Screened 2026-09-09 · the tape above runs as of 09:00 UTC · two dates, stated on purpose · verdict and workings shown in full · never trimmed
The Label · The Season, Not the Day
This name holds its distribution label.
MongoDB, Inc. holds its Distribution at $358.38. Consolidating, no directional conviction, held for 38 days.
As held on the ledger · 2026-09-09
Phase
Distribution · caution
Quantitative state
Consolidating, no directional conviction, held for 38 days
Price at the screen
$358.38
Valuation
504.76 trailing · 46.04 forward price to earnings
Values screen
PASS
Beta
1.59
The Workings
Five Screens, Shown in Full
Full pass across all five screens. This security clears the Titan Ethical Standard: its business and its balance sheet both stay inside the lines.
Test
Figure
Limit
What it means
Status
Business activity
Permissible
Core business clean
Its core business isn't built on prohibited lines: no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending.
Pass
Debt load
0.24%
Below 33%
Interest-bearing debt is just 0.2% of its assets, well under the one-third ceiling: it does not run on borrowed money.
Pass
Interest-bearing cash
9.09%
Below 33%
Cash held in interest-bearing accounts and securities is 9.1% of assets, under the one-third limit.
Pass
Receivables
0.00%
Below 49%
Money owed to the company is 0.0% of assets, under the 49% limit.
Pass
Revenue purity
0.00%
Below 5%
Only 0.0% of revenue comes from non-compliant sources, under the 5% line.
Pass
Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.
Fair value range in USD, drawn from the 2026-09-09 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. The price runs 6.9% above the base estimate.
Third-party analyst targets: 37 covering, consensus Buy. The average target sits +30% from the screen price.
Reading the gap · Our more conservative model reads it as fully-to-richly valued here, while the Street is more bullish: a quality-at-a-fair-price name rather than a deep-value one.
Price History & Projections
Where it has been, where the models see it going. History from market close data; projection points are our fair-value estimates and third-party analyst targets, dated to the 2026-09-09 screen.
Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.
The Business, in Plain Words
MongoDB Wins Developers Yet Trades Well Rich
Picture a startup founder spinning up a new app and reaching for MongoDB because its flexible documents feel simpler than old-school tables. That ease has driven 25% revenue growth, yet the company still posts a 1% negative profit margin and a weak competitive moat.
We pass because the shares sit 7% above our fair value at a 42.6 times forward earnings multiple while returns on equity remain negative. Analyst targets may sit higher, but the numbers show a business that has not yet proved it can convert growth into durable profits.
The main risk is simple: any slowdown in developer adoption would hit that premium valuation hard, and the weak moat offers little protection if bigger cloud providers tighten their own database offerings. Analysis, not advice.
The risks · The things to watch: it already moves more than the market on an average day; it carries a real debt load, which raises the stakes if revenue slips.
Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.
Where & How to Trade
MDB trades on Nasdaq. As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.
The Dated Journal · Newest First, Never Edited
Every Entry, As Written
2026-09-01Markup$430.83+0.0%Entry 12
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with ethical screening pending. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B. Technically it is momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are up 64%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 29%. The street (36 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $362. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-08-31Markup$430.83+0.0%Entry 11
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with ethical screening pending. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B. Technically it is momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are up 64%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 29%. The street (36 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $362. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-08-30Markup$430.83+0.0%Entry 10
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with ethical screening pending. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B. Technically it is momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are up 64%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 29%. The street (36 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $362. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-08-29Markup$430.83+0.0%Entry 9
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with ethical screening pending. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B. Technically it is momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are up 64%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 29%. The street (36 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $362. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-08-28Markup$430.83+0.0%Entry 8
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with ethical screening pending. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B. Technically it is momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are up 64%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 29%. The street (36 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $362. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-08-27Markup$430.83+0.0%Entry 7
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with ethical screening pending. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B. Technically it is momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are up 64%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 29%. The street (36 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $362. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-08-26Markup$430.83+0.0%Entry 6
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with ethical screening pending. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B. Technically it is momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are up 64%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 29%. The street (36 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $362. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-08-25Markup$430.83+39.1%Entry 5
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved up 39.1% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with ethical screening pending. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B. Technically it is momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are up 64%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 29%. The street (36 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $362. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-08-05Markup$309.71-11.7%Entry 4
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 11.7% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with ethical screening pending. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B. Technically it is momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are up 64%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 29%. The street (36 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $362.
2026-07-18Markup$350.74+0.0%Entry 3
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with ethical screening pending. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B. Technically it is momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are up 64%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 29%. The street (36 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $362.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.
