PT Astra International Tbk, together with its subsidiaries, operates in the automotive, financial services, heavy equipment, mining, construction, energy, agri, infrastructure and logistics, information technology, and p…
Screened 2026-07-19 · the tape above runs as of 15:00 UTC · two dates, stated on purpose · verdict and workings shown in full · never trimmed
The Label · The Season, Not the Day
This name holds its accumulation label.
Astra International holds its Accumulation at $5,100.00. Consolidating, no directional conviction, held for 22 days.
As held on the ledger · 2026-07-19
Phase
Accumulation
Quantitative state
Consolidating, no directional conviction, held for 22 days
Price at the screen
$5,100.00
Valuation
6.50 trailing · 6.64 forward price to earnings
Values screen
PASS· score 70.0
Beta
-0.01
The Workings
Five Screens, Shown in Full
Full pass across all five screens. This security clears the Titan Ethical Standard: its business and its balance sheet both stay inside the lines.
Test
Figure
Limit
What it means
Status
Business activity
Permissible
Core business clean
Its core business isn't built on prohibited lines: no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending.
Pass
Debt load
21.74%
Below 33%
Interest-bearing debt is just 21.7% of its assets, well under the one-third ceiling: it does not run on borrowed money.
Pass
Interest-bearing cash
10.37%
Below 33%
Cash held in interest-bearing accounts and securities is 10.4% of assets, under the one-third limit.
Pass
Receivables
5.48%
Below 49%
Money owed to the company is 5.5% of assets, under the 49% limit.
Pass
Revenue purity
0.23%
Below 5%
Only 0.2% of revenue comes from non-compliant sources, under the 5% line.
Pass
Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.
What the Numbers Say It Is Worth
The Fair Value Range
Our framework reads OPPORTUNITY: it trades at roughly a 36% discount to our $6,955.37 fair value.
Fair value range in IDR, drawn from the 2026-07-19 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. A 36.4% margin of safety to the base estimate.
Third-party analyst targets: 23 covering, consensus Buy. The average target sits +37% from the screen price.
Reading the gap · Both our model and the analysts see meaningful upside from here.
Price History & Projections
Where it has been, where the models see it going. History from market close data; projection points are our fair-value estimates and third-party analyst targets, dated to the 2026-07-19 screen.
Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.
The Business, in Plain Words
Why it stands out
Trading at 6.6x forward earnings, with minimal debt. That is a 36% discount to our $6,955.37 fair value: the market is pricing it cautiously while the fundamentals argue otherwise. 23 analysts rate it Buy with a $7,000.00 average target, about 37% above today's price.
The risks · The things to watch: its business and earnings are exposed to Indonesia and to currency swings.
Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.
Where & How to Trade
ASII.JK trades on IDX (the company is based in Indonesia). As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.
The framework has shifted from distribution to markdown since the last review. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is momentum reading bearish. Over the past year the shares are up 9%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 24%. The street (22 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $6888.
2026-07-30Distribution$5,100.00+0.0%Entry 12
The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is momentum reading bearish. Over the past year the shares are up 9%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 24%. The street (22 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $6888. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-07-28Distribution$5,100.00+0.0%Entry 11
The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is momentum reading bearish. Over the past year the shares are up 9%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 24%. The street (22 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $6888. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-07-27Distribution$5,100.00+0.0%Entry 10
The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is momentum reading bearish. Over the past year the shares are up 9%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 24%. The street (22 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $6888. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-07-26Distribution$5,100.00+0.0%Entry 9
The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is momentum reading bearish. Over the past year the shares are up 9%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 24%. The street (22 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $6888. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-07-25Distribution$5,100.00+0.0%Entry 8
The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is momentum reading bearish. Over the past year the shares are up 9%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 24%. The street (22 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $6888. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-07-24Distribution$5,100.00+0.0%Entry 7
The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is momentum reading bearish. Over the past year the shares are up 9%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 24%. The street (22 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $6888. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-07-23Distribution$5,100.00+0.0%Entry 6
The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is momentum reading bearish. Over the past year the shares are up 9%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 24%. The street (22 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $6888. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-07-21Distribution$5,100.00+7.6%Entry 5
The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved up 7.6% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is momentum reading bearish. Over the past year the shares are up 9%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 24%. The street (22 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $6888.
2026-07-18Distribution$4,740.00+0.0%Entry 4
The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is momentum reading bearish. Over the past year the shares are up 9%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 24%. The street (22 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $6888.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.
What Holding Actually Paid · Price Plus Dividends
If $1,000 had been placed · historical, not a promise
Period
Price then
Price return
Divs per share
$1,000 became
Total return
1 month
$6,050.00
-22.3%
·
$777
-22.3%
2 months
$5,997.19
-21.6%
$292.00
$832
-16.8%
3 months
$5,664.01
-17.0%
$292.00
$881
-11.9%
6 months
$6,282.77
-25.2%
$292.00
$795
-20.5%
1 year
$4,304.91
+9.2%
$390.00
$1,182
+18.2%
2 years
$3,876.86
+21.2%
$796.00
$1,418
+41.8%
3 years
$5,273.64
-10.9%
$1,315.00
$1,141
+14.1%
5 years
$3,575.08
+31.5%
$2,194.00
$1,928
+92.8%
Historical returns from market close data. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
The Ledger's Promise
This entry now belongs to the ledger. Whatever ASII.JK does next, these words stay.
Astra International · ASII.JK · Accumulation · $5,100.00
Recorded 2026-07-19 · before the outcome · scored mechanically
