2026-10-25
Atlas Energy Solutions clears the business-activity screen and the figures we can measure look clean, but one or more financial figures are still pending, so the verdict is not final yet.
NAS100 26,990 +1.35%
S&P 7,377 +0.31%
GOLD $4,075 −0.94%
BTC $75,624 −0.16%
VIX 25.64 −9.01%
latest tape · as of 02:03 UTC
The Screen · Energy · Oil & Gas Equipment & Services
Atlas Energy Solutions Inc.
AESI · the NYSE · USD · Market cap $841M · 1,511 employees
Atlas Energy Solutions Inc.
Not yet scored5.41 USD
Price as of 6 Nov 2026Daily close, not a live quote
Screened 2026-11-06 · the tape above runs as of 02:03 UTC · two dates, stated on purpose · verdict and workings shown in full · never trimmed
Key facts today
- Price5.41 USD at the 6 Nov 2026 close
- Fair valueUnder review: our model's value is 2.53x the price, above our 1.35x limit.
- Our regime readDistribution, as of 7 Nov 2026
- Ethical screenNot yet scored
- OptionsOpen interest leans to puts (put/call 2.77)
- Last reviewed6 Nov 2026 (2 days ago)
- Release timesRelease and earnings times on your chart: Event Guard Mentor
A summary of the dated readings below, not a live quote and not advice.
PRICE · ONE YEAR
Our fair-value range: range not available (screen dated 2026-11-06).
- Trend Distribution
- Insiders no filings inside 60 days, left as found
- Positioning no disclosures inside 60 days, left as found
- Options put/call open interest 2.77, read 2026-11-05
- Ethical screen not yet scored
Price5.41 USD
Fair valueUnder review
Ethical score70.0/100
Our investment reviews on this name
2026-10-02Read Distribution13.27-59.2% to today ✓Markup gives way to Distribution first Distribution read since August
2026-09-19Read Markup13.63-60.3% to today Distribution gives way to Markup after a 21% rise in 4 weeks
2026-08-20Read Distribution11.27-52.0% to today ✓Markup gives way to Distribution after a 34% slide in 7 weeks
2026-07-02Read Markup16.97-68.1% to today First review on file: Markup
Our analytic regime reads on this name, dated and marked against the screened price. Small sample per name, and separate from the daily-framework accuracy on the Track Record page.
The full research record, in depth, below
This name holds its distribution label.
Atlas Energy Solutions Inc. holds its Distribution at $5.41. Consolidating, no directional conviction, held for 35 days.
| Phase | Distribution · caution |
| Quantitative state | Consolidating, no directional conviction, held for 35 days |
| Price at the screen | $5.41 |
| Valuation | N/A trailing · -134.60 forward price to earnings |
| Values screen | Not scored · score 70.0 |
| Beta | 1.25 |
Five Screens, Shown in Full
This security has not been fully scored against the values screen yet.
| Test | Figure | Limit | What it means | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Business activity | Permissible | Core business clean | Its core business isn't built on prohibited lines: no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending. | Pass |
| Debt load | 27.90% | Below 33% | Interest-bearing debt is just 27.9% of its assets, well under the one-third ceiling: it does not run on borrowed money. | Pass |
| Interest-bearing cash | 0.00% | Below 33% | Cash held in interest-bearing accounts and securities is 0.0% of assets, under the one-third limit. | Pass |
| Receivables | 9.93% | Below 49% | Money owed to the company is 9.9% of assets, under the 49% limit. | Pass |
Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.
The Ethical ReadThe Read, in Plain English
Atlas Energy Solutions clears the business-activity screen and the figures we can measure look clean, but one or more financial figures are still pending, so the verdict is not final yet.
Read as at 2026-11-07. It updates when the underlying figures move, and past reads are kept below.
2026-09-24
Clears
Atlas Energy Solutions clears all five screens. Its business is in a permissible area, its interest-bearing debt is about 28%, inside the ~33% line, and almost none of its income is interest, so it passes.
Earlier reads, kept as written. The ethical profile is tracked over time, not overwritten.
What the Numbers Say It Is WorthThe Fair Value Range
Fair value under review. Our model's value is 2.53x the price, above our 1.35x limit. We show no fair value, margin of safety or value read built on it until the review clears.
How a fair value is estimated: discounted cash flow (DCF).
The Street's RangeThird-party analyst targets: 13 covering, consensus Buy. The average target sits +214% from the screen price.
Where our models see it going: no fair-value estimate yet, range not available, dated to the 2026-11-06 screen.
Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.
The Business, in Plain WordsPermian Sand Supplier Trades Well Above Fair Value
Picture a West Texas sand mine that only runs when drillers are spending hard. Atlas Energy Solutions feeds those crews with proppant and power, yet revenue is already down 11 percent and both profit margins and return on equity sit in negative territory. At 36.8 times forward earnings the shares price in a recovery that has not arrived, leaving the stock 17 percent above our calculated fair value and offering no opportunity on any standard measure.
We therefore pass. The ethical screen raises no flags, yet the combination of losses, unknown competitive edge and stretched valuation leaves nothing worth owning at current levels. Twelve analysts may still favour the name with a 21 dollar median target, but those forecasts sit outside the numbers the business is actually posting.
Cyclical oil services often look expensive precisely when earnings are about to roll over. A low multiple can signal a value trap at the peak; here the high multiple simply makes the trap more obvious. Analysis, not advice.
| Forward P/E | -134.6x |
| EPS, trailing | -1.12 |
| EPS, forward | -0.05 |
| Revenue growth | +3.1%slow but positive growth |
| Profit margin | -13.0%currently unprofitable |
| Return on equity | -12.1%not currently earning a positive return on equity |
| FCF yield | -29.22% |
| Dividend yield | 5.88% |
| Debt to equity | 0.92moderate, manageable leverage |
| Current ratio | 1.22adequate liquidity, worth monitoring |
| Beta | 1.25moves a little more than the market |
| Short interest, float | 0.25% |
| 52-week range | 6.63 - 20.13 |
| Market cap | $841M |
| Employees | 1,511 |
Another profit measure, before interest, tax and non-cash costs: EBITDA.
The risks · The things to watch: it's a small-cap, so the share price can swing harder than the market.
Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.
Where & How to TradeAESI trades on the NYSE. As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.
Every Entry, As Written
2026-11-02
Distribution $9.22
+0.0% Entry 18
The analysis reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: not fully scored yet. The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C. Technically it is momentum reading oversold. Over the past year the shares are up 20%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 24%. The street (11 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $19. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-11-01
Distribution $9.22
+1.5% Entry 17
The analysis reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved up 1.5% since our last review. Ethical screening: not fully scored yet. The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D. Technically it is momentum reading oversold. Over the past year the shares are up 20%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 24%. The street (11 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $19. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-10-31
Distribution $9.08
+0.0% Entry 16
The analysis reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: not fully scored yet. The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D. Technically it is momentum reading oversold. Over the past year the shares are up 20%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 24%. The street (11 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $19. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-10-30
Distribution $9.08
+0.0% Entry 15
The analysis reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: not fully scored yet. The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D. Technically it is momentum reading oversold. Over the past year the shares are up 20%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 24%. The street (11 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $19. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-10-29
Distribution $9.08
-3.3% Entry 14
The analysis reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 3.3% since our last review. Ethical screening: not fully scored yet. The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D. Technically it is momentum reading oversold. Over the past year the shares are up 20%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 24%. The street (11 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $19. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-10-28
Distribution $9.39
+0.0% Entry 13
The analysis reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: not fully scored yet. The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D. Technically it is momentum reading oversold. Over the past year the shares are up 20%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 24%. The street (11 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $19. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-10-27
Distribution $9.39
+0.0% Entry 12
The analysis reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: not fully scored yet. The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D. Technically it is momentum reading oversold. Over the past year the shares are up 20%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 24%. The street (11 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $19. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-10-26
Distribution $9.39
-8.9% Entry 11
The analysis reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 8.9% since our last review. Ethical screening: not fully scored yet. The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D. Technically it is momentum reading oversold. Over the past year the shares are up 20%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 24%. The street (11 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $19. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-10-19
Distribution $10.31
-16.1% Entry 10
The analysis reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 16.1% since our last review. Ethical screening: not fully scored yet. The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D. Technically it is momentum reading oversold. Over the past year the shares are up 20%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 24%. The street (11 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $19.
2026-10-12
Distribution $12.29
-7.4% Entry 9
The analysis reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 7.4% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B. Technically it is holding around 42% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 20%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 24%. The street (11 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $19.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.
- Atlas Energy Solutions (AESI) Q3 earnings report preview: what to look for Yahoo Finance · 7d ago
- Atlas Energy Solutions (AESI) Stock Could Be Overvalued As Bridge Loan Funds Data Center Projects Yahoo Finance · 8d ago
- Boeing upgraded, Enphase downgraded: Wall Street's top analyst calls Yahoo Finance · 11d ago
- Earnings Preview: Atlas Energy Solutions Inc. (AESI) Q3 Earnings Expected to Decline Yahoo Finance · 13d ago
- Is Atlas Energy Solutions (AESI) Undervalued As Its Bridge Loan Funds Data Center Growth? Yahoo Finance · 14d ago
Headlines from third-party outlets, linked for reference: not our reporting, not advice.
VTOLBristow Group Inc.
RESRPC, Inc.
FETForum Energy Technologies Inc
PUMPProPetro Holding Corp.
ACDCProFrac Holding Corp.
HLXHelix Energy Solutions Group, Inc.
Screened names in the same industry · explore each on its own page.
| Date | Politician | Party | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-13 | Chip Roy | Republican | sell | 100K–250K |
| Period | Price then | Price return | Divs per share | $1,000 became | Total return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 month | $18.84 | -10.6% | · | $894 | -10.6% |
| 2 months | $11.37 | +48.2% | · | $1,482 | +48.2% |
| 3 months | $13.50 | +24.8% | · | $1,248 | +24.8% |
| 6 months | $10.45 | +61.2% | · | $1,612 | +61.2% |
| 1 year | $14.01 | +20.2% | $0.25 | $1,220 | +22.0% |
| 2 years | $19.72 | -14.6% | $1.22 | $916 | -8.4% |
| 3 years | $15.65 | +7.7% | $2.05 | $1,208 | +20.8% |
Historical returns from market close data. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
This entry now belongs to the ledger. Whatever AESI does next, these words stay.
Membership
Thirteen thousand names carry this page. One desk keeps them honest.
Membership opens the full screen archive, the composites built from it, and the daily coverage that prices what the screen approves.
Join the deskScreening is research, not a fatwa and not financial advice. Figures are drawn from public accounts at the screen date shown. Always manage your risk.