Positioning no disclosures inside 60 days, left as found
Options put/call open interest 0.30, read 2026-10-28
Ethical does not pass the values gate
Price16.35 USD
Fair value10.62
Ethical score70.0/100
Our investment reviews on this name
2026-10-18Read Accumulation15.15+7.9% to today ✓Markdown gives way to Accumulation
2026-10-11Read Markdown15.53+5.3% to today Accumulation gives way to Markdown
2026-10-02Read Accumulation15.15+7.9% to today ✓Markup gives way to Accumulation first Accumulation read since July
2026-08-08Read Markup14.76+10.8% to today ✓Accumulation gives way to Markup with results news in the headlines
Our analytic regime reads on this name, dated and marked against the screened price. Small sample per name, and separate from the daily-framework accuracy on the Track Record page.
Park Hotels & Resorts Inc. holds its Accumulation at $16.35. The statistical read favours the sellers, held for 48 days.
As held on the ledger · 2026-10-23
Phase
Accumulation
Quantitative state
The statistical read favours the sellers, held for 48 days
Price at the screen
$16.35
Valuation
N/A trailing · 29.17 forward price to earnings
Values screen
FAIL· score 70.0
Beta
1.37
The Workings
Five Screens, Shown in Full
Does not pass. Debt ratio
Test
Figure
Limit
What it means
Status
Business activity
Permissible
Core business clean
Its core business isn't built on prohibited lines: no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending.
Pass
Debt load
52.56%
Below 33%
Interest-bearing debt is 52.6% of its assets, above the one-third ceiling the screen allows.
Fail
Interest-bearing cash
0.00%
Below 33%
Cash held in interest-bearing accounts and securities is 0.0% of assets, under the one-third limit.
Pass
Receivables
4.52%
Below 49%
Money owed to the company is 4.5% of assets, under the 49% limit.
Pass
Revenue purity
0.39%
Below 5%
Only 0.4% of revenue comes from non-compliant sources, under the 5% line.
Pass
Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.
The Ethical Read
Why It Falls Short, in Plain English
Park Hotels & Resorts's business is in a permissible area, but its interest-bearing debt is about 53% of the company, well over the ~33% line, so it does not pass on the financial screens.
Read as at 2026-10-29. It updates when the underlying figures move, and past reads are kept below.
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Fair value range in USD, drawn from the 2026-10-23 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. The price runs 35.0% above the base estimate.
Third-party analyst targets: 17 covering, consensus Buy. The average target sits −2% from the screen price.
Reading the gap · Both our model and the Street see limited upside at this price.
Price History & Projections
Where it has been, where the models see it going. History from market close data; projection points are our fair-value estimates and third-party analyst targets, dated to the 2026-10-23 screen.
Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.
The Business, in Plain Words
Hotel REIT Trades Far Above Its Real Worth
Picture a hotel lobby buzzing on a busy weekend only for the rooms to sit half empty once the cycle turns. Park Hotels owns a collection of premium properties yet posts shrinking revenue, negative profit margins and a return on equity deep in the red. At 27.9 times forward earnings the shares price in a recovery that the current numbers simply do not support, leaving the stock well above any reasonable value.
The market sets a median target of 14 dollars while our assessment places fair value at 9.40 dollars, a 37 percent gap that signals limited upside. With revenue already declining and the business exposed to every swing in travel spending, the high multiple looks more like a warning than an opportunity. The ethical screen raises no concerns, yet that alone does not change the arithmetic.
Cyclical hotel assets often appear cheap on peak earnings before margins collapse again, and here the combination of negative growth and stretched valuation fits that pattern exactly. No position meets our criteria. Analysis, not advice.
The risks · The things to watch: it already moves more than the market on an average day.
Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.
Where & How to Trade
PK trades on the NYSE. As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.
The Dated Journal · Newest First, Never Edited
Every Entry, As Written
2026-10-30Accumulation$16.35+0.0%Entry 12
The analysis reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 32% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are up 44%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 18%. The street (16 analysts) rates it hold, with a mean price target of $12. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-10-29Accumulation$16.35-3.8%Entry 11
The analysis reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 3.8% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 32% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are up 44%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 18%. The street (16 analysts) rates it hold, with a mean price target of $12. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-10-28Accumulation$16.99+0.0%Entry 10
The analysis reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 32% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are up 44%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 18%. The street (16 analysts) rates it hold, with a mean price target of $12. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-10-25Accumulation$16.99+12.1%Entry 9
The analysis reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved up 12.1% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 25% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 44%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 18%. The street (16 analysts) rates it hold, with a mean price target of $12.
The framework has shifted from markdown to accumulation since the last review. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 2.4% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 14% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are up 44%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 18%. The street (16 analysts) rates it hold, with a mean price target of $12.
2026-10-11Markdown · changed$15.53+2.5%Entry 7
The framework has shifted from accumulation to markdown since the last review. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved up 2.5% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 14% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are up 44%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 18%. The street (16 analysts) rates it hold, with a mean price target of $12.
The framework has shifted from markup to accumulation since the last review. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 4.9% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 14% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are up 44%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 18%. The street (16 analysts) rates it hold, with a mean price target of $12.
2026-09-09Markup$15.93+7.9%Entry 5
Our analysis reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved up 7.9% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 14% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are up 44%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 18%. The street (16 analysts) rates it hold, with a mean price target of $12.
2026-08-08Markup · changed$14.76+1.8%Entry 4
The framework has shifted from accumulation to markup since the last review. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved up 1.8% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 14% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are up 44%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 18%. The street (16 analysts) rates it hold, with a mean price target of $12.
2026-07-18Accumulation$14.50+0.0%Entry 3
Our analysis reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 14% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are up 44%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 18%. The street (16 analysts) rates it hold, with a mean price target of $12.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.
