The framework reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 3.4% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading oversold. Over the past year the shares are down 5%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 26%. The street (17 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $518.
Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing Limited
0388.HK · HKG · USD · Market cap $490.9B
Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing Limited, together with its subsidiaries, owns and operates stock and futures exchanges, and related clearing houses in Hong Kong, the United Kingdom, and Mainland China.
FAIL · Does not pass the screenScreen close, 2026-09-25 · not a live quote
Last reviewed 10 days ago
Screened 2026-09-25 · the tape above runs as of 09:01 UTC · two dates, stated on purpose · verdict and workings shown in full · never trimmed
What this means: price 388.40 against the desk's fair-value range, base estimate 380.51, over the last year.
- Trend Markdown
- Insiders no filings inside 60 days, left as found
- Positioning no disclosures inside 60 days, left as found
- Options no verdict drawn today, left as found
- Ethical does not pass the values gate
Our analytic regime reads on this name, dated and marked against the screened price. Small sample per name, and separate from the daily-framework accuracy on the Track Record page.
This name holds its markdown label.
Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing Limited holds its Markdown at $388.40. The statistical read favours the sellers, held for 2 days.
| Phase | Markdown · caution |
| Quantitative state | The statistical read favours the sellers, held for 2 days |
| Price at the screen | $388.40 |
| Valuation | 25.19 trailing · 23.97 forward price to earnings |
| Values screen | FAIL |
| Beta | 0.94 |
Five Screens, Shown in Full
Does not pass. Business activity: conventional financial services (interest-based)
| Test | Figure | Limit | What it means | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Business activity | Excluded | Core business clean | Its core business involves an activity the values screen does not clear. | Fail |
Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.
The Ethical ReadWhy It Falls Short, in Plain English
Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing does not clear the screen at the business-activity stage. It operates in conventional financial services, which the screen treats as interest-based, so the financial ratios are not the deciding factor here.
Read as at 2026-10-04. It updates when the underlying figures move, and past reads are kept below.
What the Numbers Say It Is WorthThe Fair Value Range
Fair value range in USD, drawn from the 2026-09-25 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. The price runs 2.0% above the base estimate.
Third-party analyst targets: 16 covering, consensus Strong Buy. The average target sits +33% from the screen price.
Reading the gap · Our more conservative model reads it as roughly fairly valued here, while the Street is more bullish: a quality-at-a-fair-price name rather than a deep-value one.
Price History & ProjectionsWhere it has been, where the models see it going. History from market close data; projection points are our fair-value estimates and third-party analyst targets, dated to the 2026-09-25 screen.
Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.
The Business, in Plain Words| Forward P/E | 24.0xpriced for continued growth |
| Trailing P/E | 25.2xa premium valuation |
| EPS, trailing | 15.42 |
| EPS, forward | 16.20 |
| Revenue growth | +18.9%steady growth |
| Profit margin | 62.9%highly profitable on every dollar of sales |
| Return on equity | 33.6%an exceptional return on shareholder capital |
| FCF yield | 11.07% |
| Debt to equity | 1.55a meaningful debt load worth watching |
| Current ratio | 1.05adequate liquidity, worth monitoring |
| Beta | 0.94steadier than the market |
| 52-week range | 360.00 - 460.20 |
| Moat | STRONG |
| Market cap | $490.9B |
The risks · The things to watch: its business and earnings are exposed to Hong Kong and to currency swings; it carries a real debt load, which raises the stakes if revenue slips.
Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.
Where & How to Trade0388.HK trades on HKG (the company is based in Hong Kong). As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.
Every Entry, As Written
The framework has shifted from accumulation to markdown since the last review. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 3.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading oversold. Over the past year the shares are down 5%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 26%. The street (17 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $518.
The framework has shifted from markdown to accumulation since the last review. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved up 6.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading oversold. Over the past year the shares are down 5%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 26%. The street (17 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $518.
The framework reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved up 1.1% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with ethical screening pending. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading oversold. Over the past year the shares are down 5%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 26%. The street (17 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $518.
The framework reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with ethical screening pending. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading oversold. Over the past year the shares are down 5%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 26%. The street (17 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $518.
The framework reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with ethical screening pending. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns.
The framework reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with ethical screening pending. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns.
The framework reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Ethical screening: PASS with ethical screening pending. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.
- Financial Services Roundup: Market Talk The Wall Street Journal · 21d ago
- Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing Ltd (HKXCF) (H1 2026) Earnings Call Highlights: Record Revenue ... GuruFocus.com · 22 Aug 2026
- Hong Kong’s Exchange Operator Posts Record Quarter on Surging IPOs, Trading Activity The Wall Street Journal · 19 Aug 2026
- HKEX Sees Strong IPO Pipeline With International Firms Bloomberg · 19 Aug 2026
- Hong Kong Exchange Posts Record Earnings on IPO, Trading Boom Bloomberg · 19 Aug 2026
Headlines from third-party outlets, linked for reference: not our reporting, not advice.
Screened names in the same industry · explore each on its own page.
| Period | Price then | Price return | Divs per share | $1,000 became | Total return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 month | $425.40 | -10.0% | · | $900 | -10.0% |
| 2 months | $408.40 | -6.2% | · | $938 | -6.2% |
| 3 months | $406.40 | -5.8% | · | $942 | -5.8% |
| 6 months | $395.51 | -3.2% | $6.52 | $985 | -1.5% |
| 1 year | $402.91 | -4.9% | $12.52 | $982 | -1.8% |
| 2 years | $254.58 | +50.4% | $21.78 | $1,590 | +59.0% |
| 3 years | $281.43 | +36.1% | $30.19 | $1,468 | +46.8% |
| 5 years | $408.43 | -6.2% | $46.20 | $1,051 | +5.1% |
Historical returns from market close data. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
This entry now belongs to the ledger. Whatever 0388.HK does next, these words stay.
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Join the deskScreening is research, not a fatwa and not financial advice. Figures are drawn from public accounts at the screen date shown. Always manage your risk.