Positioning no disclosures inside 60 days, left as found
Options no verdict drawn today, left as found
Ethical does not pass the values gate
Price14.73 USD
Fair value16.00
Ethical score70.0/100
Our investment reviews on this name
2026-07-02Read Markup14.46+1.9% to today ✓
Our analytic regime reads on this name, dated and marked against the screened price. Small sample per name, and separate from the daily-framework accuracy on the Track Record page.
Americold Realty Trust, Inc. holds its Distribution at $14.73. The statistical read favours the buyers, held for 3 days.
As held on the ledger · 2026-09-21
Phase
Distribution · caution
Quantitative state
The statistical read favours the buyers, held for 3 days
Price at the screen
$14.73
Valuation
N/A trailing · -69.62 forward price to earnings
Values screen
FAIL· score 70.0
Beta
1.00
The Workings
Five Screens, Shown in Full
Does not pass. Debt ratio
Test
Figure
Limit
What it means
Status
Business activity
Permissible
Core business clean
Its core business isn't built on prohibited lines: no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending.
Pass
Debt load
55.39%
Below 33%
Interest-bearing debt is 55.4% of its assets, above the one-third ceiling the screen allows.
Fail
Interest-bearing cash
0.00%
Below 33%
Cash held in interest-bearing accounts and securities is 0.0% of assets, under the one-third limit.
Pass
Receivables
6.22%
Below 49%
Money owed to the company is 6.2% of assets, under the 49% limit.
Pass
Revenue purity
0.12%
Below 5%
Only 0.1% of revenue comes from non-compliant sources, under the 5% line.
Pass
Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.
Fair value range in USD, drawn from the 2026-09-21 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. A 8.6% margin of safety to the base estimate.
Third-party analyst targets: 17 covering, consensus Buy. The average target sits +9% from the screen price.
Reading the gap · Both our model and the analysts see meaningful upside from here.
Price History & Projections
Where it has been, where the models see it going. History from market close data; projection points are our fair-value estimates and third-party analyst targets, dated to the 2026-09-21 screen.
Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.
The Business, in Plain Words
Cold Storage REIT Priced Well Beyond Its Worth
Picture a global network of giant freezers moving food from farm to fork, yet the business reports zero revenue growth and is losing money at a four percent profit margin. Americold sits at almost sixteen dollars while our fair value sits at eight, a gap that leaves no margin of safety at all. The forward multiple of six hundred times earnings tells you the market is paying for something the numbers simply do not support.
We pass because the price already embeds optimism the current results refuse to back. Return on equity is negative, growth has flatlined, and even the consensus target from seventeen analysts offers little cushion once you adjust for those fundamentals. Ethical clearance does not change the fact that the valuation leaves no room for the execution risks that come with running temperature controlled warehouses across four continents.
High debt loads typical in this sector could amplify any slowdown in food logistics volumes, and a prolonged period of losses would erode book value further. The gap between price and fair value is the clearest warning sign here. Analysis, not advice.
The risks · The things to watch: it carries a real debt load, which raises the stakes if revenue slips.
Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.
Where & How to Trade
COLD trades on the NYSE. As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.
The Dated Journal · Newest First, Never Edited
Every Entry, As Written
2026-08-25Markup$14.96-6.1%Entry 5
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 6.1% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are down 13%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 16%. The street (16 analysts) rates it hold, with a mean price target of $16.
2026-07-25Markup$15.93+10.2%Entry 4
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved up 10.2% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are down 13%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 16%. The street (16 analysts) rates it hold, with a mean price target of $16.
2026-07-18Markup$14.46+0.0%Entry 3
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are down 13%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 16%. The street (16 analysts) rates it hold, with a mean price target of $16.
2026-07-03Markup$14.46+0.0%Entry 2
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns.
2026-07-02Markup$14.46Entry 1
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.
