NAS10029,447+1.73%S&P7,638+1.14%GOLD$4,412+0.27%BTC$77,965+2.04%VIX15.48+0.26%live tape · as of 19:00 UTC
The Screen · Industrials · Engineering & Construction
Everus Construction Group, Inc.
ECG · the NYSE · USD · Market cap $6.1B · 9,400 employees
Everus Construction Group, Inc.
FAIL · Does not pass the screen
119.42 USD
At the last full screen 2026-09-11
Screened 2026-09-11 · the tape above runs as of 19:00 UTC · two dates, stated on purpose · verdict and workings shown in full · never trimmed
The Label · The Season, Not the Day
This name holds its markdown label.
Everus Construction Group, Inc. holds its Markdown at $119.42. Consolidating, no directional conviction, held for 2 days.
As held on the ledger · 2026-09-11
Phase
Markdown · caution
Quantitative state
Consolidating, no directional conviction, held for 2 days
Price at the screen
$119.42
Valuation
23.98 trailing · 19.85 forward price to earnings
Values screen
FAIL· score 70.0
The Workings
Five Screens, Shown in Full
Does not pass. Accounts receivable
Test
Figure
Limit
What it means
Status
Business activity
Permissible
Core business clean
Its core business isn't built on prohibited lines: no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending.
Pass
Debt load
21.52%
Below 33%
Interest-bearing debt is just 21.5% of its assets, well under the one-third ceiling: it does not run on borrowed money.
Pass
Interest-bearing cash
0.00%
Below 33%
Cash held in interest-bearing accounts and securities is 0.0% of assets, under the one-third limit.
Pass
Receivables
54.35%
Below 49%
Money owed to the company is 54.3% of assets, above the 49% limit.
Fail
Revenue purity
0.12%
Below 5%
Only 0.1% of revenue comes from non-compliant sources, under the 5% line.
Pass
Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.
Fair value range in USD, drawn from the 2026-09-11 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. A 24.1% margin of safety to the base estimate.
Third-party analyst targets: 6 covering, consensus None. The average target sits +47% from the screen price.
Reading the gap · Both our model and the analysts see meaningful upside from here.
Price History & Projections
Where it has been, where the models see it going. History from market close data; projection points are our fair-value estimates and third-party analyst targets, dated to the 2026-09-11 screen.
Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.
The Business, in Plain Words
Construction contractor offers scant margin of safety
Every time a utility needs new transmission lines or a factory wants its electrical systems upgraded, Everus steps in to handle the work across its electrical and transmission segments. Yet the numbers show little reason to get involved. Revenue is expanding at 25 percent and return on equity sits at 39 percent, but the shares already trade just 3 percent below our fair value with a forward multiple of 26 times earnings.
The business clears our ethical screen and carries a buy rating from five analysts whose median target sits at 172 dollars. Still, profit margins remain thin at 6 percent and the moat is unproven, leaving the valuation looking full for a contractor exposed to project timing and input costs.
Cyclical construction work can deliver peak earnings that later fade, turning a seemingly reasonable multiple into a trap rather than a bargain. Limited upside and an unknown competitive edge outweigh the growth figures on offer. Analysis, not advice.
The risks · The main risks here are ordinary market swings and the chance our fair-value read proves too optimistic.
Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.
Where & How to Trade
ECG trades on the NYSE. As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.
The framework has shifted from markup to distribution since the last review. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 11.4% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B. Technically it is holding around 48% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 127%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 44%. The street (4 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $166.
2026-07-27Markup$133.23-10.5%Entry 4
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 10.5% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B. Technically it is holding around 48% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 127%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 44%. The street (4 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $166.
2026-07-18Markup$148.83+0.0%Entry 3
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B. Technically it is holding around 48% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 127%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 44%. The street (4 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $166.
2026-07-03Markup$148.83+0.0%Entry 2
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns.
2026-07-02Markup$148.83Entry 1
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.