Setup Radar | Tuesday 28 April 2026

Twelve Triggered, Four Armed, Two Aged Into Wednesday: Tuesday’s Radar Swept Defensive Across The Board.

Setup Radar | Tuesday 28 April 2026 | Reads as 21:00 GMT

The radar swept the forty-two-symbol universe four times across Tuesday’s clock. Each pass returned the same answer with louder ink. Sell rallies, fade extension, hold defensives. Eighteen tactical setups went on the screen. Twelve triggered cleanly and paid. Four armed and never fired. Two aged into Wednesday with the levels still alive. The cleanest tactical edge was defensive: DAX short for two-thirds of a percent, USDJPY short for ninety pips, Mag 7 short via the technology basket for one and seven-tenths.

Tuesday’s radar verdict. Equity index shorts paid the cleanest. FX paid through the yen leg, EURUSD chopped, AUDUSD held the marginal short read. Commodities split. crude paid the long, gold reset its floor lower, silver kept bleeding. Crypto stayed quiet and paid nothing. Bias for the Wednesday open: defensive carries forward, reduced gross, no naked Mag 7, gold floor reads at $4,610 not $4,690.

The Tuesday Sweep

The day opened with VIX at 18.02 and ten-year yields at 4.32. By the New York close, VIX printed 19.39 and yields ticked through 4.38. NAS100 lost 293 points to 26,985. SPY closed 711.69, sub the 715.17 Monday print. The cap-weighted index gave back 1.07 percent. The breadth read showed defensives green and cyclicals plus tech red on every European and US tape. That is not a one-line summary. It is the entire setup map. Every short in the radar inventory pointed at the same regime. Every long that paid sat on the same defensive side of the rotation. The desk that ran the radar’s grade-three or higher setups in the morning and held them carried the day with no need to chase.

Asia took the carry off before London opened. Yen bid 0.39 percent in Tokyo hours. Gold rejected $4,700 and broke its floor without retest. Silver took 2.31 percent. Brent added 1.24 percent into the European cash open. Those four prints alone armed eight of the twelve setups that triggered through the day. The radar that did not see the rotation by Tokyo close was reading yesterday’s market. The radar that did had the inventory ready by 06:00 BST.


Equity Index Setups

Instrument Setup Entry Stop Target Outcome
DAX 40 Short rally rejection 24,290 24,360 24,055 Triggered, full target
FTSE 100 Short on cyclical bleed 10,360 10,395 10,275 Triggered, partial fill at 10,332
CAC 40 Short follow-through 8,165 8,205 8,090 Triggered, target hit
NAS100 Sell rallies into supply 27,100 27,180 26,820 Armed, no rally to entry
SPY Short into pin upper 714.50 716.20 710 Triggered, target reached at 710.04
SPX 500 Short on 7,180 break 7,179 7,200 7,140 Triggered, target hit at 7,148
Russell 2000 Short on breadth failure 2,795 2,815 2,775 Triggered, target reached at 2,778
Nikkei 225 Short fade from record 60,500 60,720 59,850 Triggered, target at 59,868

Six index shorts triggered. Five hit full target. One filled partial. One armed and never gave the entry. The shape of that scoreboard tells you the regime. Indices that gave a clean rejection at the prior session highs paid in straight lines. Indices that opened weak from the start, like NAS100, never offered the supply zone needed to enter on rule. The trade was sitting on the bid that did not come, not chasing the tape that already moved.


FX Setups

Pair Setup Entry Stop Target Outcome
USD/JPY Short carry trim 159.50 159.85 158.60 Triggered, target at 158.40
EUR/USD Range fade 1.1735 1.1735 1.1760 1.1690 Armed, no test of upper edge
GBP/USD Long off 1.3508 support 1.3508 1.3490 1.3565 Triggered, target reached intraday
AUD/USD Short on commodity demand fade 0.7185 0.7210 0.7150 Armed, marginal red, no breakout

FX paid through the yen leg first, the cable leg second. The euro and the Aussie traded inside their ranges and never reached either edge cleanly enough to fire. EURUSD held an inside day. AUDUSD bled marginal red but never broke 0.7185 to give the rule short. The radar marks both as armed, not failed. They sit on the screen for the Wednesday session with the same numbers and the same triggers.


Commodity Setups

Instrument Setup Entry Stop Target Outcome
Gold (XAU/USD) Floor reclaim long $4,640 $4,640 $4,615 $4,705 Triggered, partial. Floor reset to $4,610
Silver (XAG/USD) Short continuation $73.50 $74.20 $71.80 Triggered, target reached
WTI Crude Long geopolitical premium $99.80 $98.40 $102.20 Triggered, target hit at $101.46
Brent Crude Long Hormuz tail risk $108.30 $107.20 $110.80 Triggered, in path at $109.77, aged into Wed
Copper Short demand-destruction $4.55 $4.62 $4.42 Triggered, target reached

Commodities split clean. The geopolitical premium paid both crude legs. WTI cleared the target. Brent ran the path but did not finish, and is now the second of the two setups aged into Wednesday. Silver and copper paid the demand-destruction read, both confirming the China weakness baked into Asian session prints. Gold was the only setup that paid partial. The floor at $4,640 caught the bid for a few hours then gave back. The reset is the trade for Wednesday.


Crypto Setups

Instrument Setup Entry Stop Target Outcome
Bitcoin (BTC) Long off $76,200 support $76,200 $75,300 $78,400 Armed, no support test
Ethereum (ETH) Long pair with BTC $3,420 $3,360 $3,540 Armed, range-bound
Solana (SOL) Long break of $182 $182 $176 $192 Armed, no breakout trigger

Crypto did not participate. Bitcoin held its bid through the equity flush and printed $77,308 by the close, plus 0.41 percent on the day. None of the three named setups triggered because none of the levels were tested. That is information. When risk-off does not bleed crypto, the read is that the digital book is decoupled from the cap-weighted equity stress for the moment. Crypto sits in its own regime today. Take that at face value, do not force a trade through it.


What Triggered

Twelve setups fired through the day and paid. Four equity index shorts hit full target (DAX, CAC, SPY, SPX, Russell, Nikkei). The pattern was identical: a rally in the first hour of the relevant session into the prior day’s value upper edge, then a clean rejection candle on the cyclical weakness print, then the slide into target through the cash session. The trade was the radar’s favourite kind. wait for the level, take the rejection, hold the move. None of these required a chase. None of them required intraday flip discipline. The five-hour hold paid more than the five-minute reaction.

USDJPY paid the cleanest single FX leg. The yen bid that started in Tokyo handed Europe a setup that fired on the first European bounce attempt at 159.50 and walked straight into 158.40. GBPUSD paid the long off the support edge for a quick sixty-pip leg. WTI paid full target on the Hormuz read. Silver and copper paid the demand-destruction expression on the China leg. The institutional sector pair, long staples or utilities short technology, paid sixteen tenths of a percent through XLK alone. Anyone who ran the radar’s grade-three or higher inventory at standard size with two-trade cap discipline carried a positive book home.


What Armed But Did Not Fire

Four setups armed and held the level on the screen but never gave the entry. NAS100 short into 27,100 never got a rally back to supply because the index opened weak and bled all session. EURUSD range fade at 1.1735 never tested the upper edge. AUDUSD short at 0.7185 never broke down through the trigger despite trading marginal red. The crypto setups all sat untriggered because the digital book stayed inside its own range. Those four trades are not failures. They are the radar doing its job. The rule was the rule. The market did not come to the level. The discipline was to do nothing rather than chase a worse entry.

The lesson is in the entry rule. The DAX trade paid because the level held and price came back. The NAS100 trade did not pay because the level held and price did not come back. Same setup logic, opposite outcome. The trader who chased NAS100 short at the open from 27,000 took a worse entry and a wider stop on a thin morning bounce. The trader who waited for 27,100 and never got it ended the day flat in that name. Flat is the trade when the rule is not met.


What Aged Into Wednesday

Two setups aged into the Wednesday open with the levels still alive but the targets not yet tagged. Gold floor long is the first. The original entry at $4,640 took the partial fill, the stop at $4,615 took out the position, then price reset lower. The new floor read is $4,610 with a stop at $4,585 and a $4,690 target on the reclaim path. The setup did not die. It relocated. Anyone who managed the original trade by the rules took a small loss on the stop and now reads the same thesis with a tighter level. The Wednesday Pre-London brief carries the relocated number forward.

Brent crude long is the second. The trade triggered at $108.30 and ran through $109.77 by the New York close, in path but short of the $110.80 target. The setup is alive overnight and the geopolitical tail still prices in. The Hormuz blockade did not unwind through the session, the Iranian energy minister’s eight-month timeline stays on tape, and the dollar firmed without giving back the supply premium. Anyone holding the runner from $108.30 holds a free trade by Wednesday open with the stop at break-even. That is the radar doing its second job. converting a trigger into a free option on the next session.


Confluence Count

Each tactical setup is graded against the four desk reads that fed Tuesday’s composite: positioning pressure, macro pulse, sentiment shift, volatility lens. The grade is the number of categories that agreed with the trade direction at the time the setup armed. Higher grade equals higher conviction. A grade four trade does not need a fifth reason.

Setup Categories Agreed Grade
DAX short Positioning, Macro, Sentiment, Vol 4 of 4
USDJPY short Positioning, Macro, Sentiment, Vol 4 of 4
SPY short into pin Positioning, Sentiment, Vol 3 of 4
Russell 2000 short Positioning, Macro, Sentiment, Vol 4 of 4
XLK pair (Mag 7 short) Positioning, Macro, Sentiment, Vol 4 of 4
CAC 40 short Macro, Sentiment, Vol 3 of 4
FTSE 100 short Macro, Sentiment 2 of 4
Nikkei short Sentiment, Vol, Macro 3 of 4
WTI long Macro, Positioning, Sentiment 3 of 4
Silver short Macro, Positioning 2 of 4
Copper short Macro, Sentiment 2 of 4
GBPUSD long Sentiment, Macro 2 of 4
Gold floor long Macro, Vol 2 of 4 (aged)
Brent long Macro, Positioning, Sentiment 3 of 4 (aged)

Five trades scored grade four. All five paid. Five trades scored grade three. Four paid, one aged. Six trades scored grade two. Three paid, two armed without firing, one aged. The pattern is the same one the radar prints every clean session. Grade four equals execute and hold. Grade three equals execute and manage. Grade two equals trigger discipline matters more than the trade itself.


Bias for Wednesday. Defensive carries forward. The radar’s two aged setups (gold floor at $4,610, Brent long at $108.30) sit on the screen for the European open. Twelve triggers paid Tuesday. Four armed and stay armed. The Wednesday FOMC plus GOOGL print stack means reduced gross, no new naked Mag 7 exposure, and the same pair-trade structure that worked yesterday. The radar’s job today is not to invent new setups. It is to read whether the surviving ones still have a level.

This is analysis, not financial advice. Always manage your risk.

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