Framework Journal · one stock, one dated entry

Recorded 2026-07-19 · Permanent

Ellomay Capital Ltd ELLO

Clears the common standard

An entry written while the outcome is still unknown. It will be scored by what the market does next, and it will never be edited to look cleverer than it was.

In plain words · Ellomay Capital Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the initiation, development, construction, and production of renewable and clean energy projects in Europe, the United States, and Israel.

The label
Distribution

read at $18.90

Ellomay Capital Ltd holds its Distribution at $18.90.

PHINPOOPSC
  • PHPhase · the trend structure carries the Distribution label
  • INInsiders · no filings inside 60 days, left as found
  • POPositioning · no disclosures inside 60 days, left as found
  • OPOptions · no verdict drawn today, left as found
  • SCScreen · passes the values gate
  • edge confirmed
  • edge broken
  • edge forming

Each arm is one independent read. Conviction is not a single call, it is how many edges converge.

The investor read · the season, not the day

As held on the ledger · 2026-07-19
PhaseDistribution · caution
Quantitative stateThe statistical read favours the sellers, held for 4 days
Price$18.90
ValuationN/A trailing · N/A forward price to earnings
Values screenPASS · score 70.0
Beta0.98

The business, in plain words · what the numbers mean

The fundamentals · plain-English read
Revenue growth-2.2%
revenue is shrinking
Profit margin-48.3%
currently unprofitable
Return on equity-16.9%
not currently earning a positive return on equity
Debt to equity4.28
heavy leverage — higher risk if revenue softens
Current ratio1.40
adequate liquidity, worth monitoring
Beta0.98
steadier than the market
Market cap$261M
Employees29

The risks · The things to watch: it's a small-cap, so the share price can swing harder than the market; its business and earnings are exposed to Israel and to currency swings; it carries a real debt load, which raises the stakes if revenue slips.

Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.

Related securities · others in ELLO's space worth a look

Screened names in the same industry · explore each on its own page.

The trader read · the latest dated commentary

The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 10.5% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 2% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 45%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 30%. Entered 2026-07-27 · Distribution

The dated journal · newest first, never edited

2026-07-27 Distribution $18.90 -10.5% Entry 4

The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 10.5% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 2% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 45%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 30%.

2026-07-18 Distribution $21.11 +0.0% Entry 3

The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 2% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 45%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 30%.

2026-07-03 Distribution $21.11 +0.0% Entry 2

The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns.

2026-07-02 Distribution $21.11 Entry 1

The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns.

Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.

The political ledger · congressional disclosures

Disclosures naming ELLO
DatePoliticianPartyTypeAmount
2026-04-13 Ro Khanna Democrat Purchase 1K–15K

What holding actually paid · price plus dividends

If $1,000 had been placed · historical, not a promise
PeriodPrice thenPrice returnDivs per share$1,000 becameTotal return
1 month $23.35 -9.4% · $906 -9.4%
2 months $24.45 -13.5% · $865 -13.5%
3 months $25.94 -18.5% · $815 -18.5%
6 months $22.10 -4.3% · $957 -4.3%
1 year $14.54 +45.5% · $1,455 +45.5%
2 years $13.60 +55.5% · $1,555 +55.5%
3 years $17.30 +22.3% · $1,223 +22.3%
5 years $29.85 -29.2% · $709 -29.2%

Historical returns from market close data. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

This entry now belongs to the ledger. Whatever ELLO does next, these words stay.

Ellomay Capital Ltd · ELLO · Distribution · $18.90
Recorded 2026-07-19 · before the outcome · scored mechanically

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