NAS10029,644+0.67%S&P7,651+0.17%GOLD$4,417−0.18%BTC$81,133−0.12%VIX14.81−4.08%live tape · as of 23:00 UTC
The Screen · Industrials · Engineering & Construction
Tutor Perini Corporation
TPC · the NYSE · USD · Market cap $4.5B · 7,400 employees
Tutor Perini Corporation, a construction company, provides diversified general contracting, construction management, and design-build services to private customers and public agencies in the United States and internationally.
FAIL · Does not pass the screen
85.15 USD
At the last full screen 2026-09-15
Screened 2026-09-15 · the tape above runs as of 23:00 UTC · two dates, stated on purpose · verdict and workings shown in full · never trimmed
PRICE · FAIR-VALUE RANGE1M3M6MYTD1Y3Y5Y
What this means: price 85.15 against the desk's fair-value range, base estimate 119.41, over the last year.
Positioning no disclosures inside 60 days, left as found
Options no verdict drawn today, left as found
Ethical does not pass the values gate
Price85.15 USD
Fair value119.41
Ethical score70.0/100
Our investment reviews on this name
2026-09-15Read Markdown88.49-3.8% to today ✓
2026-08-15Read Markup99.11-14.1% to today
2026-07-02Read Distribution74.92+13.7% to today
Our analytic regime reads on this name, dated and marked against today's price. Small sample per name, and separate from the daily-framework accuracy on the Track Record page.
Tutor Perini Corporation holds its Markdown at $85.15. Elevated stress, defensive posture warranted, held for 14 days.
As held on the ledger · 2026-09-15
Phase
Markdown · caution
Quantitative state
Elevated stress, defensive posture warranted, held for 14 days
Price at the screen
$85.15
Valuation
36.70 trailing · 14.04 forward price to earnings
Values screen
FAIL· score 70.0
Beta
2.06
The Workings
Five Screens, Shown in Full
Does not pass. Accounts receivable
Test
Figure
Limit
What it means
Status
Business activity
Permissible
Core business clean
Its core business isn't built on prohibited lines: no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending.
Pass
Debt load
7.89%
Below 33%
Interest-bearing debt is just 7.9% of its assets, well under the one-third ceiling: it does not run on borrowed money.
Pass
Interest-bearing cash
0.00%
Below 33%
Cash held in interest-bearing accounts and securities is 0.0% of assets, under the one-third limit.
Pass
Receivables
50.81%
Below 49%
Money owed to the company is 50.8% of assets, above the 49% limit.
Fail
Revenue purity
0.00%
Below 5%
Only 0.0% of revenue comes from non-compliant sources, under the 5% line.
Pass
Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.
Fair value range in USD, drawn from the 2026-09-15 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. A 40.2% margin of safety to the base estimate.
Third-party analyst targets: 4 covering, consensus None. The average target sits +38% from the screen price.
Reading the gap · Both our model and the analysts see meaningful upside from here.
Price History & Projections
Where it has been, where the models see it going. History from market close data; projection points are our fair-value estimates and third-party analyst targets, dated to the 2026-09-15 screen.
Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.
The Business, in Plain Words
Low margin builder offers little despite cheap valuation
Picture a contractor delivering big infrastructure projects yet pocketing just one percent profit on every dollar of revenue. Tutor Perini shows twelve percent revenue growth and a forward multiple of twelve point nine times, with return on equity at eleven percent, but the thin margins leave almost no cushion when costs rise or projects slip.
We pass despite the fifty percent gap to our fair value of one hundred eighteen point thirty six and a strong buy analyst consensus. The business sits in a cyclical industry where low multiples often signal peak earnings rather than bargains, and an unknown moat adds further uncertainty.
Currency swings and contract disputes can wipe out those slim profits quickly. The ethical screen passes, yet the overall profile still fails to clear our bar. Analysis, not advice.
The risks · The things to watch: it already moves more than the market on an average day.
Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.
Where & How to Trade
TPC trades on the NYSE. As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.
The Dated Journal · Newest First, Never Edited
Every Entry, As Written
2026-09-15Markdown · changed$88.49-10.7%Entry 5
The framework has shifted from markup to markdown since the last review. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 10.7% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D. Technically it is holding around 2% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bearish. Over the past year the shares are up 71%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 42%. The street (4 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $113.
2026-08-15Markup · changed$99.11+32.3%Entry 4
The framework has shifted from distribution to markup since the last review. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved up 32.3% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D. Technically it is holding around 2% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bearish. Over the past year the shares are up 71%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 42%. The street (4 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $113.
2026-07-18Distribution$74.92+0.0%Entry 3
The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 2% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bearish. Over the past year the shares are up 71%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 42%. The street (4 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $113.
2026-07-03Distribution$74.92+0.0%Entry 2
The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns.
2026-07-02Distribution$74.92Entry 1
The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.
