Market Watch – Daily – 30/06/2025 – London Close / NY Midday Check

Alpha Insights — U.S. Daily Macro Watch

🛡️

Titan Performance Check – June 30, 2025

📍 Time: 11:00 NY / 17:00 GMT
📦 Assets: SPX500USD, NAS100USD, SPX, NDX, SPY, QQQ, BTCUSD, DXY, Gold, Yields, VIX


🔍 1. SPX500USD / SPX / SPY

📌 Pre-Market Map:

  • Gamma Flip Zone: 6,150

  • Max Pain: 6,100

  • Call Wall: 6,250

  • Compression Band: 6,120–6,200

  • Breakout Trigger: 6,225+

📈 Live Status:

  • SPX500USD: 6,190.4

  • SPX Index: 6,184.70

  • SPY: $615.99

  • ⚙️ Price is holding firmly in the compression band.

  • 🔄 Gamma flip is respected, acting as intraday bid zone.

Respected:

  • Compression range = magnet

  • Gamma flip pivoting price action

  • No breakout → no chase

  • SPY tracking tightly to gamma map ($612–$616)


🔍 2. NAS100USD / NDX / QQQ

📌 Pre-Market Map:

  • Gamma Flip: 22,500

  • Max Pain: 22,000–22,100

  • Call Wall: 23,000

  • Compression Band: 22,300–22,800

  • Breakout Trigger: 22,800+

📈 Live Status:

  • NAS100USD: 22,636.2

  • NDX Index: 22,603.61

  • QQQ: $550.07

  • NQ Futures: 22,814.25

  • 💡 Price wedged perfectly between gamma flip and breakout trigger.

Respected:

  • Gamma flip = bid anchor

  • 22,800 remains unbroken

  • QQQ shows continuation structure but lacks explosive flow

  • Futures confirm compression hold


🔍 3. Futures & ETF Synergy

  • SPX E-minis: 6,232.75 high = within target zone

  • NDX Futures: 22,814.25 = pushing resistance

  • QQQ: $550.07 = bullish but balanced

  • SPY: $615.99 = steady above gamma zone

✅ Index–ETF alignment is intact → no dislocations
✅ Vol-sensitive names stalling, defensives still quiet


🔍 4. Macro Movers & Sentiment

🪙 BTCUSD

  • Price: 107,056.93 (−1.22%)

  • ❌ Softest major asset intraday

  • ✅ 105K–106K reset zone in play

  • 🔻 Risk proxy fading → capital rotating elsewhere

💱 DXY (Dollar Index)

  • Price: 97.254 (−0.10%)

  • ✅ Slightly weaker dollar = tailwind for risk and metals

  • ⚠️ Not yet a full reversal → strength capped, not invalidated

📈 US10Y Yields

  • Yield: 4.273% (−0.05%)

  • ✅ Modest softening — benefit to duration-sensitive names

  • Still structurally high = growth pressure not gone

🟡 XAUUSD (Gold Spot)

  • Price: $3,286.06 (+0.36%)

  • ✅ Grinding up quietly, defending $3,275

  • ⚠️ $3,300 remains breakout zone to reclaim bullish trend

📉 VIX (Volatility Index)

  • Index: 17.36 (+6.31%)

  • ⚠️ Hidden tension rising

  • ✅ Confirming “don’t chase” environment


🎯 Titan Evaluation Matrix

MetricStatusNotes
Gamma ZonesActively respected – structure-led price action
Max PainUnbreached – confirms flow awareness
Compression BandsHolding prices inside high-R:R zones
Breakout TriggersStill pending — setups not invalid, just unproven
Risk Indicators (VIX)⚠️Rising quietly — alert but not alarm
Macro Confirmation⚠️Mixed signals — Gold up, BTC weak, DXY neutral

🧠 Final Titan Summary

“Structure is the story. SPX and NDX levels are doing exactly what we expected. Compression zones remain valid, gamma flip zones remain active, and there’s no clean breakout yet. BTC weakens as metals slowly recover — this is a patient trader’s environment.”

✅ No breakout = no FOMO
✅ BTC = rotation out
✅ Gold = whispering strength
✅ VIX = respect the coil

📌 The Titan Map remains the guide. Stay tactical. Manage exposure. Watch for clarity into Tuesday and ISM flows.


Information only – not investment advice. Powered by the Titan Protect macro stack.

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