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The Screen · Financials · Asset Management

Saratoga Investment Corp

SAR · the NYSE · USD · Market cap $365M

Saratoga Investment Corp.

FAIL · Does not pass the screen
14.92 USD

Price as of 14 Oct 2026Daily close, not a live quoteLast reviewed 14 days ago

Screened 2026-10-14 · the tape above runs as of 10:12 UTC · two dates, stated on purpose · verdict and workings shown in full · never trimmed

Key facts today

  • Price14.92 USD at the 14 Oct 2026 close
  • Ethical screenDoes not pass
  • OptionsOpen interest leans to puts (put/call 2.39)
  • Last reviewed14 Oct 2026 (14 days ago)

A summary of the dated readings below, not a live quote and not advice.

PRICE · FAIR-VALUE RANGE1M3M6MYTD1Y3Y5Y
19.8020.9827.38

What this means: price 14.92 against the desk's fair-value range, base estimate 20.98, over the last year.

Current read
Distribution ?
Screened · screened 2026-10-14
  • Trend Distribution
  • Insiders insiders bought, latest filing 2026-10-08
  • Positioning no disclosures inside 60 days, left as found
  • Options put/call open interest 2.39, read 2026-10-25
  • Ethical does not pass the values gate
Price14.92 USD
Fair value20.98
Ethical score30.0/100
Our investment reviews on this name
2026-07-02Read Distribution22.44-33.5% to today ✓First review on file: Distribution

Our analytic regime reads on this name, dated and marked against the screened price. Small sample per name, and separate from the daily-framework accuracy on the Track Record page.

The full research record, in depth, below
The Label · The Season, Not the Day

This name holds its distribution label.

Saratoga Investment Corp holds its Distribution at $14.92. Consolidating, no directional conviction, held for 8 days.

As held on the ledger · 2026-10-14
PhaseDistribution · caution
Quantitative stateConsolidating, no directional conviction, held for 8 days
Price at the screen$14.92
Valuation7.64 trailing · 8.38 forward price to earnings
Values screenFAIL · score 30.0
Beta0.59
The Workings

Five Screens, Shown in Full

Does not pass. Excluded industry: Asset Management

TestFigureLimitWhat it meansStatus
Business activity Excluded Core business clean Excluded industry: Asset Management Fail
Debt load Excluded Below 33% Interest-bearing debt is of its assets, above the one-third ceiling the screen allows. Fail
Interest-bearing cash Excluded Below 33% Interest-bearing cash and securities are of assets, above the one-third limit. Fail
Receivables Excluded Below 49% Money owed to the company is of assets, above the 49% limit. Fail
Revenue purity Excluded Below 5% of revenue comes from non-compliant sources, over the 5% line. Fail

Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.

The Ethical Read

Why It Falls Short, in Plain English

Saratoga Investment does not clear the screen at the business-activity stage. It operates in conventional financial services, which the screen treats as interest-based, so the financial ratios are not the deciding factor here.

Read as at 2026-10-27. It updates when the underlying figures move, and past reads are kept below.

Follow this verdict

Get an email when SAR's ethical verdict changes

Today SAR does not pass the screen. If new figures move it to a pass, we send you one short email with the before and after. Verdicts change rarely, so you may not hear from us for a long time.

Free, no account needed. Every email has a link to stop.

What the Numbers Say It Is Worth

The Fair Value Range

19.80Conservative20.98Base case27.38Growth case 14.92Price

Fair value range in USD, drawn from the 2026-10-14 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. A 40.6% margin of safety to the base estimate.

The Street's Range
22.00Street low 23.00Street average 25.00Street high 14.92Price

Third-party analyst targets: 5 covering, consensus None. The average target sits +54% from the screen price.

Reading the gap · Both our model and the analysts see meaningful upside from here.

Price History & Projections
$25.8$19.9$13.9TODAY5y agoPROJECTIONStreet high$25.00 +12%Street avg$23.00 +3%Our fair value$20.98 -6%Conservative$19.80 -11%

Where it has been, where the models see it going. History from market close data; projection points are our fair-value estimates and third-party analyst targets, dated to the 2026-10-14 screen.

Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.

The Business, in Plain Words
The fundamentals · plain-English read
Forward P/E8.4xvery cheap relative to earnings
Trailing P/E7.6xvery cheap relative to earnings
EPS, trailing2.31
EPS, forward2.11
Revenue growth-0.6%revenue is shrinking
Profit margin29.1%healthy profit margins
Return on equity9.3%a modest return on shareholder capital
Dividend yield1,337.00%
Debt to equity1.83a meaningful debt load worth watching
Beta0.59steadier than the market
52-week range20.78 - 25.64
MoatNONE
Market cap$365M

The risks · The things to watch: it's a small-cap, so the share price can swing harder than the market; it carries a real debt load, which raises the stakes if revenue slips.

Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.

Where & How to Trade

SAR trades on the NYSE. As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.

The Dated Journal · Newest First, Never Edited

Every Entry, As Written

2026-10-25 Distribution $14.92 +0.0% Entry 8

The analysis reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading oversold. Over the past year the shares are up 7%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 13%. The street (5 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $23. Insiders have been net buyers over the past quarter.

2026-10-18 Distribution $14.92 -15.4% Entry 7

The analysis reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 15.4% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are up 7%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 13%. The street (5 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $23. Insiders have been net buyers over the past quarter.

2026-10-02 Distribution $17.64 -21.4% Entry 6

Our analysis reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 21.4% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are up 7%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 13%. The street (5 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $23. Since the last review it its composite score rose.

2026-09-12 Distribution $22.44 +0.0% Entry 5

Our analysis reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are up 7%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 13%. The street (5 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $23.

2026-08-12 Distribution $22.44 +0.0% Entry 4

Our analysis reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are up 7%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 13%. The street (5 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $23.

2026-07-18 Distribution $22.44 +0.0% Entry 3

Our analysis reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are up 7%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 13%. The street (5 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $23.

2026-07-03 Distribution $22.44 +0.0% Entry 2

Our analysis reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns.

2026-07-02 Distribution $22.44 Entry 1

Our analysis reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns.

Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.

The Insider Ledger · Form 4 Filings, As Filed
Most recent filings · SAR
DateInsiderTitleTypeSharesValue
2026-10-08 Oberbeck Christian L CEO, Dir P - Purchase 30,000 $445,800

Public filings, recorded as found. The full tape lives at Insider Intelligence.

The Political Ledger · Congressional Disclosures
Disclosures naming SAR
DatePoliticianPartyTypeAmount
2026-09-11 Diana Harshbarger Republican buy 15K–50K
2026-07-15 Lisa McClain Republican buy 50K–100K
2026-07-15 Lisa McClain Republican buy 50K–100K
What Holding Actually Paid · Price Plus Dividends
If $1,000 had been placed · historical, not a promise
PeriodPrice thenPrice returnDivs per share$1,000 becameTotal return
1 month $21.59 +3.5% $0.25 $1,047 +4.7%
2 months $21.81 +2.5% $0.50 $1,048 +4.8%
3 months $21.71 +2.9% $0.75 $1,064 +6.4%
6 months $21.53 +3.8% $1.50 $1,108 +10.8%
1 year $20.98 +6.5% $3.25 $1,220 +22.0%
2 years $17.92 +24.7% $7.31 $1,655 +65.5%
3 years $18.47 +21.0% $10.17 $1,761 +76.1%
5 years $14.74 +51.7% $14.63 $2,510 +151.0%

Historical returns from market close data. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

The Ledger's Promise

This entry now belongs to the ledger. Whatever SAR does next, these words stay.

Saratoga Investment Corp · SAR · Distribution · $14.92
Recorded 2026-10-14 · before the outcome · scored mechanically

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