DLTR
Dollar Tree
Consumer Staples · Consumer Staples Merchandise Retail · US
✗ ETHICAL FAIL
NARROW MOAT
HIGH
Data Confidence: 100.0%
Key Metrics
How this company measures up on the fundamentals that matter
Market Cap
$18.4B
Total market value of the company
12.80
Based on estimated future earnings — lower means cheaper
Rev Growth
+9.0%
Year-over-year revenue change
Profit Margin
0.0%
How much profit the company keeps from each dollar of revenue
31.7%
Return on equity — how efficiently it uses shareholder money
Analyst Target
$124.61
+15% from current price — median analyst estimate
Recommendation
HOLD
Consensus view from 23 analysts covering this stock
About Dollar Tree
Dollar Tree, Inc. operates retail discount stores under the Dollar Tree and Dollar Tree Canada brands in the United States and Canada. The company offers consumable merchandise comprising everyday consumables, such as household paper and chemicals, food, candy, health, personal care products, and frozen and refrigerated food; variety merchandise consisting of toys, durable housewares, gifts, stationery, party goods, greeting cards, softlines, arts and crafts supplies, and other items; and seasonal goods, including Christmas, Easter, Halloween, and Valentine's Day merchandise. The company was founded in 1986 and is based in Chesapeake, Virginia.
https://www.dollartree.com
Country: United States Employees: 35,181 Industry: Discount Stores
Ethical Screening
Five compliance checks based on AAOIFI standards — all must pass for ethical clearance
Business Activity
PASS
Core business does not involve prohibited activities
Debt Ratio
52.4% FAIL
Debt must be below 33% of total assets
Cash Ratio
0.0% PASS
Interest-bearing cash below 33% of assets
Receivables
5.3% PASS
Receivables below 49% of assets
Revenue Purity
0.0% PASS
Non-compliant revenue below 5% — any excess requires purification
Valuation
$148.00
What our model estimates this business is worth per share
26.5%
Trading below fair value — margin of safety exists
Rating
AVOID
Overall assessment combining ethics, valuation, and quality
73.9th
Ranks in the top 26% of our 13,571 screened universe
Trading at $94 against a fair value of $148, a 36% discount. Fails ethical screen (Debt ratio). Ranks better than 70% of screened stocks.
Quantitative Intelligence
Statistical analysis of price behaviour, risk, and market regime — independent of fundamental data
DISTRIBUTION
Smart money appears to be selling into strength — caution
0.002
Positive but modest risk-adjusted returns
-0.0017
No positive edge detected — the data suggests staying out
-0.183
Drawdown risk outweighs the returns — higher risk profile
Annual Return
-9.0%
Historical annualised return based on price data
-49.4%
Largest peak-to-trough decline — the worst it has been
BEAR
Statistical model detects bearish conditions
Days in State
266
How long the current regime has persisted — longer means more stable
Market Data
Trading characteristics and market positioning
0.61
Less volatile than the market — more defensive
52W High
$142.40
24% below the year high
52W Low
$84.71
28% above the year low
Avg Volume
3,363,537
Average daily shares traded — higher means easier to buy and sell
3.5
Days it would take all short sellers to cover — higher means more crowded
Short % Float
7.5%
Moderate short interest
N/A
Annual dividend as a percentage of the share price
$5.94
Earnings per share over the last 12 months
Financial Health
Balance sheet strength and cash generation — the foundation of long-term value
1.88
Meaningful debt load — monitor closely
1.07
Adequate but worth monitoring
Quick Ratio
0.22
Like current ratio but excludes inventory — stricter test
Gross Margin
36.7%
Revenue left after cost of goods — higher means pricing power
Operating Margin
13.5%
Profit from core operations before interest and tax
$1.3B
Positive — the business generates more cash than it spends
Revenue (TTM)
$19.4B
Total revenue over the last 12 months
Net Income
$1.2B
Profitable — the bottom line is positive
Recent Insider Activity
SEC Form 4 filings — what company insiders are buying and selling
45
NEUTRAL
Mixed insider activity. 0 purchases and 0 sales in the last 90 days — no clear directional signal. Political selling noted.
| Date |
Insider |
Title |
Type |
Shares |
Value |
| 2026-04-01 |
AFLATOONI ROBERT |
Chief Technology Officer |
|
8,739 |
— |
| 2026-04-01 |
SCHUMACHER STEVEN |
Officer |
|
6,899 |
— |
| 2026-04-01 |
WENG ROXANNE RENA |
Officer |
|
5,979 |
— |
| 2026-04-01 |
MITCHELL JOHN S JR |
Officer |
|
7,359 |
— |
| 2026-04-01 |
BEEBE BRENT A |
Officer |
|
7,359 |
— |
| 2026-04-01 |
KONRAD JOCELYN Z |
Officer |
|
5,979 |
— |
| 2026-04-01 |
MAHESHWARI ADITYA |
Officer |
|
1,955 |
— |
| 2026-04-01 |
CREEDON MICHAEL C JR |
Chief Executive Officer |
|
44,158 |
— |
| 2026-04-01 |
GLENDINNING STEWART F |
Chief Financial Officer |
|
18,399 |
— |
| 2026-03-31 |
AFLATOONI ROBERT |
Chief Technology Officer |
|
1,261 |
— |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings via public data. View all insider activity at
Insider Intelligence
Political Trading Activity
Congressional trading disclosures involving this instrument
| Date |
Politician |
Party |
Type |
Amount |
| 9 Apr2026 |
Josh Gottheimer |
Democrat |
sell |
1K–15K |
| 2026-04-09 |
Josh Gottheimer |
Democrat |
Sale |
1K–15K |
Source: Congressional disclosure filings. View all political trades at
Insider Intelligence
Data sourced from public filings and market feeds. Not financial advice. Updated: 2026-01-31