Framework Journal · one stock, one dated entry

Recorded 2026-07-29 · Permanent

Banco Santander Chile SA ADR logoBanco Santander Chile SA ADR BSAC

An entry written while the outcome is still unknown. It will be scored by what the market does next, and it will never be edited to look cleverer than it was.

In plain words · Banco Santander-Chile, together with its subsidiaries, provides commercial and retail banking products and services in Chile.

The label
Markup

read at $33.94

Banco Santander Chile SA ADR holds its Markup at $33.94.

PHINPOOPSC
  • PHPhase · the trend structure carries the Markup label
  • INInsiders · no filings inside 60 days, left as found
  • POPositioning · no disclosures inside 60 days, left as found
  • OPOptions · no verdict drawn today, left as found
  • SCScreen · does not pass the values gate
  • edge confirmed
  • edge broken
  • edge forming

Each arm is one independent read. Conviction is not a single call, it is how many edges converge.

The investor read · the season, not the day

As held on the ledger · 2026-07-29
PhaseMarkup
Quantitative stateConsolidating, no directional conviction, held for 7 days
Price$33.94
Valuation15.36 trailing · 10.90 forward price to earnings
Values screenFAIL · score 30.0
Beta0.24

The opportunity · what the numbers say it is worth

Read at
$33.94
15.36 P/E · 10.90 fwd
Our fair value
$40.00
18% discount
Analyst target (avg)
$36.80
+8% to current
Target low $18.90Analyst target rangeTarget high $40.00
▲ current $33.94 · | average target

Price history & projections · where it has been, where the models see it going

$41.9$28.2$14.5TODAY5y agoPROJECTIONOur fair value$40.00 +27%Analyst high$40.00 +27%Analyst avg$36.80 +17%Conservative$35.04 +11%

The valuation journey · where the price sits against fair value and the Street

Current
$33.94
you are here
Conservative
$35.04
+3%
Analyst avg
$36.80
+8%
Our fair value
$40.00
+18%
Analyst high
$40.00
+18%

Green marks levels above today's price, red below; the shaded band is the gap between the price and our fair value.

Reading the gap · Both our model and the analysts see meaningful upside from here.

Revenue growth19.30%
Profit margin47.26%
Analyst consensusHold · 11 covering

Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; target range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.

The values screen, explained · five checks, plain English

Does not pass. Excluded industry: Banks - Regional

  • Business activity Excluded industry: Banks - Regional Fail
  • Debt load Interest-bearing debt is of its assets, above the one-third ceiling the screen allows. Fail
  • Interest-bearing cash Interest-bearing cash and securities are of assets, above the one-third limit. Fail
  • Receivables Money owed to the company is of assets, above the 49% limit. Fail
  • Revenue purity of revenue comes from non-compliant sources, over the 5% line. Fail

Every security is read against two recognised standards: our stricter asset-based screen (ratios measured against total assets) and the more widely used market-value standard (measured against market capitalisation). Where they agree we say so plainly; where they part ways — almost always on the debt check — we show both readings and mark it, because that disagreement is the finding, not a fault. We report the score; you and your scholar make the call.

The business, in plain words · what the numbers mean

Chile Bank Numbers Tempt But Ethics Block

Picture a family in Santiago paying the mortgage or a copper miner settling payroll. The cash moves through Banco Santander Chile, a narrow-moat regional lender posting 19 percent revenue growth, 47 percent profit margins and 24 percent ROE. On paper the shares at 10.5 times forward earnings look reasonable against a $40 fair value. We still pass.

The ethical screen rules it out because regional banks sit on our excluded list. No amount of margin of safety or analyst consensus at $37 changes that verdict. Strong returns and a hold rating from eleven analysts cannot override the filter.

Cyclical earnings in Chile add further caution. A low multiple on peak profits can trap capital rather than unlock it. Analysis, not advice.

The fundamentals · plain-English read
Forward P/E10.9x
cheap for a company growing this fast
Trailing P/E15.4x
reasonably valued
Revenue growth19.3%
steady growth
Profit margin47.3%
highly profitable on every dollar of sales
Return on equity23.6%
an exceptional return on shareholder capital
Beta0.24
barely tracks the market's swings
Market cap$16.0B
Employees8,526

The risks · The things to watch: its business and earnings are exposed to Chile and to currency swings.

Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.

Related securities · others in BSAC's space worth a look

Screened names in the same industry · explore each on its own page.

The trader read · the latest dated commentary

The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved up 1.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 4% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 35%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 25%. The street (10 analysts) rates it hold, with a mean price target of $33. Entered 2026-07-23 · Markup

The dated journal · newest first, never edited

2026-07-23 Markup $32.83 +1.0% Entry 4

The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved up 1.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 4% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 35%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 25%. The street (10 analysts) rates it hold, with a mean price target of $33.

2026-07-18 Markup $32.51 +0.0% Entry 3

The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 4% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 35%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 25%. The street (10 analysts) rates it hold, with a mean price target of $33.

2026-07-03 Markup $32.51 +0.0% Entry 2

The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns.

2026-07-02 Markup $32.51 Entry 1

The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns.

Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.

What holding actually paid · price plus dividends

If $1,000 had been placed · historical, not a promise
PeriodPrice thenPrice returnDivs per share$1,000 becameTotal return
1 month $29.79 +5.8% · $1,058 +5.8%
2 months $33.53 -6.0% $1.52 $985 -1.5%
3 months $29.12 +8.2% $1.52 $1,134 +13.4%
6 months $29.36 +7.3% $1.52 $1,125 +12.5%
1 year $23.41 +34.6% $1.52 $1,411 +41.1%
2 years $16.79 +87.7% $2.85 $2,047 +104.7%
3 years $16.38 +92.4% $3.61 $2,144 +114.4%
5 years $16.39 +92.3% $6.08 $2,294 +129.4%

Historical returns from market close data. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

This entry now belongs to the ledger. Whatever BSAC does next, these words stay.

Banco Santander Chile SA ADR · BSAC · Markup · $33.94
Recorded 2026-07-29 · before the outcome · scored mechanically

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