Positioning no disclosures inside 60 days, left as found
Options no verdict drawn today, left as found
Ethical does not pass the values gate
Price29.86 USD
Fair value39.00
Ethical score70.0/100
Our investment reviews on this name
2026-08-23Read Markup35.87-16.8% to today
2026-07-02Read Accumulation36.49-18.2% to today
Our analytic regime reads on this name, dated and marked against today's price. Small sample per name, and separate from the daily-framework accuracy on the Track Record page.
Brookfield Renewable Corp holds its Markdown at $29.86. The statistical read favours the sellers, held for 6 days.
As held on the ledger · 2026-09-17
Phase
Markdown · caution
Quantitative state
The statistical read favours the sellers, held for 6 days
Price at the screen
$29.86
Valuation
N/A trailing · -31.08 forward price to earnings
Values screen
FAIL· score 70.0
Beta
1.16
The Workings
Five Screens, Shown in Full
Does not pass. Debt ratio
Test
Figure
Limit
What it means
Status
Business activity
Permissible
Core business clean
Its core business isn't built on prohibited lines: no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending.
Pass
Debt load
33.64%
Below 33%
Interest-bearing debt is 33.6% of its assets, above the one-third ceiling the screen allows.
Fail
Interest-bearing cash
0.00%
Below 33%
Cash held in interest-bearing accounts and securities is 0.0% of assets, under the one-third limit.
Pass
Receivables
2.53%
Below 49%
Money owed to the company is 2.5% of assets, under the 49% limit.
Pass
Revenue purity
3.67%
Below 5%
Only 3.7% of revenue comes from non-compliant sources, under the 5% line.
Pass
Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.
Fair value range in USD, drawn from the 2026-09-17 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. A 30.6% margin of safety to the base estimate.
Third-party analyst targets: 7 covering, consensus Hold. The average target sits +31% from the screen price.
Reading the gap · Both our model and the analysts see meaningful upside from here.
Price History & Projections
Where it has been, where the models see it going. History from market close data; projection points are our fair-value estimates and third-party analyst targets, dated to the 2026-09-17 screen.
Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.
The Business, in Plain Words
Renewables portfolio drowning in deepening losses
Picture a hydro dam or wind farm humming away, yet the parent company's accounts bleed red at every turn. Brookfield Renewable shows revenue sliding 3 percent, a profit margin of minus 122 percent and return on equity at minus 48 percent. The weak moat and negative forward earnings multiple of 62.7 times confirm the business is not translating its green assets into sustainable cash. We therefore pass, despite the apparent margin of safety to the 42 dollar consensus target.
The ethical screen clears, yet that only removes one objection. Core operations remain under pressure and the hold rating from analysts reflects the lack of visibility on a turnaround. A weak competitive position in a capital-intensive sector leaves little room for error when growth has already turned negative.
High leverage and exposure to power price swings add further fragility. Any recovery in margins would need sustained favourable conditions that have so far failed to materialise. Analysis, not advice.
The risks · The things to watch: it carries a real debt load, which raises the stakes if revenue slips.
Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.
Where & How to Trade
BEPC trades on the NYSE. As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.
The Dated Journal · Newest First, Never Edited
Every Entry, As Written
2026-08-23Markup · changed$35.87+5.8%Entry 5
The framework has shifted from accumulation to markup since the last review. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved up 5.8% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it A, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 1% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are up 20%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 24%. The street (6 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $41.
2026-07-22Accumulation$33.91-7.1%Entry 4
The framework reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 7.1% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 1% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are up 20%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 24%. The street (6 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $41.
2026-07-18Accumulation$36.49+0.0%Entry 3
The framework reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 1% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are up 20%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 24%. The street (6 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $41.
2026-07-03Accumulation$36.49+0.0%Entry 2
The framework reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns.
2026-07-02Accumulation$36.49Entry 1
The framework reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.
