The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 14.5% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 29% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading overbought. Over the past year the shares are up 19%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 24%. The street (2 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $172.
Novanta Inc.
NOVT · Nasdaq · USD · Market cap $5.5B · 3,000 employees
Novanta Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides precision medicine, precision manufacturing, medical solutions, robotics and automation solutions, and advanced surgery solutions in the United States and internationally.
PASS · Titan Ethical · score 70.0At the last full screen
2026-09-11
Screened 2026-09-11 · the tape above runs as of 15:00 UTC · two dates, stated on purpose · verdict and workings shown in full · never trimmed
This name holds its distribution label.
Novanta Inc. holds its Distribution at $146.56. Consolidating, no directional conviction, held for 11 days.
| Phase | Distribution · caution |
| Quantitative state | Consolidating, no directional conviction, held for 11 days |
| Price at the screen | $146.56 |
| Valuation | 92.76 trailing · 33.56 forward price to earnings |
| Values screen | PASS · score 70.0 |
| Beta | 1.68 |
Five Screens, Shown in Full
Full pass across all five screens. This security clears the Titan Ethical Standard: its business and its balance sheet both stay inside the lines.
| Test | Figure | Limit | What it means | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Business activity | Permissible | Core business clean | Its core business isn't built on prohibited lines: no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending. | Pass |
| Debt load | 16.71% | Below 33% | Interest-bearing debt is just 16.7% of its assets, well under the one-third ceiling: it does not run on borrowed money. | Pass |
| Interest-bearing cash | 0.00% | Below 33% | Cash held in interest-bearing accounts and securities is 0.0% of assets, under the one-third limit. | Pass |
| Receivables | 31.31% | Below 49% | Money owed to the company is 31.3% of assets, under the 49% limit. | Pass |
| Revenue purity | 0.00% | Below 5% | Only 0.0% of revenue comes from non-compliant sources, under the 5% line. | Pass |
Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.
What the Numbers Say It Is WorthThe Fair Value Range
Fair value range in USD, drawn from the 2026-09-11 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. A 5.1% margin of safety to the base estimate.
Third-party analyst targets: 2 covering, consensus Strong Buy. The average target sits +33% from the screen price.
Reading the gap · Both our model and the analysts see meaningful upside from here.
Price History & ProjectionsWhere it has been, where the models see it going. History from market close data; projection points are our fair-value estimates and third-party analyst targets, dated to the 2026-09-11 screen.
Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.
The Business, in Plain WordsPrecision Parts Maker Priced Well Beyond Its Worth
Picture a surgeon relying on exact laser cuts during an operation or a factory robot slotting parts with zero tolerance for error. Novanta supplies those niche components across medical and automation markets. Yet at 35.9 times forward earnings, with revenue growing just 10 percent, margins stuck at 5 percent and return on equity also at 5 percent, the shares sit 5 percent above our fair value and carry no opportunity rating.
The business clears our ethical screen, which rules out many peers in the sector. That is the only clear positive. Everything else points to a company whose returns fail to justify the multiple investors are paying, especially when the moat remains unclear and only two analysts even bother to publish targets.
Valuation leaves little room for execution slips or slower adoption of its tools. Currency swings and customer concentration in medical equipment add further pressure that thin margins cannot easily absorb. Analysis, not advice.
| Forward P/E | 33.6xexpensive even after accounting for its growth |
| Trailing P/E | 92.8xexpensive: the price assumes strong growth ahead |
| EPS, trailing | 1.58 |
| EPS, forward | 4.37 |
| Revenue growth | +10.3%steady growth |
| Profit margin | 6.0%thin but positive margins |
| Return on equity | 5.1%a modest return on shareholder capital |
| FCF yield | 2.14% |
| Debt to equity | 0.18minimal debt: a conservative balance sheet |
| Current ratio | 4.57comfortably covers its short-term bills |
| Beta | 1.68much more volatile than the market |
| Short interest, float | 0.15% |
| 52-week range | 98.27 - 176.38 |
| Market cap | $5.5B |
| Employees | 3,000 |
The risks · The things to watch: it already moves more than the market on an average day.
Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.
Where & How to TradeNOVT trades on Nasdaq. As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.
Every Entry, As Written
The framework has shifted from markup to distribution since the last review. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved up 1.7% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 29% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading overbought. Over the past year the shares are up 19%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 24%. The street (2 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $172.
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 29% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading overbought. Over the past year the shares are up 19%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 24%. The street (2 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $172.
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns.
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.
Screened names in the same industry · explore each on its own page.
| Period | Price then | Price return | Divs per share | $1,000 became | Total return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 month | $139.98 | +10.7% | · | $1,107 | +10.7% |
| 2 months | $125.23 | +23.7% | · | $1,237 | +23.7% |
| 3 months | $119.54 | +29.6% | · | $1,296 | +29.6% |
| 6 months | $120.22 | +28.9% | · | $1,289 | +28.9% |
| 1 year | $129.67 | +19.5% | · | $1,195 | +19.5% |
| 2 years | $161.15 | -3.8% | · | $962 | -3.8% |
| 3 years | $167.82 | -7.7% | · | $923 | -7.7% |
| 5 years | $135.01 | +14.8% | · | $1,148 | +14.8% |
Historical returns from market close data. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
This entry now belongs to the ledger. Whatever NOVT does next, these words stay.
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Join the deskScreening is research, not a fatwa and not financial advice. Figures are drawn from public accounts at the screen date shown. Always manage your risk.