The framework reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 4%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 9%.
Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF
XLF · NYSE ARCA · USD
The fund generally invests substantially all, but at least 95%, of its total assets in the securities comprising the index.
FAIL · Does not pass the screenAt the last full screen
2026-06-14
Screened 2026-06-14 · the tape above runs as of 00:05 UTC · two dates, stated on purpose · verdict and workings shown in full · never trimmed
This name holds its accumulation label.
Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF holds its Accumulation at $52.62. The statistical read favours the sellers, held for 263 days.
| Phase | Accumulation |
| Quantitative state | The statistical read favours the sellers, held for 263 days |
| Price at the screen | $52.62 |
| Valuation | 16.83 trailing · N/A forward price to earnings |
| Values screen | FAIL · score 30.0 |
Five Screens, Shown in Full
Does not pass. Business activity: conventional financial services
| Test | Figure | Limit | What it means | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Business activity | Excluded | Core business clean | Financials sector ETF — FAIL: all holdings are financial institutions | Fail |
| Debt load | Excluded | Below 33% | Interest-bearing debt is of its assets, above the one-third ceiling the screen allows. | Fail |
| Interest-bearing cash | Excluded | Below 33% | Interest-bearing cash and securities are of assets, above the one-third limit. | Fail |
| Receivables | Excluded | Below 49% | Money owed to the company is of assets, above the 49% limit. | Fail |
| Revenue purity | Excluded | Below 5% | of revenue comes from non-compliant sources, over the 5% line. | Fail |
Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.
What the Numbers Say It Is WorthThe Fair Value Range
Our framework reads AVOID
Price History & ProjectionsWhere it has been, where the models see it going. History from market close data; projection points are our fair-value estimates and third-party analyst targets, dated to the 2026-06-14 screen.
Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.
The Business, in Plain Words| Trailing P/E | 16.8xreasonably valued |
| Dividend yield | 154.00% |
| 52-week range | 47.67 - 56.52 |
The risks · The main risks here are ordinary market swings and the chance our fair-value read proves too optimistic.
Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.
Where & How to TradeXLF trades on NYSE ARCA. As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.
Every Entry, As Written
The framework reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 4%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 9%.
The framework reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns.
The framework reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.
| Period | Price then | Price return | Divs per share | $1,000 became | Total return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 month | $51.18 | +2.0% | · | $1,020 | +2.0% |
| 2 months | $50.77 | +2.9% | · | $1,029 | +2.9% |
| 3 months | $48.58 | +7.5% | $0.25 | $1,080 | +8.0% |
| 6 months | $54.40 | -4.0% | $0.44 | $968 | -3.2% |
| 1 year | $50.28 | +3.9% | $0.79 | $1,054 | +5.4% |
| 2 years | $40.07 | +30.3% | $1.51 | $1,341 | +34.1% |
| 3 years | $31.58 | +65.3% | $2.15 | $1,721 | +72.1% |
| 5 years | $34.43 | +51.7% | $3.48 | $1,618 | +61.8% |
Historical returns from market close data. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
This entry now belongs to the ledger. Whatever XLF does next, these words stay.
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Join the deskScreening is research, not a fatwa and not financial advice. Figures are drawn from public accounts at the screen date shown. Always manage your risk.