The Goodyear Tire & Rubber Company, together with its subsidiaries, develops, manufactures, distributes, and sells tires and related products and services in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific.
FAIL · Does not pass the screen
5.16 USD
At the last full screen 2026-09-16
Screened 2026-09-16 · the tape above runs as of 09:00 UTC · two dates, stated on purpose · verdict and workings shown in full · never trimmed
The Label · The Season, Not the Day
This name holds its markdown label.
The Goodyear Tire & Rubber Company holds its Markdown at $5.16. Consolidating, no directional conviction, held for 54 days.
As held on the ledger · 2026-09-16
Phase
Markdown · caution
Quantitative state
Consolidating, no directional conviction, held for 54 days
Price at the screen
$5.16
Valuation
N/A trailing · 9.15 forward price to earnings
Values screen
FAIL· score 70.0
Beta
1.11
The Workings
Five Screens, Shown in Full
Does not pass. Debt ratio
Test
Figure
Limit
What it means
Status
Business activity
Permissible
Core business clean
Its core business isn't built on prohibited lines: no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending.
Pass
Debt load
39.85%
Below 33%
Interest-bearing debt is 39.9% of its assets, above the one-third ceiling the screen allows.
Fail
Interest-bearing cash
0.00%
Below 33%
Cash held in interest-bearing accounts and securities is 0.0% of assets, under the one-third limit.
Pass
Receivables
17.26%
Below 49%
Money owed to the company is 17.3% of assets, under the 49% limit.
Pass
Revenue purity
0.20%
Below 5%
Only 0.2% of revenue comes from non-compliant sources, under the 5% line.
Pass
Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.
Fair value range in USD, drawn from the 2026-09-16 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. A 17.0% margin of safety to the base estimate.
Third-party analyst targets: 7 covering, consensus Hold. The average target sits +36% from the screen price.
Reading the gap · Both our model and the analysts see meaningful upside from here.
Price History & Projections
Where it has been, where the models see it going. History from market close data; projection points are our fair-value estimates and third-party analyst targets, dated to the 2026-09-16 screen.
Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.
The Business, in Plain Words
Goodyear's Cheap Multiple Hides A Value Trap
Picture a tyre shop in a recession where every customer is delaying the new set until the old ones literally fall apart. Goodyear sits in exactly that spot. Revenue is already down 9 percent, margins sit at minus 12 percent and return on equity has collapsed to minus 50 percent. A forward multiple of 11 times looks tempting on the surface, yet the business is losing money and the market is only offering a hold rating with a $7 target barely above the current price. We pass.
The low multiple is the classic warning sign for a cyclical name, not an invitation. Peak earnings have already rolled over and the company has no visible moat to protect it once volumes recover. Ethical checks clear, but that single pass does not turn negative returns and shrinking sales into an investment case.
Risk sits in the continued erosion of volumes and pricing power across every major region. Without a clear path back to positive profit, the present valuation offers no margin of safety. Analysis, not advice.
The risks · The things to watch: it's a small-cap, so the share price can swing harder than the market; it carries a real debt load, which raises the stakes if revenue slips.
Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.
Where & How to Trade
GT trades on Nasdaq. As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.
The Dated Journal · Newest First, Never Edited
Every Entry, As Written
2026-08-31Markdown · changed$6.15-15.6%Entry 5
The framework has shifted from markup to markdown since the last review. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 15.6% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading bearish. Over the past year the shares are down 51%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 20%. The street (7 analysts) rates it hold, with a mean price target of $7.
2026-07-31Markup · changed$7.29+13.9%Entry 4
The framework has shifted from distribution to markup since the last review. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved up 13.9% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading bearish. Over the past year the shares are down 51%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 20%. The street (7 analysts) rates it hold, with a mean price target of $7.
2026-07-18Distribution$6.40+0.0%Entry 3
The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading bearish. Over the past year the shares are down 51%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 20%. The street (7 analysts) rates it hold, with a mean price target of $7.
2026-07-03Distribution$6.40+0.0%Entry 2
The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns.
2026-07-02Distribution$6.40Entry 1
The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.
