2026-10-25
Penguin Solutions, clears the business-activity screen and the figures we can measure look clean, but one or more financial figures are still pending, so the verdict is not final yet.
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latest tape · as of 20:03 UTC
The Screen · Technology · Information Technology Services
Penguin Solutions, Inc.
PENG · Nasdaq · USD · Market cap $2.5B · 2,900 employees
Penguin Solutions, Inc.
Not yet scored37.22 USD
Price as of 5 Nov 2026Daily close, not a live quote
Screened 2026-11-05 · the tape above runs as of 20:03 UTC · two dates, stated on purpose · verdict and workings shown in full · never trimmed
Key facts today
- Price37.22 USD at the 5 Nov 2026 close
- Fair valueUnder review: our model's value is 2.07x the price, above our 2.00x limit.
- Our regime readDistribution, as of 5 Nov 2026
- Ethical screenNot yet scored
- OptionsOpen interest leans to puts (put/call 2.11)
- Last reviewed5 Nov 2026 (1 days ago)
- Release timesRelease and earnings times on your chart: Event Guard Mentor
A summary of the dated readings below, not a live quote and not advice.
PRICE · ONE YEAR
Our fair-value range: range not available (screen dated 2026-11-05).
- Trend Distribution
- Insiders insiders sold, $272,812, latest filing 2026-10-29
- Positioning no disclosures inside 60 days, left as found
- Options put/call open interest 2.11, read 2026-11-05
- Ethical screen not yet scored
Price37.22 USD
Fair valueUnder review
Ethical score70.0/100
Our investment reviews on this name
2026-11-04Read Distribution53.19-30.0% to today ✓Markup gives way to Distribution
2026-10-02Read Markup54.91-32.2% to today Distribution gives way to Markup after a 6% rise in 3 weeks
2026-09-09Read Distribution51.86-28.2% to today ✓Markup gives way to Distribution after a 19% slide in 10 weeks
2026-07-02Read Markup64.13-42.0% to today First review on file: Markup
Our analytic regime reads on this name, dated and marked against the screened price. Small sample per name, and separate from the daily-framework accuracy on the Track Record page.
The full research record, in depth, below
This name holds its distribution label.
Penguin Solutions, Inc. holds its Distribution at $37.22. The statistical read favours the sellers, held for 12 days.
| Phase | Distribution · caution |
| Quantitative state | The statistical read favours the sellers, held for 12 days |
| Price at the screen | $37.22 |
| Valuation | 18.60 trailing · 9.20 forward price to earnings |
| Values screen | Not scored · score 70.0 |
| Beta | 2.88 |
Five Screens, Shown in Full
This security has not been fully scored against the values screen yet.
| Test | Figure | Limit | What it means | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Business activity | Permissible | Core business clean | Its core business isn't built on prohibited lines: no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending. | Pass |
| Debt load | 32.44% | Below 33% | Interest-bearing debt is just 32.4% of its assets, well under the one-third ceiling: it does not run on borrowed money. | Pass |
| Interest-bearing cash | 0.00% | Below 33% | Cash held in interest-bearing accounts and securities is 0.0% of assets, under the one-third limit. | Pass |
| Receivables | 47.10% | Below 49% | Money owed to the company is 47.1% of assets, under the 49% limit. | Pass |
Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.
The Ethical ReadThe Read, in Plain English
Penguin Solutions, clears the business-activity screen and the figures we can measure look clean, but one or more financial figures are still pending, so the verdict is not final yet.
Read as at 2026-11-05. It updates when the underlying figures move, and past reads are kept below.
2026-09-24
Clears
Penguin Solutions, clears all five screens. Its business is in a permissible area, its interest-bearing debt is about 32%, inside the ~33% line, and almost none of its income is interest, so it passes.
Earlier reads, kept as written. The ethical profile is tracked over time, not overwritten.
What the Numbers Say It Is WorthThe Fair Value Range
Fair value under review. Our model's value is 2.07x the price, above our 2.00x limit. We show no fair value, margin of safety or value read built on it until the review clears.
How a fair value is estimated: discounted cash flow (DCF).
The Street's RangeThird-party analyst targets. The average target sits +128% from the screen price.
Where our models see it going: no fair-value estimate yet, range not available, dated to the 2026-11-05 screen.
Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.
The Business, in Plain WordsTech builder with growth but no clear edge
Picture a firm that wires up the servers and memory systems keeping global research labs and factories humming. Penguin Solutions does exactly that through its mix of advanced computing kit and services, posting 48% revenue growth while clearing a slim 6% profit margin and 16% return on equity.
Yet the opportunity rating sits at none. Even with a forward multiple of 18.1 times and our own fair value 38% above the current price, the unknown moat and lack of standout competitive edge keep us on the sidelines despite an ethical pass and a buy consensus from seven analysts.
Currency swings, execution slips on new deployments, and the risk that fast revenue growth fails to lift margins all sit in plain view. The numbers look reasonable on paper, but without a durable advantage they do not add up to a compelling case.
Analysis, not advice.
| Forward P/E | 9.2xcheap for a company growing this fast |
| Trailing P/E | 18.6xreasonably valued |
| EPS, trailing | 2.60 |
| EPS, forward | 5.26 |
| Revenue growth | +67.7%growing very fast |
| Profit margin | 10.4%thin but positive margins |
| Return on equity | 27.6%an exceptional return on shareholder capital |
| FCF yield | -5.02% |
| Debt to equity | 1.15a meaningful debt load worth watching |
| Current ratio | 1.88healthy short-term liquidity |
| Beta | 2.88much more volatile than the market |
| Short interest, float | 0.18% |
| 52-week range | 16.04 - 89.86 |
| Market cap | $2.5B |
| Employees | 2,900 |
Another profit measure, before interest, tax and non-cash costs: EBITDA.
The risks · The things to watch: it already moves more than the market on an average day.
Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.
Where & How to TradePENG trades on Nasdaq. As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.
Every Entry, As Written
2026-11-04
Distribution · changed $53.19
-8.9% Entry 10
The framework has shifted from markup to distribution since the last review. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 8.9% since our last review. Ethical screening: not fully scored yet. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D. Technically it is holding around 24% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 193%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 38%. The street (7 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $38. Insiders have been net sellers over the past quarter.
2026-10-28
Markup $58.38
-5.6% Entry 9
The analysis reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 5.6% since our last review. Ethical screening: not fully scored yet. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C. Technically it is holding around 24% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 193%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 38%. The street (7 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $38. Insiders have been net sellers over the past quarter. Since the last review it its composite score rose.
2026-10-21
Markup $61.86
-18.9% Entry 8
The analysis reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 18.9% since our last review. Ethical screening: not fully scored yet. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B. Technically it is holding around 35% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 193%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 38%. The street (7 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $38.
2026-10-14
Markup $76.28
+38.9% Entry 7
The analysis reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved up 38.9% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it A. Technically it is momentum reading overbought. Over the past year the shares are up 193%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 38%. The street (7 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $38.
2026-10-02
Markup · changed $54.91
+5.9% Entry 6
The framework has shifted from distribution to markup since the last review. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved up 5.9% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it A. Technically it is momentum reading overbought. Over the past year the shares are up 193%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 38%. The street (7 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $38. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-09-09
Distribution · changed $51.86
-11.2% Entry 5
The framework has shifted from markup to distribution since the last review. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 11.2% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it A. Technically it is momentum reading overbought. Over the past year the shares are up 193%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 38%. The street (7 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $38.
2026-08-08
Markup $58.43
-8.9% Entry 4
Our analysis reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 8.9% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it A. Technically it is momentum reading overbought. Over the past year the shares are up 193%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 38%. The street (7 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $38.
2026-07-18
Markup $64.13
+0.0% Entry 3
Our analysis reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it A. Technically it is momentum reading overbought. Over the past year the shares are up 193%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 38%. The street (7 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $38.
2026-07-03
Markup $64.13
+0.0% Entry 2
Our analysis reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns.
2026-07-02
Markup $64.13
Entry 1
Our analysis reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.
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| Date | Insider | Title | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-29 | Frey Anthony George | SVP, Chief Revenue Officer | S - Sale | 4,631 | $272,812 |
| 2026-10-23 | Clark Joseph Gates | SVP, Pres, Optimized LED | S - Sale | 869 | $44,771 |
| 2026-10-22 | Kuykendall Anne | SVP, GC | S - Sale | 738 | $40,649 |
Public filings, recorded as found. The full tape lives at Insider Intelligence.
| Period | Price then | Price return | Divs per share | $1,000 became | Total return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 month | $43.54 | +34.8% | · | $1,348 | +34.8% |
| 2 months | $23.02 | +155.0% | · | $2,550 | +155.0% |
| 3 months | $17.77 | +230.4% | · | $3,304 | +230.4% |
| 6 months | $21.83 | +168.9% | · | $2,689 | +168.9% |
| 1 year | $20.01 | +193.4% | · | $2,934 | +193.4% |
| 2 years | $21.86 | +168.6% | · | $2,686 | +168.6% |
| 3 years | $24.00 | +144.6% | · | $2,446 | +144.6% |
| 5 years | $23.73 | +147.4% | · | $2,474 | +147.4% |
Historical returns from market close data. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
This entry now belongs to the ledger. Whatever PENG does next, these words stay.
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