SRP.L
Serco Group plc
Industrials · Specialty Business Services · LSE
$276.40
Close 2026-05-28
✓ ETHICAL PASS

UNKNOWN MOAT
HIGH
Data Confidence: 100%
Full financial profile available
Market Cap
$2.7B
Trailing P/E
19.74
Forward P/E
13.98
Rev Growth
+1.2%
Profit Margin
3.0%
ROE
17.0%
Analyst Target
$322.00
Recommendation
BUY
About Serco Group plc

Serco Group plc provides public services in the United Kingdom, Europe, North America, the Asia Pacific, and the Middle East. It offers service design and advisory, resourcing, programme management, systems integration, case management, engineering, and assets and facilities management services. The company also provides administrative and back office, asylum seeker accommodation or passenger transport services; and supports in the decarbonization journeys of customers. It serves the United Kingdom and Canadian governments, devolved authorities, and other public sector customers; and federal and civilian agencies, and various state and municipal governments in citizen services, defense, health and other facilities management, justice and immigration, and transport sectors. Serco Group plc was founded in 1929 and is based in Hook, the United Kingdom.

Ethical Screen
Business ActivityPASS
Debt RatioN/A
Cash RatioN/A
Receivables RatioN/A
Revenue Ratio (0.00%)PASS
OverallPASS
Score Ethical: 64.7
Score Valuation: 71.5
Score Quality: 54.2
Score Combined: 54.9

Full Analysis

Opportunity scores, earnings history, insider transactions, institutional holders, analyst consensus, and more.

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Opportunity Scores
Valuation100.0
Quality45.8
Cash Flow100.0
Moat40.0
Balance Sheet0.0
Debt Purity50.0
Liquid Purity50.0
Rev Purity100.0
Compliance100.0
Tier: BRONZE · Score: 54.4 · Rank: #964
Insider Transactions
No insider transaction data.
Top Institutional Holders
No institutional holder data.
Additional Fundamentals
Enterprise Value
$3.5B
Price/Book
3.14
Beta
0.491
Analysts
12
Total Revenue (TTM)
$4.9B
Total Debt
$909.3M
Dividend Yield
162.0%
Rec. Mean
2.18
Employees
54,000

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Trade Consideration
The Opportunity
Score 54.9 (P85 — top 15.0% of scored tickers). Unknown Moat. Ethical PASS. 12 analysts at Buy.
Price: $276.40 | Target: $306.25 (+11%)
Score
55
Moat
Unknown
Conviction
Standard
Upside
+11%
The Fundamentals
Revenue Growth+1.2%
Profit Margin3.0%
ROE17.0%
Forward P/E14.0
Market Cap$2.7B
Position Sizing Scenarios
Stop: $234.94 (-15%) | Entry: $276.40
SharesCostProfit to TargetR:R
To Consensus ($306.25, 12 analysts)
10$2,764.00+$298.50 (11%)0.7R
50$13,820.00+$1,492.50 (11%)0.7R
100$27,640.00+$2,985.00 (11%)0.7R
Risk Factors
  • No elevated risk flags in current data
The Verdict
Serco Group plc passes all ethical screens and holds a unknown competitive moat.
Quantitative Grade

A single score combining all analytical layers below. A is strongest, D is weakest.

C
Quant Score
51.6
Risk Grade
LOW_RISK
Layers
7
Risk Profile

How much could this ticker lose on a bad day? These metrics measure worst-case scenarios from historical data.

VaR 95%
-1.9%
worst expected daily loss, 19 in 20 days
CVaR 95%
-3.1%
avg loss on the worst 5% of days
Annual Volatility
Sortino Ratio
1.29
above 1.0 is good
Max Drawdown
-29.2%
Worst Day
Forward Outlook

Based on 10,000 simulated price paths, here is the probability of where this ticker could be in 30, 60, and 90 days.

30d Prob Up
90d Prob Up
Median Return 30d
Liquidity Score
80
Liquidity Grade
HIGHLY LIQUID
Trend & Momentum

What direction is this ticker actually moving, filtered through noise? Is it speeding up or slowing down?

Kalman Trend
Trend Strength
Momentum Signal
HMM Regime
RSI Signal
Technical Signals

Classic chart signals that institutional traders monitor. Golden Cross is bullish, Death Cross is bearish.

MA Crossover
ABOVE_200
Bollinger Position
UPPER_HALF
Beta
Relative Volume
3.7x
Short Interest
Financial Health

Is this company financially sound? The Z-Score measures bankruptcy risk. The F-Score measures fundamental strength.

Altman Z-Score
below 1.81 = distress zone
Piotroski F-Score
Earnings Beat Rate
Earnings Consistency
Correlations

These tickers tend to move together (positive) or in opposite directions (negative). Useful for portfolio diversification.

Most Correlated
TickerCorrelation
EDIN.L0.442
HSL.L0.430
MRC.L0.430
CTY.L0.426
MRCH.L0.402
Inverse Correlated
TickerCorrelation
BAES.L-0.230
KUWAITRE.KW-0.156
ENGRO.KA-0.154
2080.SR-0.133
LW-0.117
Seasonality

Does this ticker have consistent patterns on certain days or months? Historical tendencies, not guarantees.

Best Day
Thursday
Worst Day
Friday
Best Month
Sep
Worst Month
Nov
Fri-Mon Effect
-0.27157162024915166
Momentum Rankings

How does this ticker's recent performance compare to the entire universe? Ranked across 1, 3, 6, and 12-month returns.

1M Return
-2.7%
3M Return
-7.2%
6M Return
+11.4%
12M Return
+46.1%
Momentum Rank
#2204
Momentum Signal
FLAT

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