Rundown – NAS100USD 15/05/2025

Titan Protect – Alpha Insights

🔹 Instrument: $NAS100USD
🛡️ Signal Type: Bullish Continuation | Cautious Breakout

Price extended above yesterday’s inverted head-and-shoulders neckline and is now consolidating at the point-of-control around 21 170–21 270, riding the FAST and MEAN guides. Momentum remains positive, but implied volatility is elevated (VIX ≈ 18.3), so expect choppy swings ahead.


🔍 Supporting Titan Indicator References

Trend Alignment: ✅ Bullish on all three tracked time-frames (3 / 3)
Sentiment Gauge: ❌ 20 % Buy / 80 % Sell – follow-through remains thin
Macro Score: ⚙️ 64 % – constructive but not euphoric
Volatility Matrix: Expansion phase – implied vol elevated
Titan Guide Lines: Price riding FAST & MEAN, well above SLOW support at 20 800
Checklist: Mixed – caution flags are weak sentiment and thin liquidity


📌 Quick Setup Snapshot

Breakout Trigger: Daily close above 21 350 opens the 21 600 → 22 250 path
Compression Floor: 21 050 – 20 800 (FAST / SLOW confluence)
Invalidation Zone: Clean daily close beneath 20 800 flips bias neutral-to-short
Scalp Bias: Long on holds above 21 050; fade if 20 800 breaks and fails to reclaim
Core Positioning: Partial longs from the breakout remain on; stops trailed to 20 860; targets 22 250 then 23 460

📊 Titan Indicator Snapshot

Metric Status Comment
Trade Confidence 🟡 56 % Moderate conviction; thin follow-through
💪 Price Strength 🟡 50 % Neutral mid-zone
💬 Sentiment 🟢 Buy 20 % / 🔴 Sell 80 % Crowd chasing higher; fade risk exists
🔄 Momentum 🟢 Aligned Confirms bullish tilt
🔊 Volume 🔴 Low (–21 % avg) Thin liquidity; don’t chase moves
Phase 🟢 Expansion (> 6 %) Breakout regime
🌡️ Range Heat 🟡 Cool Extended but still room to run
📍 Location 🟢 At POC Price hugging value

🛠️ Actionable Setup Levels

Bias Stop Target
Scalp-Long 21 049 21 350
Intraday-Long 21 050 21 600
Macro-Current 20 860 23 460

🧠 Titan Summary Breakdown

🧭 Market Overview: Yesterday’s cooler-than-expected CPI print (+0.2 % m/m, 2.3 % y/y) sparked the broad rally. Today’s US PPI prints at 08 : 30 ET, followed by Powell’s remarks—both are potential volatility catalysts.

💡 Sector Flow: Semiconductors and AI infrastructure continue to lead; discretionary holds up; defensives and utilities lag—classic risk-on rotation.

🎯 Price Action: NASDAQ 100 is coiling at the breakout zone with no aggressive profit-taking so far. Structure remains intact, but volume has not yet picked up.

🔍 What I’m Seeing: Buyer conviction shows in the post-CPI surge, but thin follow-through and high vol warn against chasing. A hold above 21 050 keeps the bull case alive; failure risks a deeper pull-back toward 20 800.

🌐 Macro View: With PPI and Powell on deck, day-of event liquidity will be thin. Elevated vol favours smaller size and letting levels confirm before scaling.


Final Word
The breakout is valid, yet elevated volatility and weak sentiment counsel patience. I’m running a 30 % size bias, ready to add on strength above 21 350 and step aside quickly if 20 800 fails. Patience over prediction—trade the levels, not the hope.

This is not financial advice—it’s how I’m managing my own book using Titan Protect.

🔒 Dynamic Guardian Full Panel Cheat-Sheet (Members Only Preview)

Metric Raw Status Interpretation
🕒 Session Closing Session (Risk Management & Positioning) We’re in the final hour—focus on risk control and position sizing.
🔄 Session Flow Mid-Day Market momentum has plateaued—key levels may hold or flip.
Bar Clock 65 m left Time remaining until the current daily bar closes.
🔳 Shape Signal No Shape Signal No reversal or continuation pattern detected by the panel.
1️⃣ Last Bar Close Bull Close Tight 56 % cont. Strong close, but narrow range—caution on follow-through.
🎯 Trade Confidence 🟡 56 % Moderate conviction—wait for a decisive move.
🎛️ Combined Signal 🟢 BUY Overall signals favour long entries.
💪 Price Strength 🟡 50 % Mid-range—no extreme overbought/oversold condition.
💬 Sentiment 🟢 Buy 20 % / 🔴 Sell 80 % Crowd is predominantly short—contrarian fade opportunity.
🏷️ Signal Quality C-Weak Signals align, but quality is average—stay nimble.
✔️ Sent. OK Sentiment module sees no immediate risk.
✔️ Pat. OK Pattern checks passed—no alerts.
✔️ Mom. OK Momentum confirms the current bias.
Vol. Volume module is neutral.
✔️ Flow OK Order-flow is not contradicting the directional bias.
🛠️ Setup Bullish Current setup supports a long bias.
📈 Trend Match Match Higher- and lower-timeframe trends are aligned.
🔪 Scalp Long / Bearish Short-term lean long, but watch for intraday pullbacks.
🕒 Intraday Bullish / Long Intraday pressure is on the long side.
🌐 Market Bullish Overall market environment supports upside.
🌍 Macro Current Bullish / Accumulation / Long Medium-term accumulation phase—bullish.
📅 Macro Long-Term Bullish / Accumulation / Long Long-term sentiment remains constructive.
📊 TF Alignment 3 / 3 All three tracked timeframes confirm the same direction.
🔥 Trend Breadth 3 / 3 Market breadth is uniformly supporting the trend.
Phase Expansion (> 6 %) Volatility regime is expansionary—expect wide swings.
🔊 Volume Thin Liquidity (× 0.1) Lower-than-normal volume—price moves may be erratic.
📉 Vol Avg Low (– 21 %) On-average volume is well below normal.
🗺️ Regime Normal No regime shift—markets behaving within expected parameters.
🌡️ Range Stretch Cool Recent move is extended but retains room to run further.
📍 POC Proximity At POC Price is testing the point-of-control—key value area.
⚖️ Control 17.9 % above Control Price trading well above control level—bullish context.
👉 Gap Status Gap Filling Price is retracing to fill yesterday’s gap—common mean-reversion.
🌡️ Range Heat Extreme Current range is at the upper threshold—potential for pullback.
🔍 Patterns: Squeeze-Break None No squeeze-break or volatility roll-off patterns detected.
🛑 Exhaustion Low No signs of exhaustion—trend may continue.
🔄 Mean-Reversion Dormant No mean-reversion signals—trend remains dominant.
ORB Failure Opening range boundary holds—no failure.
Double-Inside No No double-inside reversal pattern.
📉 Divergence None No momentum vs. price divergence detected.
⚖️ Size Bias 30 % of normal Position sizes are reduced due to elevated event risk.
🛡️ Adaptive Protection Active Protective algorithms are engaging—stop placement widened.
📏 Position Size (max risk) S: 14 % / L: 28 % / M: 56 % Maximum risk per timeframe is scaled to these percentages.
🎯 RR (Scalp) 2.0 R Risk/reward for scalp trades targets 2R.
Live R 2.0 Current live trade offers a 2.0 reward multiple.
⚠️ Session-Shift Transition (Watch Flips) Potential flip area—monitor for shift in session direction.
🪙 End-Week Trim No end-of-week trimming scheduled.
🛡️ Equity Guard Equity guard module inactive.
📰 News Risk No high-impact news events pending.
🔄 Momentum vs Setup Aligned Momentum aligns with the setup—bolsters conviction.
💡 Insight Ultra-Consensus Long Broad consensus among modules supports a strong long bias.

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