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The Screen · Basic Materials · Specialty Chemicals

Gevo Inc

GEVO · NASDAQ · USD · Market cap $344M · 151 employees

Gevo, Inc.

PASS · Titan Ethical · score 70.0
1.39 USD

Price as of 6 Nov 2026Daily close, not a live quote

Screened 2026-11-06 · the tape above runs as of 02:02 UTC · two dates, stated on purpose · verdict and workings shown in full · never trimmed

Key facts today

  • Price1.39 USD at the 6 Nov 2026 close
  • Our value readFair vs our fair value, as of 6 Nov 2026
  • Our regime readMarkdown, as of 7 Nov 2026
  • Ethical screenPasses, score 70.0 out of 100
  • OptionsOpen interest leans heavily to calls (put/call 0.22)
  • Last reviewed6 Nov 2026 (1 days ago)
  • Release timesRelease and earnings times on your chart: Event Guard Mentor

A summary of the dated readings below, not a live quote and not advice.

PRICE · ONE YEAR

Our fair-value range: $1.08 to $1.73, base estimate $1.50 (screen dated 2026-11-06).

Current read
Markdown ?
Fair · screened 2026-11-06
  • Trend Markdown
  • Insiders no filings inside 60 days, left as found
  • Positioning no disclosures inside 60 days, left as found
  • Options put/call open interest 0.22, read 2026-11-02
  • Ethical passes the values gate
Price1.39 USD
Fair value1.50
Ethical score70.0/100
Value readFairas of 6 Nov 2026
Our investment reviews on this name
2026-10-02Read Markdown1.54-9.7% to today ✓Accumulation gives way to Markdown first Markdown read since July
2026-08-30Read Accumulation1.62-14.2% to today Distribution gives way to Accumulation
2026-07-31Read Distribution1.63-14.7% to today ✓Markdown gives way to Distribution after a 16% rise in 4 weeks
2026-07-02Read Markdown1.40-0.7% to today ✓First review on file: Markdown

Our analytic regime reads on this name, dated and marked against the screened price. Small sample per name, and separate from the daily-framework accuracy on the Track Record page.

The full research record, in depth, below
The Label · The Season, Not the Day

This name holds its markdown label.

Gevo Inc holds its Markdown at $1.39. Elevated stress, defensive posture warranted, held for 287 days.

As held on the ledger · 2026-11-06
PhaseMarkdown · caution
Quantitative stateElevated stress, defensive posture warranted, held for 287 days
Price at the screen$1.39
ValuationN/A trailing · 23.17 forward price to earnings
Values screenPASS · score 70.0
Beta1.10
The Workings

Five Screens, Shown in Full

Full pass across all five screens. This security clears the Titan Ethical Standard: its business and its balance sheet both stay inside the lines.

TestFigureLimitWhat it meansStatus
Business activity Permissible Core business clean Its core business isn't built on prohibited lines: no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending. Pass
Debt load 23.30% Below 33% Interest-bearing debt is just 23.3% of its assets, well under the one-third ceiling: it does not run on borrowed money. Pass
Interest-bearing cash 0.00% Below 33% Cash held in interest-bearing accounts and securities is 0.0% of assets, under the one-third limit. Pass
Receivables 12.46% Below 49% Money owed to the company is 12.5% of assets, under the 49% limit. Pass
Revenue purity 3.18% Below 5% Only 3.2% of revenue comes from non-compliant sources, under the 5% line. Pass

Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.

The Ethical Read

Why It Clears, in Plain English

Gevo clears all five screens. Its business is in a permissible area, its interest-bearing debt is about 23%, inside the ~33% line, and interest is about 3% of its income, under the ~5% line, so it passes.

Read as at 2026-11-05. It updates when the underlying figures move, and past reads are kept below.

Follow this verdict

Get an email when GEVO's ethical verdict changes

Today GEVO passes the screen. If new figures move it to a fail, we send you one short email with the before and after. Verdicts change rarely, so you may not hear from us for a long time.

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What the Numbers Say It Is Worth

The Fair Value Range

Our analysis reads Fair vs our fair value, as of 6 Nov 2026: it trades at roughly a 7% discount to our $1.50 fair value, none competitive moat, 7.10% revenue growth.

How a fair value is estimated: discounted cash flow (DCF).

1.08Conservative1.50Base case1.73Growth case 1.39Price

Fair value range in USD, drawn from the 2026-11-06 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. A 7.3% discount to the base estimate.

The Street's Range
1.20Street low 2.50Street average 14.00Street high 1.39Price

Third-party analyst targets: 4 covering, consensus Buy. The average target sits +80% from the screen price.

Reading the gap · Both our model and the analysts see meaningful upside from here.

Price History & Projections

Where our models see it going: fair-value estimate $1.50, with a range of $1.08 to $1.73, dated to the 2026-11-06 screen.

Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.

The Business, in Plain Words

Why it is worth knowing

A quality business: a none moat. It trades close to our $1.50 fair value, so the easy discount is gone; you would be paying up for the quality.

The fundamentals · plain-English read
Forward P/E23.2xexpensive even after accounting for its growth
EPS, trailing-0.89
EPS, forward0.06
Revenue growth+7.1%slow but positive growth
Profit margin-119.9%currently unprofitable
Return on equity-55.5%not currently earning a positive return on equity
FCF yield5.39%
Debt to equity0.61moderate, manageable leverage
Current ratio2.70comfortably covers its short-term bills
Beta1.10moves a little more than the market
Short interest, float0.10%
52-week range1.09 - 2.97
MoatNONE
Market cap$344M
Employees151

Another profit measure, before interest, tax and non-cash costs: EBITDA.

The risks · The things to watch: it's a small-cap, so the share price can swing harder than the market.

Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.

Where & How to Trade

GEVO trades on NASDAQ. As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.

The Dated Journal · Newest First, Never Edited

Every Entry, As Written

2026-11-01 Markdown $1.25 +7.8% Entry 9

The analysis reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved up 7.8% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading bearish. Over the past year the shares are up 24%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 39%. The street (4 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $5. Insiders have been net sellers over the past quarter.

2026-10-25 Markdown $1.16 -0.9% Entry 8

The analysis reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 0.9% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading oversold. Over the past year the shares are up 24%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 39%. The street (4 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $5. Insiders have been net sellers over the past quarter.

2026-10-18 Markdown $1.17 -24.0% Entry 7

The analysis reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 24.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D. Technically it is momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 24%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 39%. The street (4 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $5. Insiders have been net sellers over the past quarter.

2026-10-02 Markdown · changed $1.54 -4.9% Entry 6

The framework has shifted from accumulation to markdown since the last review. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 4.9% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C. Technically it is momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 24%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 39%. The street (4 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $5. Insiders have been net sellers over the past quarter.

2026-08-30 Accumulation · changed $1.62 -0.6% Entry 5

The framework has shifted from distribution to accumulation since the last review. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.6% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C. Technically it is momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 24%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 39%. The street (4 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $5. Insiders have been net sellers over the past quarter.

2026-07-31 Distribution · changed $1.63 +16.4% Entry 4

The framework has shifted from markdown to distribution since the last review. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved up 16.4% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C. Technically it is momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 24%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 39%. The street (4 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $5.

2026-07-18 Markdown $1.40 +0.0% Entry 3

Our analysis reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C. Technically it is momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 24%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 39%. The street (4 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $5.

2026-07-03 Markdown $1.40 +0.0% Entry 2

Our analysis reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns.

2026-07-02 Markdown $1.40 Entry 1

Our analysis reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns.

Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.

Latest News · What the Market Is Reading on GEVO

Headlines from third-party outlets, linked for reference: not our reporting, not advice.

Related Securities · Others in GEVO's Space

Screened names in the same industry · explore each on its own page.

The Insider Ledger · Form 4 Filings, As Filed
Most recent filings · GEVO
DateInsiderTitleTypeSharesValue
2026-08-06 Gruber Patrick R. Dir S - Sale 247,642 $373,816
2026-08-06 Bowron Kimberly T Chief of Staff S - Sale 10,257 $15,855
2026-08-06 Agiri Oluwagbemileke Yusuf CFO S - Sale 18,223 $28,034
2026-08-06 Bloom Paul D CEO S - Sale 31,096 $48,068

Public filings, recorded as found. The full tape lives at Insider Intelligence.

The Political Ledger · Congressional Disclosures
Disclosures naming GEVO
DatePoliticianPartyTypeAmount
2026-07-27 Ro Khanna Democrat sell 1K–15K
What Holding Actually Paid · Price Plus Dividends
If $1,000 had been placed · historical, not a promise
PeriodPrice thenPrice returnDivs per share$1,000 becameTotal return
1 month $1.76 -13.9% · $861 -13.9%
2 months $1.93 -21.5% · $785 -21.5%
3 months $2.43 -37.7% · $624 -37.7%
6 months $2.39 -36.6% · $634 -36.6%
1 year $1.22 +24.2% · $1,242 +24.2%
2 years $0.63 +140.5% · $2,405 +140.5%
3 years $1.55 -2.3% · $977 -2.3%
5 years $8.36 -81.9% · $181 -81.9%

Historical returns from market close data. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

The Ledger's Promise

This entry now belongs to the ledger. Whatever GEVO does next, these words stay.

Gevo Inc · GEVO · Markdown · $1.39
Recorded 2026-11-06 · before the outcome · scored mechanically

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Screening is research, not a fatwa and not financial advice. Figures are drawn from public accounts at the screen date shown. Always manage your risk.

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