MRK.DE
Merck KGaA
Health Care · Pharmaceuticals · XETRA
$112.85
Close 2026-05-09
✓ ETHICAL PASS

UNKNOWN MOAT
HIGH
Data Confidence: 100%
Full financial profile available
Market Cap
$49.1B
Trailing P/E
18.81
Forward P/E
13.13
Rev Growth
-3.1%
Profit Margin
12.1%
ROE
8.9%
Analyst Target
$143.33
Recommendation
BUY
About Merck KGaA

Merck KGaA operates as a science and technology company in Europe, North America, Latin America, Middle East and Africa, and the Asia Pacific. The Life Science segment offers products, solutions, and services to academic, research and diagnostic labs, biotech, and pharmaceutical companies, as well as the industrial sector; reagents, consumables, devices, instruments, software, and services for research, production, and testing to lab water instruments, microbiology and biomonitoring products, test assays, analytical reagents, and flow cytometry kits and instruments.

Opportunity Summary
Trading at $113, 178% above fair value of $41. Passes all ethical screens. Ranks better than 89% of screened stocks.
Ethical Screen
Business ActivityPASS
Debt Ratio (0.23%)PASS
Cash Ratio (0.05%)PASS
Receivables Ratio (0.08%)PASS
Revenue Ratio (0.01%)PASS
OverallPASS
Score Ethical: 84.2
Score Valuation: 65.5
Score Quality: 28.0
Score Combined: 50.7
Fair Value Est: $40.57 · Margin of Safety: -178.1% · Tier: OPPORTUNITY

Full Analysis

Opportunity scores, earnings history, insider transactions, institutional holders, analyst consensus, and more.

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Opportunity Scores
Valuation100.0
Quality16.3
Cash Flow67.0
Moat40.0
Balance Sheet0.0
Debt Purity29.7
Liquid Purity86.3
Rev Purity73.0
Compliance59.1
Tier: WATCH · Score: 33.6 · Rank: #4852
Earnings History (Last 8 Quarters)
DateEPS Est.Reported EPSSurprise %
2026-08-062.00Pending--
2026-03-051.941.88-3.1%
2025-11-132.202.32+5.6%
2025-08-072.142.02-5.5%
2025-05-152.162.12-1.9%
2025-03-062.192.07-5.4%
2024-11-132.272.30+1.3%
2024-07-311.912.20+15.4%
Quarterly Financials
PeriodRevenueNet IncomeEBITDAGross ProfitOp. IncomeEPS
2026-03-31$5.1B$659.0M$1.5B$3.1B$943.0M1.52
2025-12-31$5.2B$319.0M$1.4B$3.0B$547.0M
2025-09-30$5.3B$902.0M$1.7B$3.2B$1.2B2.07
2025-06-30$5.3B$652.0M$1.4B$3.0B$892.0M1.50
2025-03-31$5.3B$735.0M$1.5B$3.1B$1.0B1.69
2024-09-301.86
Insider Transactions
No insider transaction data.
Top Institutional Holders
HolderSharesValue% Held
Generali Investments Cee, Investicni Spolecnost, A.s.6.2K$801.9K
Reik & Co., Llc4.0K$514.4K
Pacer Advisors, Inc.2.8K$357.8K
Gamma Investing LLC34.0$4.4K
Analyst Recommendations
3 Months Ago
3
8
5
16 analysts
2 Months Ago
3
8
5
16 analysts
Last Month
3
9
5
17 analysts
Current
3
8
5
16 analysts
Strong Buy Buy Hold Sell Strong Sell
Additional Fundamentals
Enterprise Value
$64.1B
Price/Book
1.88
Beta
0.784
Analysts
15
Total Revenue (TTM)
$21.0B
Total Debt
$12.0B
Earnings Growth
-10.1%
Dividend Yield
1.9%
Rec. Mean
1.81

Elite Intelligence

Trade Consideration with position sizing, convergence signals, and risk analysis. Available to Elite members.

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Trade Consideration
The Opportunity
Score 50.7 (P75 — top 25.4% of scored tickers). Unknown Moat. Ethical PASS. 15 analysts at Buy.
Price: $112.85 | Target: $143.33 (+27%) | Fair Value: $40.57 (+-64%)
Score
51
Moat
Unknown
Conviction
Standard
Upside
+27%
The Fundamentals
Revenue Growth-3.1%
Profit Margin0.0%
ROE8.9%
Forward P/E13.1
Market Cap$49.1B
Earnings Track Record
DateEstimateReportedSurprise
2026-08-06$2.00Pending
2026-03-05$1.94$1.88-3.1%
2025-11-13$2.20$2.32+5.6%
2025-08-07$2.14$2.02-5.5%
2025-05-15$2.16$2.12-1.9%
2025-03-06$2.19$2.07-5.4%
Position Sizing Scenarios
Stop: $95.92 (-15%) | Entry: $112.85
SharesCostProfit to TargetR:R
To Consensus ($143.33, 15 analysts)
10$1,128.50+$304.80 (27%)1.8R
50$5,642.50+$1,524.00 (27%)1.8R
100$11,285.00+$3,048.00 (27%)1.8R
To Fair Value ($40.57)
10$1,128.50+$-722.80 (-64%)-4.3R
50$5,642.50+$-3,614.00 (-64%)-4.3R
100$11,285.00+$-7,228.00 (-64%)-4.3R
Risk Factors
  • No elevated risk flags in current data
The Verdict
Merck KGaA passes all ethical screens and holds a unknown competitive moat.
Quantitative Grade

A single score combining all analytical layers below. A is strongest, D is weakest.

C
Quant Score
53.2
Risk Grade
LOW_RISK
Layers
8
Risk Profile

How much could this ticker lose on a bad day? These metrics measure worst-case scenarios from historical data.

VaR 95%
-2.9%
worst expected daily loss, 19 in 20 days
CVaR 95%
-4.0%
avg loss on the worst 5% of days
Annual Volatility
Sortino Ratio
-0.57
above 1.0 is good
Max Drawdown
-40.5%
Worst Day
Forward Outlook

Based on 10,000 simulated price paths, here is the probability of where this ticker could be in 30, 60, and 90 days.

30d Prob Up
90d Prob Up
Median Return 30d
Liquidity Score
62
Liquidity Grade
LIQUID
Trend & Momentum

What direction is this ticker actually moving, filtered through noise? Is it speeding up or slowing down?

Kalman Trend
Trend Strength
Momentum Signal
HMM Regime
RSI Signal
Technical Signals

Classic chart signals that institutional traders monitor. Golden Cross is bullish, Death Cross is bearish.

MA Crossover
DEATH_CROSS
Bollinger Position
NEAR_UPPER
Beta
Relative Volume
2.2x
Short Interest
Financial Health

Is this company financially sound? The Z-Score measures bankruptcy risk. The F-Score measures fundamental strength.

Altman Z-Score
below 1.81 = distress zone
Piotroski F-Score
Earnings Beat Rate
50.0%
Earnings Consistency
Correlations

These tickers tend to move together (positive) or in opposite directions (negative). Useful for portfolio diversification.

Most Correlated
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Inverse Correlated
TickerCorrelation
BAES.L-0.282
LPTVQ-0.151
KR-0.149
ORDS.AB-0.139
USO-0.138
Seasonality

Does this ticker have consistent patterns on certain days or months? Historical tendencies, not guarantees.

Best Day
Wednesday
Worst Day
Thursday
Best Month
May
Worst Month
Mar
Fri-Mon Effect
-0.08225700385038645
Earnings Drift

After this company beats earnings, does the price keep going up? Drift tracks post-earnings momentum.

Avg Drift After Beat
+0.9%
Beat Drift Positive %
66.7%
Consistency
Momentum Rankings

How does this ticker's recent performance compare to the entire universe? Ranked across 1, 3, 6, and 12-month returns.

1M Return
+17.0%
3M Return
+4.0%
6M Return
+18.3%
12M Return
+11.9%
Momentum Rank
#1252
Momentum Signal
UP

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