NAS10030,482+2.83%S&P7,765+1.49%GOLD$4,354−0.52%BTC$85,821−0.41%VIX14.17−4.71%live tape · as of 10:18 UTC
The Screen · Energy · Oil & Gas Midstream
Venture Global Inc
VG · the NYSE · USD · Market cap $39.5B · 2,000 employees
Venture Global, Inc., a liquefied natural gas (LNG) company, engages in the ownership, development, construction, and operation of LNG production facilities and associated infrastructure in the United States, Germany, Fr…
FAIL · Does not pass the screen
14.02 USD
Screen close, 2026-09-18 · not a live quote Last reviewed 5 days ago
Screened 2026-09-18 · the tape above runs as of 10:18 UTC · two dates, stated on purpose · verdict and workings shown in full · never trimmed
PRICE · FAIR-VALUE RANGE1M3M6MYTD1Y3Y5Y
What this means: price 14.02 against the desk's fair-value range, base estimate 12.21, over the last year.
Positioning no disclosures inside 60 days, left as found
Options no verdict drawn today, left as found
Ethical does not pass the values gate
Price14.02 USD
Fair value12.21
Ethical score70.0/100
Our investment reviews on this name
2026-09-16Read Accumulation15.80-11.3% to today
2026-08-16Read Markup13.58+3.2% to today ✓
2026-07-02Read Distribution13.08+7.2% to today
Our analytic regime reads on this name, dated and marked against the screened price. Small sample per name, and separate from the daily-framework accuracy on the Track Record page.
Venture Global Inc holds its Markdown at $14.02. Consolidating, no directional conviction, held for 162 days.
As held on the ledger · 2026-09-18
Phase
Markdown · caution
Quantitative state
Consolidating, no directional conviction, held for 162 days
Price at the screen
$14.02
Valuation
10.62 trailing · 14.06 forward price to earnings
Values screen
FAIL· score 70.0
The Workings
Five Screens, Shown in Full
Does not pass. Debt ratio
Test
Figure
Limit
What it means
Status
Business activity
Permissible
Core business clean
Its core business isn't built on prohibited lines: no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending.
Pass
Debt load
65.30%
Below 33%
Interest-bearing debt is 65.3% of its assets, above the one-third ceiling the screen allows.
Fail
Interest-bearing cash
0.00%
Below 33%
Cash held in interest-bearing accounts and securities is 0.0% of assets, under the one-third limit.
Pass
Receivables
6.12%
Below 49%
Money owed to the company is 6.1% of assets, under the 49% limit.
Pass
Revenue purity
1.10%
Below 5%
Only 1.1% of revenue comes from non-compliant sources, under the 5% line.
Pass
Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.
Fair value range in USD, drawn from the 2026-09-18 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. The price runs 12.9% above the base estimate.
Third-party analyst targets: 18 covering, consensus Buy. The average target sits +14% from the screen price.
Reading the gap · Our more conservative model reads it as fully-to-richly valued here, while the Street is more bullish: a quality-at-a-fair-price name rather than a deep-value one.
Price History & Projections
Where it has been, where the models see it going. History from market close data; projection points are our fair-value estimates and third-party analyst targets, dated to the 2026-09-18 screen.
Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.
The Business, in Plain Words
LNG exporter faces cyclical export risks
Think of LNG carriers crisscrossing the Atlantic as the new oil tankers of the 1970s. Venture Global builds the plants that turn US gas into export fuel for Europe and Asia, delivering 59 percent revenue growth, 18 percent profit margins and 26 percent ROE.
Those numbers look attractive on a 13.3 times forward multiple yet the shares already trade above our fair value with only a narrow moat. In a cyclical industry a low multiple often signals peak earnings rather than a bargain, which is why the opportunity rating stays at none despite an ethical pass.
Nineteen analysts still see upside to 16 dollars but the valuation gap and energy cycle exposure keep us on the sidelines. Analysis, not advice.
The risks · The things to watch: it carries a real debt load, which raises the stakes if revenue slips.
Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.
Where & How to Trade
VG trades on the NYSE. As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.
The framework has shifted from markup to accumulation since the last review. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved up 16.3% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D. Technically it is holding around 21% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are down 22%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 26%. The street (19 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $16. Insiders have been net sellers over the past quarter.
2026-08-16Markup · changed$13.58+3.8%Entry 4
The framework has shifted from distribution to markup since the last review. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved up 3.8% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D. Technically it is holding around 21% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are down 22%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 26%. The street (19 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $16.
2026-07-18Distribution$13.08+0.0%Entry 3
The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D. Technically it is holding around 21% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are down 22%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 26%. The street (19 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $16.
2026-07-03Distribution$13.08+0.0%Entry 2
The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns.
2026-07-02Distribution$13.08Entry 1
The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.
