Screened 2026-08-27 · the tape above runs as of 22:12 UTC · 11 Sep · two dates, stated on purpose · verdict and workings shown in full · never trimmed
The Label · The Season, Not the Day
This name holds its markup label.
ProPetro Holding Corp. holds its Markup at $11.18. The statistical read favours the sellers, held for 124 days.
As held on the ledger · 2026-08-27
Phase
Markup
Quantitative state
The statistical read favours the sellers, held for 124 days
Price at the screen
$11.18
Valuation
N/A trailing · 27.25 forward price to earnings
Values screen
PASS· score 70.0
Beta
0.78
The Workings
Five Screens, Shown in Full
Full pass across all five screens. This security clears the Titan Ethical Standard: its business and its balance sheet both stay inside the lines.
Test
Figure
Limit
What it means
Status
Business activity
Permissible
Core business clean
Its core business isn't built on prohibited lines: no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending.
Pass
Debt load
16.52%
Below 33%
Interest-bearing debt is just 16.5% of its assets, well under the one-third ceiling: it does not run on borrowed money.
Pass
Interest-bearing cash
0.00%
Below 33%
Cash held in interest-bearing accounts and securities is 0.0% of assets, under the one-third limit.
Pass
Receivables
22.63%
Below 49%
Money owed to the company is 22.6% of assets, under the 49% limit.
Pass
Revenue purity
0.00%
Below 5%
Only 0.0% of revenue comes from non-compliant sources, under the 5% line.
Pass
Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.
Fair value range in USD, drawn from the 2026-08-27 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. The price runs 11.0% above the base estimate.
Third-party analyst targets: 11 covering, consensus Buy. The average target sits +57% from the screen price.
Reading the gap · Our more conservative model reads it as fully-to-richly valued here, while the Street is more bullish: a quality-at-a-fair-price name rather than a deep-value one.
Price History & Projections
Where it has been, where the models see it going. History from market close data; projection points are our fair-value estimates and third-party analyst targets, dated to the 2026-08-27 screen.
Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.
The Business, in Plain Words
Oil services firm losing money in a downturn
Picture a contractor whose rigs sit idle the moment drillers cut back on wells. ProPetro fits that picture exactly, with revenue already down a quarter and both profit margin and return on equity sitting at minus one percent. Forward earnings sit at nearly 32 times while fair value lies below the current price, so the numbers give no reason to step in.
The analyst crowd still carries a buy tag and a higher target, yet the business carries no visible moat and operates in a sector where earnings swing violently with oil prices. Passing on the name keeps the portfolio clear of that volatility.
Even in cyclical energy work a low multiple can mask peak profits that soon disappear, and here the multiple is not low anyway. Ethical checks clear but the financial case does not. Analysis, not advice.
The risks · The things to watch: it's a small-cap, so the share price can swing harder than the market.
Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.
Where & How to Trade
PUMP trades on the NYSE. As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.
The framework has shifted from distribution to accumulation since the last review. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 14.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C. Technically it is holding around 45% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 144%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 34%. The street (11 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $18.
2026-08-09Distribution$13.00-16.2%Entry 4
The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 16.2% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C. Technically it is holding around 45% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 144%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 34%. The street (11 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $18.
2026-07-18Distribution$15.51+0.0%Entry 3
The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C. Technically it is holding around 45% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 144%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 34%. The street (11 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $18.
2026-07-03Distribution$15.51+0.0%Entry 2
The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns.
2026-07-02Distribution$15.51Entry 1
The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.
