.00%
Below 5%
Only 0.0% of revenue comes from non-compliant sources, under the 5% line.
Pass
Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.
Fair value range in USD, drawn from the 2026-09-11 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. A 27.8% margin of safety to the base estimate.
Third-party analyst targets: 15 covering, consensus Hold. The average target sits +28% from the screen price.
Reading the gap · Both our model and the analysts see meaningful upside from here.
Price History & Projections
Where it has been, where the models see it going. History from market close data; projection points are our fair-value estimates and third-party analyst targets, dated to the 2026-09-11 screen.
Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.
The Business, in Plain Words
Nuclear dreams collide with collapsing revenue and losses
Picture a small reactor that could power a town, yet the business behind it just watched revenue drop 96% while posting zero profit and an 83% negative return on equity. At $7.72 the shares sit well below the analyst median target of $14, but the opportunity rating stays at none because the core numbers show a company still burning cash with no clear path to scale.
The ethical screen passes cleanly, yet the forward earnings multiple of negative 10.8 times and unknown competitive moat leave little to support a position. Fifteen analysts sit on hold, which matches the reality of a business that has not yet turned technology into consistent orders or cash flow.
Risk sits around the execution gap and dilution that often follows repeated losses in this sector. Analysis, not advice.
The risks · The things to watch: it already moves more than the market on an average day.
Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.
Where & How to Trade
SMR trades on the NYSE. As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.
The framework has shifted from distribution to accumulation since the last review. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 12.3% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are down 73%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 35%. The street (14 analysts) rates it hold, with a mean price target of $15.
2026-08-13Distribution · changed$9.82-0.7%Entry 4
The framework has shifted from accumulation to distribution since the last review. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.7% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are down 73%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 35%. The street (14 analysts) rates it hold, with a mean price target of $15.
2026-07-18Accumulation$9.89+0.0%Entry 3
The framework reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are down 73%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 35%. The street (14 analysts) rates it hold, with a mean price target of $15.
2026-07-03Accumulation$9.89+0.0%Entry 2
The framework reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns.
2026-07-02Accumulation$9.89Entry 1
The framework reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.
