The framework has shifted from markup to markdown since the last review. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 3.7% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 37% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 117%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 32%. The street (3 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $74.
The Gorman-Rupp Company
GRC · the NYSE · USD · Market cap $1.9B · 1,415 employees
The Gorman-Rupp Company designs, manufactures, and sells pumps and pump systems in the United States and internationally.
FAIL · Does not pass the screenAt the last full screen
2026-09-15
Screened 2026-09-15 · the tape above runs as of 23:00 UTC · two dates, stated on purpose · verdict and workings shown in full · never trimmed
This name holds its markdown label.
The Gorman-Rupp Company holds its Markdown at $71.23. Consolidating, no directional conviction, held for 2 days.
| Phase | Markdown · caution |
| Quantitative state | Consolidating, no directional conviction, held for 2 days |
| Price at the screen | $71.23 |
| Valuation | 30.05 trailing · 22.52 forward price to earnings |
| Values screen | FAIL · score 70.0 |
| Beta | 1.28 |
Five Screens, Shown in Full
Does not pass. Debt ratio
| Test | Figure | Limit | What it means | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Business activity | Permissible | Core business clean | Its core business isn't built on prohibited lines: no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending. | Pass |
| Debt load | 35.76% | Below 33% | Interest-bearing debt is 35.8% of its assets, above the one-third ceiling the screen allows. | Fail |
| Interest-bearing cash | 0.00% | Below 33% | Cash held in interest-bearing accounts and securities is 0.0% of assets, under the one-third limit. | Pass |
| Receivables | 14.36% | Below 49% | Money owed to the company is 14.4% of assets, under the 49% limit. | Pass |
| Revenue purity | 0.00% | Below 5% | Only 0.0% of revenue comes from non-compliant sources, under the 5% line. | Pass |
Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.
What the Numbers Say It Is WorthThe Fair Value Range
Fair value range in USD, drawn from the 2026-09-15 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. A 0.6% margin of safety to the base estimate.
Third-party analyst targets: 3 covering, consensus None. The average target sits +12% from the screen price.
Reading the gap · Our more conservative model reads it as roughly fairly valued here, while the Street is more bullish: a quality-at-a-fair-price name rather than a deep-value one.
Price History & ProjectionsWhere it has been, where the models see it going. History from market close data; projection points are our fair-value estimates and third-party analyst targets, dated to the 2026-09-15 screen.
Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.
The Business, in Plain WordsPumps Keep Industry Flowing Yet Shares Look Overpriced
Every factory floor or flood defence that needs reliable water movement ends up relying on specialised pumps. Gorman-Rupp makes those components and has grown revenue 8 percent while delivering an 8 percent profit margin and 15 percent return on equity. The business clears the ethical screen without issue, yet the shares sit well above our fair value of 67.47 dollars at the current 79.74 dollar price.
Forward earnings sit at 26.6 times, a multiple that already prices in continued steady growth. Three analysts still carry a buy rating with a 75 dollar median target, but that leaves little room for disappointment in either margins or demand. Without a clear moat to protect those returns, the valuation leaves no margin of safety and produces a zero opportunity rating.
Cyclical industrial spending can shift quickly when construction or farm investment slows, and any compression in multiples would widen the gap to fair value further. Currency moves and raw-material costs add another layer of pressure that the numbers do not yet reflect. Analysis, not advice.
| Forward P/E | 22.5xexpensive even after accounting for its growth |
| Trailing P/E | 30.1xa premium valuation |
| EPS, trailing | 2.37 |
| EPS, forward | 3.16 |
| Revenue growth | +3.9%slow but positive growth |
| Profit margin | 8.9%thin but positive margins |
| Return on equity | 14.9%a solid return on shareholder capital |
| FCF yield | 4.08% |
| Dividend yield | 90.00% |
| Debt to equity | 0.62moderate, manageable leverage |
| Current ratio | 2.81comfortably covers its short-term bills |
| Beta | 1.28moves a little more than the market |
| Short interest, float | 0.03% |
| 52-week range | 42.31 - 92.78 |
| Market cap | $1.9B |
| Employees | 1,415 |
The risks · The things to watch: it's a small-cap, so the share price can swing harder than the market.
Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.
Where & How to TradeGRC trades on the NYSE. As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.
Every Entry, As Written
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 4.8% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 37% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 117%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 32%. The street (3 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $74.
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 37% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 117%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 32%. The street (3 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $74.
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns.
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.
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Headlines from third-party outlets, linked for reference: not our reporting, not advice.
Screened names in the same industry · explore each on its own page.
| Period | Price then | Price return | Divs per share | $1,000 became | Total return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 month | $77.69 | +3.2% | $0.19 | $1,034 | +3.4% |
| 2 months | $68.66 | +16.8% | $0.19 | $1,170 | +17.0% |
| 3 months | $58.99 | +35.9% | $0.19 | $1,362 | +36.2% |
| 6 months | $49.00 | +63.6% | $0.38 | $1,644 | +64.4% |
| 1 year | $36.90 | +117.2% | $0.76 | $2,192 | +119.2% |
| 2 years | $35.05 | +128.7% | $1.49 | $2,330 | +133.0% |
| 3 years | $25.35 | +216.2% | $2.21 | $3,249 | +224.9% |
| 5 years | $32.52 | +146.5% | $3.57 | $2,575 | +157.5% |
Historical returns from market close data. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
This entry now belongs to the ledger. Whatever GRC does next, these words stay.
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