CRDA.L
Croda International
Materials · Specialty Chemicals · LSE
$2,845.00
Close 2026-05-09
✓ ETHICAL PASS

UNKNOWN MOAT
HIGH
Data Confidence: 100%
Full financial profile available
Market Cap
$4.0B
Trailing P/E
64.66
Forward P/E
15.90
Rev Growth
+3.9%
Profit Margin
3.6%
ROE
2.9%
Analyst Target
$3,579.64
Recommendation
BUY
Ethical Screen
Business ActivityPASS
Debt Ratio (0.20%)PASS
Cash Ratio (0.05%)PASS
Receivables Ratio (0.09%)PASS
Revenue Ratio (0.01%)PASS
OverallPASS
Score Ethical: 85.4
Score Valuation: 55.0
Score Quality: 33.0
Score Combined: 49.6
Fair Value Est: $1,306.09 · Margin of Safety: -117.8% · Tier: AVOID

Full Analysis

Opportunity scores, earnings history, insider transactions, institutional holders, analyst consensus, and more.

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Opportunity Scores
Valuation70.0
Quality11.1
Cash Flow20.8
Moat40.0
Balance Sheet0.0
Debt Purity38.1
Liquid Purity84.6
Rev Purity77.6
Compliance63.4
Tier: WATCH · Score: 26.4 · Rank: #5026
Earnings History (Last 8 Quarters)
DateEPS Est.Reported EPSSurprise %
2026-07-28Pending--
2017-07-250.930.41-56.0%
2016-07-250.720.31-56.9%
2014-11-070.660.29-56.5%
2014-07-220.330.30-8.8%
2014-02-250.340.31-8.2%
2013-04-250.390.32-17.4%
2013-02-260.330.33--
Insider Transactions
DateNameRoleSharesValue
2026-05-15Breene (Sandra Elaine)442$16.2K
2026-05-11Breene (Sandra Elaine)5$193.0
2026-05-11Breene (Sandra Elaine)5--
2026-05-11Fitzpatrick (Anthony Damien)5$193.0
2026-05-11Fitzpatrick (Anthony Damien)5--
2026-05-11Brophy (Thomas Michael)6$232.0
2026-05-11Brophy (Thomas Michael)6--
2026-05-11Lydon (Michelle Angela)6$232.0
2026-05-11Lydon (Michelle Angela)6--
2026-05-11Foots (Stephen Edward)5$193.0
Top Institutional Holders
HolderSharesValue% Held
Zevin Asset Management, Inc.79.4K$237.4M0.0%
Analyst Recommendations
3 Months Ago
3
7
4
14 analysts
2 Months Ago
3
6
4
14 analysts
Last Month
2
5
5
2
14 analysts
Current
3
7
4
14 analysts
Strong Buy Buy Hold Sell Strong Sell
Additional Fundamentals
Enterprise Value
$4.7B
Price/Book
1.91
Beta
0.904
Analysts
14
Total Revenue (TTM)
$1.7B
Total Debt
$696.6M
Earnings Growth
-99.0%
Dividend Yield
3.9%
Rec. Mean
1.79

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Trade Consideration
The Opportunity
Score 49.6 (P72 — top 27.7% of scored tickers). Unknown Moat. Ethical PASS. 14 analysts at Buy.
Price: $2,845.00 | Target: $3,579.64 (+26%) | Fair Value: $1,306.09 (+-54%)
Score
50
Moat
Unknown
Conviction
Standard
Upside
+26%
The Fundamentals
Revenue Growth+3.9%
Profit Margin0.0%
ROE2.9%
Forward P/E15.9
Market Cap$4.0B
Earnings Track Record
DateEstimateReportedSurprise
2026-07-28$—Pending
2017-07-25$0.93$0.41-56.0%
2016-07-25$0.72$0.31-56.9%
2014-11-07$0.66$0.29-56.5%
2014-07-22$0.33$0.30-8.8%
2014-02-25$0.34$0.31-8.2%
Position Sizing Scenarios
Stop: $2,418.25 (-15%) | Entry: $2,845.00
SharesCostProfit to TargetR:R
To Consensus ($3,579.64, 14 analysts)
10$28,450.00+$7,346.40 (26%)1.7R
50$142,250.00+$36,732.00 (26%)1.7R
100$284,500.00+$73,464.00 (26%)1.7R
To Fair Value ($1,306.09)
10$28,450.00+$-15,389.10 (-54%)-3.6R
50$142,250.00+$-76,945.50 (-54%)-3.6R
100$284,500.00+$-153,891.00 (-54%)-3.6R
Risk Factors
  • No elevated risk flags in current data
The Verdict
Croda International passes all ethical screens and holds a unknown competitive moat.
Quantitative Grade

A single score combining all analytical layers below. A is strongest, D is weakest.

B
Quant Score
55.6
Risk Grade
LOW_RISK
Layers
8
Risk Profile

How much could this ticker lose on a bad day? These metrics measure worst-case scenarios from historical data.

VaR 95%
-2.6%
worst expected daily loss, 19 in 20 days
CVaR 95%
-3.8%
avg loss on the worst 5% of days
Annual Volatility
Sortino Ratio
-1.18
above 1.0 is good
Max Drawdown
-46.8%
Worst Day
Forward Outlook

Based on 10,000 simulated price paths, here is the probability of where this ticker could be in 30, 60, and 90 days.

30d Prob Up
90d Prob Up
Median Return 30d
Liquidity Score
72
Liquidity Grade
LIQUID
Trend & Momentum

What direction is this ticker actually moving, filtered through noise? Is it speeding up or slowing down?

Kalman Trend
Trend Strength
Momentum Signal
HMM Regime
RSI Signal
Technical Signals

Classic chart signals that institutional traders monitor. Golden Cross is bullish, Death Cross is bearish.

MA Crossover
ABOVE_200
Bollinger Position
ABOVE_UPPER
Beta
Relative Volume
1.3x
Short Interest
Financial Health

Is this company financially sound? The Z-Score measures bankruptcy risk. The F-Score measures fundamental strength.

Altman Z-Score
below 1.81 = distress zone
Piotroski F-Score
Earnings Beat Rate
0.0%
Earnings Consistency
Correlations

These tickers tend to move together (positive) or in opposite directions (negative). Useful for portfolio diversification.

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Inverse Correlated
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Seasonality

Does this ticker have consistent patterns on certain days or months? Historical tendencies, not guarantees.

Best Day
Wednesday
Worst Day
Monday
Best Month
Feb
Worst Month
Mar
Fri-Mon Effect
0.27406195711333414
Earnings Drift

After this company beats earnings, does the price keep going up? Drift tracks post-earnings momentum.

Avg Drift After Beat
Beat Drift Positive %
Consistency
Momentum Rankings

How does this ticker's recent performance compare to the entire universe? Ranked across 1, 3, 6, and 12-month returns.

1M Return
+0.5%
3M Return
-0.4%
6M Return
+11.3%
12M Return
-2.9%
Momentum Rank
#2425
Momentum Signal
FLAT

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