Universal Display Corporation engages in the research, development, and commercialization of organic light emitting diode (OLED) technologies and materials for use in display and solid-state lighting applications.
FAIL · Does not pass the screen
83.56 USD
At the last full screen 2026-09-11
Screened 2026-09-11 · the tape above runs as of 19:00 UTC · two dates, stated on purpose · verdict and workings shown in full · never trimmed
The Label · The Season, Not the Day
This name holds its distribution label.
Universal Display Corporation holds its Distribution at $83.56. The statistical read favours the sellers, held for 18 days.
As held on the ledger · 2026-09-11
Phase
Distribution · caution
Quantitative state
The statistical read favours the sellers, held for 18 days
Price at the screen
$83.56
Valuation
20.18 trailing · 17.55 forward price to earnings
Values screen
FAIL· score 70.0
Beta
1.56
The Workings
Five Screens, Shown in Full
Does not pass. Revenue purity
Test
Figure
Limit
What it means
Status
Business activity
Permissible
Core business clean
Its core business isn't built on prohibited lines: no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending.
Pass
Debt load
0.98%
Below 33%
Interest-bearing debt is just 1.0% of its assets, well under the one-third ceiling: it does not run on borrowed money.
Pass
Interest-bearing cash
23.63%
Below 33%
Cash held in interest-bearing accounts and securities is 23.6% of assets, under the one-third limit.
Pass
Receivables
13.15%
Below 49%
Money owed to the company is 13.2% of assets, under the 49% limit.
Pass
Revenue purity
6.10%
Below 5%
6.1% of revenue comes from non-compliant sources, over the 5% line.
Fail
Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.
Fair value range in USD, drawn from the 2026-09-11 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. A 21.5% margin of safety to the base estimate.
Third-party analyst targets: 9 covering, consensus None. The average target sits +38% from the screen price.
Reading the gap · Both our model and the analysts see meaningful upside from here.
Price History & Projections
Where it has been, where the models see it going. History from market close data; projection points are our fair-value estimates and third-party analyst targets, dated to the 2026-09-11 screen.
Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.
The Business, in Plain Words
OLED tech lights up screens but sales are shrinking
Every time a flagship phone or premium TV switches on, the odds are high that Universal Display's materials are making the pixels glow. The company holds real expertise in phosphorescent OLED tech for displays and lighting. Yet we pass because revenue fell 14% and the opportunity rating shows none, even with a 20% margin of safety between the $80 price and our $96 fair value.
Forward earnings sit at 16.3 times while profit margins reach 34% and return on equity is 13%. Nine analysts call it a buy with a $120 median target, and the ethical screen clears cleanly. Those surface attractions do not overcome the missing growth signal or the unknown moat.
Cyclical demand swings in consumer electronics can turn today's margins into tomorrow's trap, and currency or supply-chain shocks add further pressure. The numbers simply do not justify stepping in now. Analysis, not advice.
The risks · The things to watch: it already moves more than the market on an average day.
Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.
Where & How to Trade
OLED trades on Nasdaq. As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.
The Dated Journal · Newest First, Never Edited
Every Entry, As Written
2026-09-08Distribution$86.84+8.3%Entry 5
The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved up 8.3% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are down 45%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 19%. The street (9 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $128.
The framework has shifted from markup to distribution since the last review. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 12.3% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are down 45%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 19%. The street (9 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $128.
2026-07-18Markup$91.46+0.0%Entry 3
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are down 45%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 19%. The street (9 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $128.
2026-07-03Markup$91.46+0.0%Entry 2
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns.
2026-07-02Markup$91.46Entry 1
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.
