INVH
Invitation Homes
Real Estate · Single-Family Residential REITs · US
$28.73
Close 2025-12-31
✗ ETHICAL FAIL

NARROW MOAT
HIGH
Data Confidence: 100%
Full financial profile available
Market Cap
$17.1B
Trailing P/E
30.20
Forward P/E
42.20
Rev Growth
+9.2%
Profit Margin
21.0%
ROE
6.2%
Analyst Target
$31.41
Recommendation
BUY
About Invitation Homes

Invitation Homes is a leading owner and operator of single-family homes for lease, offering residents high quality homes in sought after neighborhoods across the United States. As of December 31, 2025, we wholly own 86,192 homes for lease, jointly own 8,006 homes for lease, and provide professional third-party property and asset management services for an additional 15,866 homes, all of which are primarily located in 16 core markets across the country. These homes help meet the needs of a growing share of Americans who count on the ease, flexibility, and savings of leasing. We provide our residents access to updated homes with features they value, as well as close proximity to jobs and good schools. The continued demand for our product proves that the choice and flexibility we offer are attractive to many people. We operate in markets with strong demand drivers, high barriers to entry, and high rent growth potential, primarily in the Western United States, Florida, and the Southeast United States. Through disciplined market and asset selection, as well as through strategic mergers and acquisitions, we designed our wholly and jointly owned portfolios to capture the operating benefits of local density as well as economies of scale that we believe cannot be readily replicated. Since our founding in 2012, we have built a proven, vertically integrated operating platform that enables us to effectively and efficiently acquire, renovate, lease, maintain, and manage both the homes we own and those we manage on behalf of others. The portfolio of homes we own average approximately 1,880 square feet with three to four bedrooms and two bathrooms, appealing to a resident base that we believe is less transitory than a typical multifamily resident. We invest in the upfront renovation of homes in our portfolio in order to address capital needs, reduce ongoing maintenance costs, and drive resident demand Invitation Homes Inc. was incorporated in 6th June 2012 and is based in Dallas,

Opportunity Summary
Trading at $29, 105% above fair value of $14. Fails ethical screen (Debt ratio). Ranks better than 9% of screened stocks.
Ethical Screen
Business ActivityPASS
Debt Ratio (0.45%)FAIL
Cash Ratio (0.00%)PASS
Receivables Ratio (0.01%)PASS
Revenue Ratio (0.00%)PASS
OverallFAIL
Score Ethical: 10.0
Score Valuation: 30.5
Score Quality: 33.0
Score Combined: 28.4
Fair Value Est: $14.00 · Margin of Safety: -51.3% · Tier: AVOID

Full Analysis

Opportunity scores, earnings history, insider transactions, institutional holders, analyst consensus, and more.

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Opportunity Scores
Valuation25.6
Quality25.3
Cash Flow75.0
Moat70.0
Balance Sheet66.5
Debt Purity0.0
Liquid Purity99.0
Rev Purity100.0
Compliance58.5
Tier: WATCH · Score: 33.4 · Rank: #4899
Earnings History (Last 8 Quarters)
DateEPS Est.Reported EPSSurprise %
2026-07-290.13Pending--
2026-04-290.150.13-14.3%
2026-02-180.160.15-9.2%
2025-10-290.150.15+0.8%
2025-07-300.190.23+22.7%
2025-04-300.140.17+23.1%
2025-02-260.160.14-11.3%
2024-10-300.150.11-26.6%
Quarterly Financials
PeriodRevenueNet IncomeEBITDAGross ProfitOp. IncomeEPS
2026-03-31$734.1M$160.5M$449.5M$404.5M$179.1M0.26
2025-12-31$685.2M$144.6M$425.8M$400.9M$187.4M0.24
2025-09-30$688.2M$136.7M$416.4M$392.1M$185.2M0.22
2025-06-30$681.4M$140.9M$414.2M$401.3M$192.2M0.23
2025-03-31$674.5M$165.7M$433.7M$400.3M$187.6M0.27
Insider Transactions
DateNameRoleSharesValue
2026-05-07BARBE COHEN JANADirector6,559--
2026-05-07SMITH KENNY KELLYNDirector6,559--
2026-05-07HOWARD HUGH WYMAN IIIDirector6,559--
2026-05-05SOLLS MARK A.Officer8,727--
2026-02-27NORRELL KIMBERLY KOfficer7,831--
2026-02-27TANNER DALLAS BRADFORDChief Executive Officer486,845--
2026-02-27OLSEN JONATHAN S.Chief Financial Officer215,453--
2026-02-27EISEN SCOTT G.Chief Investment Officer204,538--
2026-02-27LOBNER TIMOTHYChief Operating Officer248,862--
2026-02-27SOLLS MARK A.Officer15,614--
Top Institutional Holders
HolderSharesValue% Held
Blackrock Inc.64.3M$1.9B0.1%
Vanguard Portfolio Management LLC49.4M$1.4B0.1%
State Street Corporation39.2M$1.1B0.1%
Vanguard Capital Management LLC37.2M$1.1B0.1%
Cohen & Steers Inc.35.2M$1.0B0.1%
FMR, LLC18.3M$534.9M0.0%
Geode Capital Management, LLC17.3M$507.1M0.0%
Apg Asset Management US Inc.16.0M$467.9M0.0%
Invesco Ltd.14.6M$428.6M0.0%
Principal Financial Group, Inc.13.7M$401.0M0.0%
Analyst Recommendations
3 Months Ago
5
6
14
25 analysts
2 Months Ago
4
7
13
24 analysts
Last Month
4
7
13
24 analysts
Current
6
6
13
25 analysts
Strong Buy Buy Hold Sell Strong Sell
Additional Fundamentals
Enterprise Value
$26.2B
Price/Book
1.91
Beta
0.859
Analysts
22
Total Revenue (TTM)
$2.8B
Total Debt
$8.9B
Earnings Growth
-3.7%
Dividend Yield
418.0%
Rec. Mean
2.28
Short Ratio
3.05
Short % Float
0.0%
Employees
1,725

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Trade Consideration
The Opportunity
Score 28.4 (P11 — top 89.3% of scored tickers). Narrow Moat. Ethical FAIL. 23 analysts at Buy.
Price: $28.73 | Target: $31.43 (+9%) | Fair Value: $14.00 (+-51%)
Score
28
Moat
NARROW
Conviction
Standard
Upside
+9%
The Fundamentals
Revenue Growth+9.2%
Profit Margin0.0%
ROE6.2%
Forward P/E42.2
Market Cap$17.1B
Earnings Track Record
DateEstimateReportedSurprise
2026-07-29$0.13Pending
2026-04-29$0.15$0.13-14.3%
2026-02-18$0.16$0.15-9.2%
2025-10-29$0.15$0.15+0.8%
2025-07-30$0.19$0.23+22.7%
2025-04-30$0.14$0.17+23.1%
Position Sizing Scenarios
Stop: $24.42 (-15%) | Entry: $28.73
SharesCostProfit to TargetR:R
To Consensus ($31.43, 23 analysts)
10$287.30+$27.00 (9%)0.6R
50$1,436.50+$135.00 (9%)0.6R
100$2,873.00+$270.00 (9%)0.6R
To Fair Value ($14.00)
10$287.30+$-147.30 (-51%)-3.4R
50$1,436.50+$-736.50 (-51%)-3.4R
100$2,873.00+$-1,473.00 (-51%)-3.4R
Risk Factors
  • Elevated short interest (3.05 days to cover)
  • Valuation stretched on forward earnings
The Verdict
Invitation Homes holds a narrow competitive moat.
Quantitative Grade

A single score combining all analytical layers below. A is strongest, D is weakest.

B
Quant Score
63.1
Risk Grade
LOW_RISK
Layers
8
Risk Profile

How much could this ticker lose on a bad day? These metrics measure worst-case scenarios from historical data.

VaR 95%
-2.2%
worst expected daily loss, 19 in 20 days
CVaR 95%
-3.2%
avg loss on the worst 5% of days
Annual Volatility
Sortino Ratio
-0.23
above 1.0 is good
Max Drawdown
-30.9%
Worst Day
Forward Outlook

Based on 10,000 simulated price paths, here is the probability of where this ticker could be in 30, 60, and 90 days.

30d Prob Up
90d Prob Up
Median Return 30d
Liquidity Score
85
Liquidity Grade
HIGHLY LIQUID
Trend & Momentum

What direction is this ticker actually moving, filtered through noise? Is it speeding up or slowing down?

Kalman Trend
Trend Strength
Momentum Signal
HMM Regime
RSI Signal
Technical Signals

Classic chart signals that institutional traders monitor. Golden Cross is bullish, Death Cross is bearish.

MA Crossover
BELOW_200
Bollinger Position
NEAR_UPPER
Beta
Relative Volume
1.9x
Short Interest
Financial Health

Is this company financially sound? The Z-Score measures bankruptcy risk. The F-Score measures fundamental strength.

Altman Z-Score
below 1.81 = distress zone
Piotroski F-Score
Earnings Beat Rate
50.0%
Earnings Consistency
Correlations

These tickers tend to move together (positive) or in opposite directions (negative). Useful for portfolio diversification.

Most Correlated
TickerCorrelation
UDR0.741
EQR0.718
CPT0.707
MAA0.700
ESS0.693
Inverse Correlated
TickerCorrelation
9590.SR-0.185
4083.SR-0.175
MEZZAN.KW-0.171
SUKOON.AE-0.166
7204.SR-0.161
Seasonality

Does this ticker have consistent patterns on certain days or months? Historical tendencies, not guarantees.

Best Day
Friday
Worst Day
Wednesday
Best Month
Apr
Worst Month
Oct
Fri-Mon Effect
0.15353359204621697
Earnings Drift

After this company beats earnings, does the price keep going up? Drift tracks post-earnings momentum.

Avg Drift After Beat
-0.3%
Beat Drift Positive %
50.0%
Consistency
Momentum Rankings

How does this ticker's recent performance compare to the entire universe? Ranked across 1, 3, 6, and 12-month returns.

1M Return
+8.4%
3M Return
+15.9%
6M Return
+7.7%
12M Return
-7.4%
Momentum Rank
#1569
Momentum Signal
UP

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