EverCommerce Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides integrated software-as-a-service solutions for service-based small and medium-sized businesses in the United States and internationally.
FAIL · Does not pass the screen
7.95 USD
At the last full screen 2026-09-16
Screened 2026-09-16 · the tape above runs as of 17:00 UTC · two dates, stated on purpose · verdict and workings shown in full · never trimmed
The Label · The Season, Not the Day
This name holds its distribution label.
EverCommerce Inc. holds its Distribution at $7.95. The statistical read favours the buyers, held for 114 days.
As held on the ledger · 2026-09-16
Phase
Distribution · caution
Quantitative state
The statistical read favours the buyers, held for 114 days
Price at the screen
$7.95
Valuation
53.00 trailing · 10.07 forward price to earnings
Values screen
FAIL· score 70.0
Beta
0.84
The Workings
Five Screens, Shown in Full
Does not pass. Debt ratio
Test
Figure
Limit
What it means
Status
Business activity
Permissible
Core business clean
Its core business isn't built on prohibited lines: no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending.
Pass
Debt load
38.15%
Below 33%
Interest-bearing debt is 38.2% of its assets, above the one-third ceiling the screen allows.
Fail
Interest-bearing cash
0.00%
Below 33%
Cash held in interest-bearing accounts and securities is 0.0% of assets, under the one-third limit.
Pass
Receivables
12.16%
Below 49%
Money owed to the company is 12.2% of assets, under the 49% limit.
Pass
Revenue purity
0.00%
Below 5%
Only 0.0% of revenue comes from non-compliant sources, under the 5% line.
Pass
Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.
Fair value range in USD, drawn from the 2026-09-16 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. A 63.5% margin of safety to the base estimate.
Third-party analyst targets: 6 covering, consensus None. The average target sits +38% from the screen price.
Reading the gap · Both our model and the analysts see meaningful upside from here.
Price History & Projections
Where it has been, where the models see it going. History from market close data; projection points are our fair-value estimates and third-party analyst targets, dated to the 2026-09-16 screen.
Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.
The Business, in Plain Words
Software for tradesmen that is struggling to grow
Service businesses like plumbing firms or vets need software that handles routes and payments without fuss. EverCommerce supplies exactly that kind of integrated SaaS, yet the numbers show a company stuck in low gear. Revenue is rising just 4 percent, profit margins sit at 5 percent and return on equity is only 3 percent, so the business is not compounding capital at any meaningful rate.
We pass because the valuation does not compensate for those weak returns. At 15.7 times forward earnings the shares look neither cheap nor expensive, and the 14 percent margin of safety to our fair value is too thin once you factor in single-digit growth. Analyst targets cluster around 11 dollars, below the current price, which tells its own story.
Risks centre on execution in a fragmented market where bigger platforms can copy features quickly and small customers remain price sensitive. Currency moves and patchy adoption abroad add further uncertainty. Analysis, not advice.
The risks · The things to watch: it's a small-cap, so the share price can swing harder than the market.
Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.
Where & How to Trade
EVCM trades on Nasdaq. As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.
The framework has shifted from markup to distribution since the last review. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 22.4% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 0% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are down 11%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 27%. The street (7 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $11.
2026-07-28Markup · changed$12.04+31.9%Entry 4
The framework has shifted from distribution to markup since the last review. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved up 31.9% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 0% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are down 11%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 27%. The street (7 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $11.
2026-07-18Distribution$9.13+0.0%Entry 3
The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 0% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are down 11%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 27%. The street (7 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $11.
2026-07-03Distribution$9.13+0.0%Entry 2
The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns.
2026-07-02Distribution$9.13Entry 1
The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.
