Analyst vs Regime Divergence
Wall Street analyst ratings matched against market regime. When analysts are bullish but regime is DISTRIBUTION/MARKDOWN — that is a warning. When analysts are bearish but regime is ACCUMULATION/MARKUP — that is a contrarian opportunity. These divergences are where the edge lives.
Regime Distribution
| Regime | Count | % |
|---|---|---|
| MARKUP | 1,592 | 36.0% |
| DISTRIBUTION | 1,231 | 27.8% |
| MARKDOWN | 839 | 19.0% |
| ACCUMULATION | 761 | 17.2% |
WARNING PATTERN — Analysts Bullish, Regime Bearish: These names carry the highest risk of analyst lag. Street consensus says buy; market structure says distribution or markdown. Smart money may already be exiting while retail follows sell-side guidance.
Warning Divergences — Analysts Say BUY, Regime Says SELL
| Ticker | Regime | Analyst Buys | Analyst Sells | Holds | Divergence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| META | DISTRIBUTION | 56 | 0 | 7 | 89% Buy vs DISTRIBUTION |
| MSFT | DISTRIBUTION | 52 | 0 | 3 | 95% Buy vs DISTRIBUTION |
| UBER | DISTRIBUTION | 45 | 1 | 6 | 87% Buy vs DISTRIBUTION |
| AVGO | DISTRIBUTION | 44 | 0 | 3 | 94% Buy vs DISTRIBUTION |
| PANW | DISTRIBUTION | 44 | 1 | 9 | 81% Buy vs DISTRIBUTION |
| 0700.HK | DISTRIBUTION | 43 | 1 | 2 | 93% Buy vs DISTRIBUTION |
| CRWD | DISTRIBUTION | 42 | 1 | 10 | 79% Buy vs DISTRIBUTION |
| HDFCBANK.NS | DISTRIBUTION | 39 | 0 | 0 | 100% Buy vs DISTRIBUTION |
| WMT | DISTRIBUTION | 39 | 1 | 4 | 89% Buy vs DISTRIBUTION |
| AXISBANK.NS | DISTRIBUTION | 38 | 0 | 2 | 95% Buy vs DISTRIBUTION |
| BABA | DISTRIBUTION | 38 | 1 | 2 | 93% Buy vs DISTRIBUTION |
| ICICIBANK.NS | DISTRIBUTION | 38 | 0 | 2 | 95% Buy vs DISTRIBUTION |
| NFLX | MARKDOWN | 37 | 0 | 13 | 74% Buy vs MARKDOWN |
| XYZ | MARKDOWN | 37 | 1 | 7 | 82% Buy vs MARKDOWN |
| MA | DISTRIBUTION | 36 | 0 | 3 | 92% Buy vs DISTRIBUTION |
| DASH | DISTRIBUTION | 35 | 0 | 9 | 80% Buy vs DISTRIBUTION |
| ULTRACEMCO.NS | DISTRIBUTION | 35 | 2 | 2 | 90% Buy vs DISTRIBUTION |
| MARUTI.NS | DISTRIBUTION | 34 | 2 | 4 | 85% Buy vs DISTRIBUTION |
| SBIN.NS | DISTRIBUTION | 32 | 0 | 7 | 82% Buy vs DISTRIBUTION |
| BSX | DISTRIBUTION | 31 | 0 | 2 | 94% Buy vs DISTRIBUTION |
CONTRARIAN PATTERN — Analysts Bearish, Regime Bullish: These names show the reverse: Wall Street has turned cautious or negative while market structure shows accumulation or markup — often an early signal that institutional positioning is ahead of consensus.
Contrarian Opportunities — Analysts Say SELL, Regime Says BUY
| Ticker | Regime | Analyst Buys | Analyst Sells | Holds | Divergence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| INDUSINDBK.NS | MARKUP | 8 | 13 | 15 | 36% Bear vs MARKUP |
| WIPRO.NS | ACCUMULATION | 9 | 13 | 17 | 33% Bear vs ACCUMULATION |
| DRREDDY.NS | MARKUP | 17 | 12 | 10 | 31% Bear vs MARKUP |
| ASIANPAINT.NS | MARKUP | 15 | 11 | 8 | 32% Bear vs MARKUP |
| DIVISLAB.NS | ACCUMULATION | 15 | 10 | 6 | 32% Bear vs ACCUMULATION |
| ITC.NS | MARKUP | 14 | 8 | 11 | 24% Bear vs MARKUP |
| SHREECEM.NS | ACCUMULATION | 22 | 8 | 11 | 20% Bear vs ACCUMULATION |
| TECHM.NS | MARKUP | 26 | 8 | 6 | 20% Bear vs MARKUP |
| COALINDIA.NS | ACCUMULATION | 14 | 7 | 5 | 27% Bear vs ACCUMULATION |
| FMG.AX | ACCUMULATION | 1 | 7 | 8 | 44% Bear vs ACCUMULATION |
| TSLA | ACCUMULATION | 23 | 7 | 17 | 15% Bear vs ACCUMULATION |
| BAJFINANCE.NS | ACCUMULATION | 26 | 6 | 3 | 17% Bear vs ACCUMULATION |
| CIPLA.NS | MARKUP | 22 | 6 | 9 | 16% Bear vs MARKUP |
| ED | MARKUP | 3 | 6 | 9 | 33% Bear vs MARKUP |
| EXPD | MARKUP | 2 | 6 | 7 | 40% Bear vs MARKUP |
| JSWSTEEL.NS | ACCUMULATION | 20 | 6 | 8 | 18% Bear vs ACCUMULATION |
| ONGC.NS | MARKUP | 19 | 6 | 5 | 20% Bear vs MARKUP |
| ABBN.SW | MARKUP | 7 | 5 | 15 | 19% Bear vs MARKUP |
| ANTO.L | MARKUP | 5 | 5 | 11 | 24% Bear vs MARKUP |
| FDS | MARKUP | 3 | 5 | 10 | 28% Bear vs MARKUP |