The framework has shifted from markup to distribution since the last review. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 11.2% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it A. Technically it is momentum reading overbought. Over the past year the shares are up 193%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 38%. The street (7 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $38.
Penguin Solutions, Inc.
PENG · Nasdaq · USD · Market cap $2.4B · 2,900 employees
Penguin Solutions, Inc.
PASS · Titan Ethical · score 70.0At the last full screen
2026-09-15
Screened 2026-09-15 · the tape above runs as of 23:00 UTC · 20 Sep · two dates, stated on purpose · verdict and workings shown in full · never trimmed
What this means: price 47.50 against the desk's fair-value range, base estimate 83.47, over the last year.
- Trend Markup
- Insiders no filings inside 60 days, left as found
- Positioning no disclosures inside 60 days, left as found
- Options no verdict drawn today, left as found
- Ethical passes the values gate
Our analytic regime reads on this name, dated and marked against today's price. Small sample per name, and separate from the daily-framework accuracy on the Track Record page.
This name holds its markup label.
Penguin Solutions, Inc. holds its Markup at $47.50. The statistical read favours the buyers, held for 38 days.
| Phase | Markup |
| Quantitative state | The statistical read favours the buyers, held for 38 days |
| Price at the screen | $47.50 |
| Valuation | 34.17 trailing · 14.20 forward price to earnings |
| Values screen | PASS · score 70.0 |
| Beta | 2.85 |
Five Screens, Shown in Full
Full pass across all five screens. This security clears the Titan Ethical Standard: its business and its balance sheet both stay inside the lines.
| Test | Figure | Limit | What it means | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Business activity | Permissible | Core business clean | Its core business isn't built on prohibited lines: no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending. | Pass |
| Debt load | 32.44% | Below 33% | Interest-bearing debt is just 32.4% of its assets, well under the one-third ceiling: it does not run on borrowed money. | Pass |
| Interest-bearing cash | 0.00% | Below 33% | Cash held in interest-bearing accounts and securities is 0.0% of assets, under the one-third limit. | Pass |
| Receivables | 47.10% | Below 49% | Money owed to the company is 47.1% of assets, under the 49% limit. | Pass |
| Revenue purity | 0.00% | Below 5% | Only 0.0% of revenue comes from non-compliant sources, under the 5% line. | Pass |
Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.
What the Numbers Say It Is WorthThe Fair Value Range
Fair value range in USD, drawn from the 2026-09-15 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. A 75.7% margin of safety to the base estimate.
Third-party analyst targets: 7 covering, consensus None. The average target sits +68% from the screen price.
Reading the gap · Both our model and the analysts see meaningful upside from here.
Price History & ProjectionsWhere it has been, where the models see it going. History from market close data; projection points are our fair-value estimates and third-party analyst targets, dated to the 2026-09-15 screen.
Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.
The Business, in Plain WordsTech builder with growth but no clear edge
Picture a firm that wires up the servers and memory systems keeping global research labs and factories humming. Penguin Solutions does exactly that through its mix of advanced computing kit and services, posting 48% revenue growth while clearing a slim 6% profit margin and 16% return on equity.
Yet the opportunity rating sits at none. Even with a forward multiple of 18.1 times and our own fair value 38% above the current price, the unknown moat and lack of standout competitive edge keep us on the sidelines despite an ethical pass and a buy consensus from seven analysts.
Currency swings, execution slips on new deployments, and the risk that fast revenue growth fails to lift margins all sit in plain view. The numbers look reasonable on paper, but without a durable advantage they do not add up to a compelling case.
Analysis, not advice.
| Forward P/E | 14.2xcheap for a company growing this fast |
| Trailing P/E | 34.2xa premium valuation |
| EPS, trailing | 1.39 |
| EPS, forward | 3.34 |
| Revenue growth | +47.6%growing very fast |
| Profit margin | 6.4%thin but positive margins |
| Return on equity | 16.2%a solid return on shareholder capital |
| FCF yield | -4.42% |
| Debt to equity | 0.77moderate, manageable leverage |
| Current ratio | 1.54healthy short-term liquidity |
| Beta | 2.85much more volatile than the market |
| Short interest, float | 0.18% |
| 52-week range | 16.04 - 89.86 |
| Market cap | $2.4B |
| Employees | 2,900 |
The risks · The things to watch: it already moves more than the market on an average day.
Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.
Where & How to TradePENG trades on Nasdaq. As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.
Every Entry, As Written
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 8.9% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it A. Technically it is momentum reading overbought. Over the past year the shares are up 193%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 38%. The street (7 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $38.
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it A. Technically it is momentum reading overbought. Over the past year the shares are up 193%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 38%. The street (7 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $38.
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns.
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.
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- Penguin Edge Wind-Down Pressures Revenue: Can AI Drive PENG's Growth? Zacks · 5d ago
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- 3 Forgotten AI Stocks That Should Rebound From Their Corrections Motley Fool · 8d ago
Headlines from third-party outlets, linked for reference: not our reporting, not advice.
Screened names in the same industry · explore each on its own page.
| Period | Price then | Price return | Divs per share | $1,000 became | Total return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 month | $43.54 | +34.8% | · | $1,348 | +34.8% |
| 2 months | $23.02 | +155.0% | · | $2,550 | +155.0% |
| 3 months | $17.77 | +230.4% | · | $3,304 | +230.4% |
| 6 months | $21.83 | +168.9% | · | $2,689 | +168.9% |
| 1 year | $20.01 | +193.4% | · | $2,934 | +193.4% |
| 2 years | $21.86 | +168.6% | · | $2,686 | +168.6% |
| 3 years | $24.00 | +144.6% | · | $2,446 | +144.6% |
| 5 years | $23.73 | +147.4% | · | $2,474 | +147.4% |
Historical returns from market close data. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
This entry now belongs to the ledger. Whatever PENG does next, these words stay.
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Join the deskScreening is research, not a fatwa and not financial advice. Figures are drawn from public accounts at the screen date shown. Always manage your risk.