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Vol. II · No. 256Sunday, 13 September 2026
TTitan Protect
The Screen · Healthcare · Biotechnology

Bicara Therapeutics Inc. logoBicara Therapeutics Inc.

BCAX · Nasdaq · USD · Market cap $1.6B · 103 employees

Bicara Therapeutics Inc., a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, engages in the development of bifunctional therapies for solid tumors.

FAIL · Does not pass the screen
24.83 USD

At the last full screen
2026-08-27

Screened 2026-08-27 · the tape above runs as of 10:31 UTC · two dates, stated on purpose · verdict and workings shown in full · never trimmed

The Label · The Season, Not the Day

This name holds its markdown label.

Bicara Therapeutics Inc. holds its Markdown at $24.83. The statistical read favours the sellers, held for 37 days.

As held on the ledger · 2026-08-27
PhaseMarkdown · caution
Quantitative stateThe statistical read favours the sellers, held for 37 days
Price at the screen$24.83
ValuationN/A trailing · -7.23 forward price to earnings
Values screenFAIL · score 70.0
The Workings

Five Screens, Shown in Full

Does not pass. Interest-bearing securities

TestFigureLimitWhat it meansStatus
Business activity Permissible Core business clean Its core business isn't built on prohibited lines: no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending. Pass
Debt load 0.40% Below 33% Interest-bearing debt is just 0.4% of its assets, well under the one-third ceiling: it does not run on borrowed money. Pass
Interest-bearing cash 73.81% Below 33% Interest-bearing cash and securities are 73.8% of assets, above the one-third limit. Fail
Receivables 22.43% Below 49% Money owed to the company is 22.4% of assets, under the 49% limit. Pass
Revenue purity Excluded Below 5% of revenue comes from non-compliant sources, over the 5% line. Fail

Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.

What the Numbers Say It Is Worth

The Fair Value Range

20.00Conservative34.50Base case45.00Growth case 24.83Price

Fair value range in USD, drawn from the 2026-08-27 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. A 38.9% margin of safety to the base estimate.

The Street's Range
20.00Street low 34.50Street average 45.00Street high 24.83Price

Third-party analyst targets: 14 covering, consensus Buy. The average target sits +39% from the screen price.

Reading the gap · Both our model and the analysts see meaningful upside from here.

Price History & Projections
$47.6$28.8$10.0TODAY1y agoPROJECTIONStreet high$45.00 +122%Street avg$34.50 +70%Our fair value$34.50 +70%Conservative$20.00 -1%

Where it has been, where the models see it going. History from market close data; projection points are our fair-value estimates and third-party analyst targets, dated to the 2026-08-27 screen.

Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.

The Business, in Plain Words

Early Stage Cancer Drug Bet Lacks Numbers

Picture a lab racing to turn one antibody into a solid tumour treatment while the books show nothing yet. Bicara sits at this stage with zero profit margin, a negative 32 percent return on equity and a forward multiple that reflects losses rather than earnings. The ethical screen returns insufficient data because basic financial ratios are missing, so we pass.

Thirteen analysts set a median target at the same level as our own fair value, yet the opportunity rating stays none. Clinical progress on the lead bifunctional antibody may or may not translate into approved revenue, and the company offers no moat visibility at present. Without a track record of cash generation the valuation gap means little.

Risks centre on binary trial outcomes, dilution to fund further studies and the usual early biotech cash burn. Currency or regulatory shifts can wipe out any apparent margin of safety quickly. Analysis, not advice.

The fundamentals · plain-English read
Forward P/E-7.2x
EPS, trailing-3.07
EPS, forward-3.44
Profit margin0.0%currently unprofitable
Return on equity-41.0%not currently earning a positive return on equity
FCF yield-4.68%
Debt to equity0.25minimal debt: a conservative balance sheet
Current ratio11.59comfortably covers its short-term bills
Short interest, float0.22%
52-week range10.30 - 30.99
Market cap$1.6B
Employees103

The risks · The things to watch: it's a small-cap, so the share price can swing harder than the market; as a biotechnology name, trial and regulatory outcomes can move it sharply either way.

Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.

Where & How to Trade

BCAX trades on Nasdaq. As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.

The Dated Journal · Newest First, Never Edited

Every Entry, As Written

2026-08-22 Markdown $24.63 -11.3% Entry 5

The framework reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 11.3% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C. Technically it is holding around 27% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 61%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 31%. The street (13 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $31.

2026-07-22 Markdown $27.76 +28.0% Entry 4

The framework reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved up 28.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B. Technically it is holding around 27% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 61%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 31%. The street (13 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $31.

2026-07-18 Markdown $21.69 +0.0% Entry 3

The framework reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B. Technically it is holding around 27% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 61%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 31%. The street (13 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $31.

2026-07-03 Markdown $21.69 +0.0% Entry 2

The framework reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns.

2026-07-02 Markdown $21.69 Entry 1

The framework reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns.

Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.

Related Securities · Others in BCAX's Space

Screened names in the same industry · explore each on its own page.

What Holding Actually Paid · Price Plus Dividends
If $1,000 had been placed · historical, not a promise
PeriodPrice thenPrice returnDivs per share$1,000 becameTotal return
1 month $22.92 -11.7% · $883 -11.7%
2 months $21.12 -4.1% · $959 -4.1%
3 months $19.21 +5.4% · $1,054 +5.4%
6 months $18.85 +7.4% · $1,074 +7.4%
1 year $12.58 +61.0% · $1,610 +61.0%

Historical returns from market close data. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

The Ledger's Promise

This entry now belongs to the ledger. Whatever BCAX does next, these words stay.

Bicara Therapeutics Inc. · BCAX · Markdown · $24.83
Recorded 2026-08-27 · before the outcome · scored mechanically

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