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The Screen · Consumer Cyclical · Auto Manufacturers

Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings plc

AML.L · LSE · GBp · Market cap $33.0B · 2,807 employees

Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings plc engages in the design, development, manufacture, and marketing of sports cars and sports utility vehicles(SUVs) in the United Kingdom, the United States, the Middle East, Africa,…

FAIL · Does not pass the screen
32.58 GBp

Screen close, 2026-09-18 · not a live quote
Last reviewed 17 days ago

Screened 2026-09-18 · the tape above runs as of 07:00 UTC · two dates, stated on purpose · verdict and workings shown in full · never trimmed

PRICE · FAIR-VALUE RANGE1M3M6MYTD1Y3Y5Y
30.0043.9852.13

What this means: price 32.58 against the desk's fair-value range, base estimate 43.98, over the last year.

Current read
Markdown ?
Screened · screened 2026-09-18
  • Trend Markdown
  • Insiders no filings inside 60 days, left as found
  • Positioning no disclosures inside 60 days, left as found
  • Options no verdict drawn today, left as found
  • Ethical does not pass the values gate
Price32.58 GBp
Fair value43.98
Ethical score70.0/100
Our investment reviews on this name
2026-08-21Read Markdown42.18-22.8% to today ✓
2026-07-02Read Markup42.18-22.8% to today

Our analytic regime reads on this name, dated and marked against the screened price. Small sample per name, and separate from the daily-framework accuracy on the Track Record page.

The full research record, in depth, below
The Label · The Season, Not the Day

This name holds its markdown label.

Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings plc holds its Markdown at $32.58. Consolidating, no directional conviction, held for 27 days.

As held on the ledger · 2026-09-18
PhaseMarkdown · caution
Quantitative stateConsolidating, no directional conviction, held for 27 days
Price at the screen$32.58
ValuationN/A trailing · -3.16 forward price to earnings
Values screenFAIL · score 70.0
Beta1.98
The Workings

Five Screens, Shown in Full

Does not pass. Debt ratio

TestFigureLimitWhat it meansStatus
Business activity Permissible Core business clean Its core business isn't built on prohibited lines: no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending. Pass
Debt load 56.75% Below 33% Interest-bearing debt is 56.7% of its assets, above the one-third ceiling the screen allows. Fail
Interest-bearing cash 0.00% Below 33% Cash held in interest-bearing accounts and securities is 0.0% of assets, under the one-third limit. Pass
Receivables 12.82% Below 49% Money owed to the company is 12.8% of assets, under the 49% limit. Pass
Revenue purity 0.37% Below 5% Only 0.4% of revenue comes from non-compliant sources, under the 5% line. Pass

Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.

The Ethical Read

Why It Falls Short, in Plain English

Aston Martin Lagonda Global's business is in a permissible area, but its interest-bearing debt is about 57% of the company, well over the ~33% line, so it does not pass on the financial screens.

Read as at 2026-10-04. It updates when the underlying figures move, and past reads are kept below.

What the Numbers Say It Is Worth

The Fair Value Range

30.00Conservative43.98Base case52.13Growth case 32.58Price

Fair value range in GBp, drawn from the 2026-09-18 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. A 35.0% margin of safety to the base estimate.

The Street's Range
30.00Street low 50.00Street average 55.00Street high 32.58Price

Third-party analyst targets: 11 covering, consensus Hold. The average target sits +53% from the screen price.

Reading the gap · Both our model and the analysts see meaningful upside from here.

Price History & Projections
$786$380$-26TODAY5y agoPROJECTIONStreet high$55.00 +34%Street avg$50.00 +22%Our fair value$43.98 +7%Conservative$30.00 -27%

Where it has been, where the models see it going. History from market close data; projection points are our fair-value estimates and third-party analyst targets, dated to the 2026-09-18 screen.

Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.

The Business, in Plain Words
The fundamentals · plain-English read
Forward P/E-3.2x
EPS, trailing-0.48
EPS, forward-0.13
Revenue growth+15.6%steady growth
Profit margin-36.8%currently unprofitable
Debt to equity4.96heavy leverage: higher risk if revenue softens
Beta1.98much more volatile than the market
52-week range35.40 - 88.20
Market cap$33.0B
Employees2,807

The risks · The things to watch: it already moves more than the market on an average day; its business and earnings are exposed to United Kingdom and to currency swings; it carries a real debt load, which raises the stakes if revenue slips.

Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.

Where & How to Trade

AML.L trades on LSE (the company is based in United Kingdom). As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.

The Dated Journal · Newest First, Never Edited

Every Entry, As Written

2026-10-02 Markdown $32.58 -22.8% Entry 8

The framework reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 22.8% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are down 53%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 18%. The street (11 analysts) rates it hold, with a mean price target of $47. Since the last review it its composite score rose.

2026-09-21 Markdown $42.18 +0.0% Entry 7

The framework reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are down 53%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 18%. The street (11 analysts) rates it hold, with a mean price target of $47.

2026-08-21 Markdown · changed $42.18 +0.0% Entry 6

The framework has shifted from markup to markdown since the last review. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are down 53%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 18%. The street (11 analysts) rates it hold, with a mean price target of $47.

2026-07-21 Markup $42.18 +0.0% Entry 5

The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are down 53%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 18%. The street (11 analysts) rates it hold, with a mean price target of $47.

2026-07-18 Markup $42.18 +0.0% Entry 4

The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are down 53%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 18%. The street (11 analysts) rates it hold, with a mean price target of $47.

2026-07-17 Markup $42.18 +0.0% Entry 3

The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are down 53%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 18%. The street (11 analysts) rates it hold, with a mean price target of $47.

2026-07-03 Markup $42.18 +0.0% Entry 2

The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns.

2026-07-02 Markup $42.18 Entry 1

The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns.

Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.

What Holding Actually Paid · Price Plus Dividends
If $1,000 had been placed · historical, not a promise
PeriodPrice thenPrice returnDivs per share$1,000 becameTotal return
1 month $46.64 -12.1% · $879 -12.1%
2 months $42.10 -2.6% · $974 -2.6%
3 months $43.08 -4.8% · $952 -4.8%
6 months $63.65 -35.6% · $644 -35.6%
1 year $87.20 -53.0% · $470 -53.0%
2 years $156.30 -73.8% · $262 -73.8%
3 years $274.80 -85.1% · $149 -85.1%
5 years $730.22 -94.4% · $56 -94.4%

Historical returns from market close data. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

The Ledger's Promise

This entry now belongs to the ledger. Whatever AML.L does next, these words stay.

Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings plc · AML.L · Markdown · $32.58
Recorded 2026-09-18 · before the outcome · scored mechanically

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