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The Screen · Real Estate · REIT - Mortgage

Adamas Trust, Inc.

ADAM · Nasdaq · USD · Market cap $802M · 221 employees

Adamas Trust, Inc.

FAIL · Does not pass the screen
5.92 USD

Price as of 5 Nov 2026Daily close, not a live quote

Screened 2026-11-05 · the tape above runs as of 18:01 UTC · two dates, stated on purpose · verdict and workings shown in full · never trimmed

Key facts today

  • Price5.92 USD at the 5 Nov 2026 close
  • Our value readUndervalued vs our fair value, as of 5 Nov 2026
  • Our regime readDistribution, as of 5 Nov 2026
  • Ethical screenDoes not pass
  • OptionsOpen interest leans to puts (put/call 1.84)
  • Last reviewed5 Nov 2026 (1 days ago)
  • Release timesRelease and earnings times on your chart: Event Guard Mentor

A summary of the dated readings below, not a live quote and not advice.

PRICE · ONE YEAR

Our fair-value range: $12.03 to $12.36, base estimate $12.03 (screen dated 2026-11-05).

Current read
Distribution ?
Undervalued · screened 2026-11-05
  • Trend Distribution
  • Insiders no filings inside 60 days, left as found
  • Positioning no disclosures inside 60 days, left as found
  • Options put/call open interest 1.84, read 2026-11-01
  • Ethical does not pass the values gate
Price5.92 USD
Fair value12.03
Ethical score30.0/100
Value readUndervaluedas of 5 Nov 2026
Our investment reviews on this name
2026-10-21Read Distribution7.79-24.0% to today ✓Markdown gives way to Distribution after a 16% slide in 5 weeks
2026-09-19Read Markdown9.31-36.4% to today ✓Markup gives way to Markdown with volume flow in agreement
2026-07-02Read Markup9.31-36.4% to today First review on file: Markup

Our analytic regime reads on this name, dated and marked against the screened price. Small sample per name, and separate from the daily-framework accuracy on the Track Record page.

The full research record, in depth, below
The Label · The Season, Not the Day

This name holds its distribution label.

Adamas Trust, Inc. holds its Distribution at $5.92. Elevated stress, defensive posture warranted, held for 2 days.

As held on the ledger · 2026-11-05
PhaseDistribution · caution
Quantitative stateElevated stress, defensive posture warranted, held for 2 days
Price at the screen$5.92
Valuation7.62 trailing · 8.35 forward price to earnings
Values screenFAIL · score 30.0
Beta1.25
The Workings

Five Screens, Shown in Full

Does not pass. Prohibited keyword in sector/industry: mortgage

TestFigureLimitWhat it meansStatus
Business activity Excluded Core business clean Prohibited keyword in sector/industry: mortgage Fail
Debt load Excluded Below 33% Interest-bearing debt is of its assets, above the one-third ceiling the screen allows. Fail
Interest-bearing cash Excluded Below 33% Interest-bearing cash and securities are of assets, above the one-third limit. Fail
Receivables Excluded Below 49% Money owed to the company is of assets, above the 49% limit. Fail
Revenue purity Excluded Below 5% of revenue comes from non-compliant sources, over the 5% line. Fail

Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.

The Ethical Read

Why It Falls Short, in Plain English

Adamas Trust, does not clear the screen at the business-activity stage. It operates in an area the screen excludes: mortgage, so the financial ratios are not the deciding factor here.

Read as at 2026-11-05. It updates when the underlying figures move, and past reads are kept below.

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What the Numbers Say It Is Worth

The Fair Value Range

Our analysis reads Undervalued vs our fair value, as of 5 Nov 2026: it trades at roughly a 49% discount to our $12.03 fair value, 10.70% revenue growth.

How a fair value is estimated: discounted cash flow (DCF).

12.03Conservative12.03Base case12.36Growth case 5.92Price

Fair value range in USD, drawn from the 2026-11-05 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. A 50.8% discount to the base estimate.

The Street's Range
8.50Street low 9.63Street average 24.00Street high 5.92Price

Third-party analyst targets. The average target sits +63% from the screen price.

Reading the gap · Both our model and the analysts see meaningful upside from here.

Price History & Projections

Where our models see it going: fair-value estimate $12.03, with a range of $12.03 to $12.36, dated to the 2026-11-05 screen.

Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.

The Business, in Plain Words

Why it stands out

A 11%-growth business trading at just 8.4x forward earnings. That is a 49% discount to our $12.03 fair value: the market is pricing it cautiously while the fundamentals argue otherwise.

The fundamentals · plain-English read
Forward P/E8.4xfairly priced for its growth rate
Trailing P/E7.6xvery cheap relative to earnings
EPS, trailing1.17
EPS, forward1.07
Revenue growth+10.7%steady growth
Profit margin48.1%highly profitable on every dollar of sales
Return on equity13.0%a solid return on shareholder capital
Dividend yield1,031.00%
Debt to equity7.65heavy leverage: higher risk if revenue softens
Current ratio0.82below 1: short-term bills exceed liquid assets
Beta1.25moves a little more than the market
Short interest, float0.03%
52-week range6.16 - 9.48
Market cap$802M
Employees221

Another profit measure, before interest, tax and non-cash costs: EBITDA.

The risks · The things to watch: it's a small-cap, so the share price can swing harder than the market; it carries a real debt load, which raises the stakes if revenue slips.

Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.

Where & How to Trade

ADAM trades on Nasdaq. As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.

The Dated Journal · Newest First, Never Edited

Every Entry, As Written

2026-11-04 Distribution $5.73 -26.4% Entry 19

The analysis reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 26.4% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 4% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 48%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 31%. The street (6 analysts) rates it hold, with a mean price target of $12.

2026-10-28 Distribution $7.79 +0.0% Entry 18

The analysis reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 4% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 48%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 31%. The street (6 analysts) rates it hold, with a mean price target of $12. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.

2026-10-27 Distribution $7.79 +0.0% Entry 17

The analysis reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 4% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 48%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 31%. The street (6 analysts) rates it hold, with a mean price target of $12. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.

2026-10-26 Distribution $7.79 +0.0% Entry 16

The analysis reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 4% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 48%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 31%. The street (6 analysts) rates it hold, with a mean price target of $12. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.

2026-10-25 Distribution $7.79 +0.0% Entry 15

The analysis reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 4% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bearish. Over the past year the shares are up 48%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 31%. The street (6 analysts) rates it hold, with a mean price target of $12. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.

2026-10-24 Distribution $7.79 +0.0% Entry 14

The analysis reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 4% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bearish. Over the past year the shares are up 48%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 31%. The street (6 analysts) rates it hold, with a mean price target of $12. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.

2026-10-23 Distribution $7.79 +0.0% Entry 13

The analysis reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 4% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bearish. Over the past year the shares are up 48%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 31%. The street (6 analysts) rates it hold, with a mean price target of $12. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.

2026-10-22 Distribution $7.79 +0.0% Entry 12

The analysis reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 4% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bearish. Over the past year the shares are up 48%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 31%. The street (6 analysts) rates it hold, with a mean price target of $12. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.

2026-10-21 Distribution · changed $7.79 +0.0% Entry 11

The framework has shifted from markdown to distribution since the last review. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 4% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bearish. Over the past year the shares are up 48%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 31%. The street (6 analysts) rates it hold, with a mean price target of $12. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.

2026-10-19 Markdown $7.79 +1.8% Entry 10

The analysis reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved up 1.8% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 4% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bearish. Over the past year the shares are up 48%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 31%. The street (6 analysts) rates it hold, with a mean price target of $12.

Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.

What Holding Actually Paid · Price Plus Dividends
If $1,000 had been placed · historical, not a promise
PeriodPrice thenPrice returnDivs per share$1,000 becameTotal return
1 month $8.66 +4.7% · $1,047 +4.7%
2 months $7.59 +19.5% · $1,195 +19.5%
3 months $7.66 +18.4% $0.23 $1,214 +21.4%
6 months $6.68 +35.7% $0.46 $1,426 +42.6%
1 year $6.14 +47.8% $0.89 $1,623 +62.3%
2 years $4.52 +100.5% $1.69 $2,379 +137.9%
3 years $6.88 +31.8% $2.69 $1,709 +70.9%
5 years $10.17 -10.8% $5.89 $1,471 +47.1%

Historical returns from market close data. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

The Ledger's Promise

This entry now belongs to the ledger. Whatever ADAM does next, these words stay.

Adamas Trust, Inc. · ADAM · Distribution · $5.92
Recorded 2026-11-05 · before the outcome · scored mechanically

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