Screened 2025-10-31 · the tape above runs as of 21:00 UTC · two dates, stated on purpose · verdict and workings shown in full · never trimmed
The Label · The Season, Not the Day
This name holds its accumulation label.
ME Group International plc holds its Accumulation at $109.60. The statistical read favours the sellers, held for 29 days.
As held on the ledger · 2025-10-31
Phase
Accumulation
Quantitative state
The statistical read favours the sellers, held for 29 days
Price at the screen
$109.60
Valuation
7.31 trailing · 7.09 forward price to earnings
Values screen
PASS· score 70.0
Beta
0.48
The Workings
Five Screens, Shown in Full
Full pass across all five screens. This security clears the Titan Ethical Standard: its business and its balance sheet both stay inside the lines.
Test
Figure
Limit
What it means
Status
Business activity
Permissible
Core business clean
Its core business isn't built on prohibited lines: no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending.
Pass
Debt load
12.87%
Below 33%
Interest-bearing debt is just 12.9% of its assets, well under the one-third ceiling: it does not run on borrowed money.
Pass
Interest-bearing cash
0.00%
Below 33%
Cash held in interest-bearing accounts and securities is 0.0% of assets, under the one-third limit.
Pass
Receivables
20.23%
Below 49%
Money owed to the company is 20.2% of assets, under the 49% limit.
Pass
Revenue purity
0.04%
Below 5%
Only 0.0% of revenue comes from non-compliant sources, under the 5% line.
Pass
Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.
Fair value range in GBp, drawn from the 2025-10-31 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. The price runs 3.5% above the base estimate.
Third-party analyst targets: 2 covering, consensus Strong Buy. The average target sits +92% from the screen price.
Reading the gap · Our more conservative model reads it as fully-to-richly valued here, while the Street is more bullish: a quality-at-a-fair-price name rather than a deep-value one.
Price History & Projections
Where it has been, where the models see it going. History from market close data; projection points are our fair-value estimates and third-party analyst targets, dated to the 2025-10-31 screen.
Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.
The risks · The things to watch: it's a small-cap, so the share price can swing harder than the market; its business and earnings are exposed to United Kingdom and to currency swings.
Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.
Where & How to Trade
MEGP.L trades on LSE (the company is based in United Kingdom). As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.
The framework has shifted from markup to accumulation since the last review. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are down 47%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 19%. The street (2 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $247.
2026-08-05Markup · changed$109.60+0.0%Entry 4
The framework has shifted from distribution to markup since the last review. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are down 47%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 19%. The street (2 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $247.
2026-07-18Distribution$109.60+0.0%Entry 3
The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are down 47%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 19%. The street (2 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $247.
2026-07-03Distribution$109.60+0.0%Entry 2
The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns.
2026-07-02Distribution$109.60Entry 1
The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.
What Holding Actually Paid · Price Plus Dividends
If $1,000 had been placed · historical, not a promise
Period
Price then
Price return
Divs per share
$1,000 became
Total return
1 month
$139.60
-19.5%
·
$805
-19.5%
2 months
$144.75
-22.4%
$4.79
$810
-19.0%
3 months
$1.37
+8,131.0%
$4.79
$85,818
+8,481.8%
6 months
$158.95
-29.3%
$4.79
$737
-26.3%
1 year
$211.39
-46.8%
$8.64
$573
-42.7%
2 years
$161.85
-30.6%
$16.54
$797
-20.3%
3 years
$159.58
-29.6%
$23.93
$854
-14.6%
5 years
$71.79
+56.6%
$39.52
$2,116
+111.6%
Historical returns from market close data. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
The Ledger's Promise
This entry now belongs to the ledger. Whatever MEGP.L does next, these words stay.
ME Group International plc · MEGP.L · Accumulation · $109.60
Recorded 2025-10-31 · before the outcome · scored mechanically