Framework Journal · one stock, one dated entry

Recorded 2026-07-19 · Permanent

Hongli Group Inc HLP

Clears both ethical standards

An entry written while the outcome is still unknown. It will be scored by what the market does next, and it will never be edited to look cleverer than it was.

In plain words · Hongli Group Inc., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells customized steel profiles in the People's Republic of China and internationally.

The label
Markup

read at $1.17

Hongli Group Inc holds its Markup at $1.17.

PHINPOOPSC
  • PHPhase · the trend structure carries the Markup label
  • INInsiders · no filings inside 60 days, left as found
  • POPositioning · no disclosures inside 60 days, left as found
  • OPOptions · no verdict drawn today, left as found
  • SCScreen · passes the values gate
  • edge confirmed
  • edge broken
  • edge forming

Each arm is one independent read. Conviction is not a single call, it is how many edges converge.

The investor read · the season, not the day

As held on the ledger · 2026-07-19
PhaseMarkup
Quantitative stateThe statistical read favours the buyers, held for 10 days
Price$1.17
Valuation39.00 trailing · N/A forward price to earnings
Values screenPASS · score 70.0
Beta0.49

The business, in plain words · what the numbers mean

The fundamentals · plain-English read
Trailing P/E39.0x
expensive — the price assumes strong growth ahead
Revenue growth40.2%
growing very fast
Profit margin9.9%
thin but positive margins
Return on equity3.5%
a modest return on shareholder capital
Debt to equity0.20
minimal debt — a conservative balance sheet
Current ratio1.12
adequate liquidity, worth monitoring
Beta0.49
barely tracks the market's swings
Market cap$87M

The risks · The things to watch: it's a small-cap, so the share price can swing harder than the market; its business and earnings are exposed to China and to currency swings.

Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.

Related securities · others in HLP's space worth a look

Screened names in the same industry · explore each on its own page.

The trader read · the latest dated commentary

The framework has shifted from distribution to markup since the last review. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved up 134.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C. Technically it is momentum reading oversold. Over the past year the shares are down 43%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 25%. Entered 2026-08-01 · Markup

The dated journal · newest first, never edited

2026-08-01 Markup · changed $1.17 +134.0% Entry 4

The framework has shifted from distribution to markup since the last review. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved up 134.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C. Technically it is momentum reading oversold. Over the past year the shares are down 43%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 25%.

2026-07-18 Distribution $0.50 +0.0% Entry 3

The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C. Technically it is momentum reading oversold. Over the past year the shares are down 43%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 25%.

2026-07-03 Distribution $0.50 +0.0% Entry 2

The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns.

2026-07-02 Distribution $0.50 Entry 1

The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns.

Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.

What holding actually paid · price plus dividends

If $1,000 had been placed · historical, not a promise
PeriodPrice thenPrice returnDivs per share$1,000 becameTotal return
1 month $0.86 -44.2% · $558 -44.2%
2 months $0.89 -46.0% · $540 -46.0%
3 months $1.05 -54.3% · $457 -54.3%
6 months $1.36 -64.7% · $353 -64.7%
1 year $0.85 -43.5% · $565 -43.5%
2 years $1.90 -74.7% · $253 -74.7%
3 years $2.47 -80.6% · $194 -80.6%

Historical returns from market close data. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

This entry now belongs to the ledger. Whatever HLP does next, these words stay.

Hongli Group Inc · HLP · Markup · $1.17
Recorded 2026-07-19 · before the outcome · scored mechanically

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