The framework has shifted from markup to accumulation since the last review. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved up 6.1% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading overbought. Over the past year the shares are down 22%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 17%. The street (11 analysts) rates it hold, with a mean price target of $29.
Open Text Corporation
OTEX · Nasdaq · USD · Market cap $6.4B · 20,500 employees
Open Text Corporation designs, develops, markets, and sells information management software and solutions in North, Central, and South America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, Australia, Japan, Singapore, India, and China.
FAIL · Does not pass the screenPrice as of 23 Oct 2026Daily close, not a live quoteLast reviewed 5 days ago
Screened 2026-10-23 · the tape above runs as of 20:04 UTC · two dates, stated on purpose · verdict and workings shown in full · never trimmed
Key facts today
- Price27.95 USD at the 23 Oct 2026 close
- Ethical screenDoes not pass
- OptionsOpen interest leans heavily to calls (put/call 0.05)
- Last reviewed23 Oct 2026 (5 days ago)
A summary of the dated readings below, not a live quote and not advice.
What this means: price 27.95 against the desk's fair-value range, base estimate 33.00, over the last year.
- Trend Accumulation
- Insiders no filings inside 60 days, left as found
- Positioning no disclosures inside 60 days, left as found
- Options put/call open interest 0.05, read 2026-10-23
- Ethical does not pass the values gate
Our analytic regime reads on this name, dated and marked against the screened price. Small sample per name, and separate from the daily-framework accuracy on the Track Record page.
This name holds its accumulation label.
Open Text Corporation holds its Accumulation at $27.95. Consolidating, no directional conviction, held for 13 days.
| Phase | Accumulation |
| Quantitative state | Consolidating, no directional conviction, held for 13 days |
| Price at the screen | $27.95 |
| Valuation | 10.27 trailing · 6.19 forward price to earnings |
| Values screen | FAIL · score 70.0 |
| Beta | 1.02 |
Five Screens, Shown in Full
Does not pass. Debt ratio
| Test | Figure | Limit | What it means | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Business activity | Permissible | Core business clean | Its core business isn't built on prohibited lines: no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending. | Pass |
| Debt load | 48.23% | Below 33% | Interest-bearing debt is 48.2% of its assets, above the one-third ceiling the screen allows. | Fail |
| Interest-bearing cash | 0.33% | Below 33% | Cash held in interest-bearing accounts and securities is 0.3% of assets, under the one-third limit. | Pass |
| Receivables | 13.19% | Below 49% | Money owed to the company is 13.2% of assets, under the 49% limit. | Pass |
| Revenue purity | 0.96% | Below 5% | Only 1.0% of revenue comes from non-compliant sources, under the 5% line. | Pass |
Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.
The Ethical ReadWhy It Falls Short, in Plain English
Open Text's business is in a permissible area, but its interest-bearing debt is about 48% of the company, well over the ~33% line, so it does not pass on the financial screens.
Read as at 2026-10-27. It updates when the underlying figures move, and past reads are kept below.
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The Fair Value Range
Fair value range in USD, drawn from the 2026-10-23 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. A 24.5% margin of safety to the base estimate.
Third-party analyst targets: 11 covering, consensus Hold. The average target sits −3% from the screen price.
Reading the gap · Our model sees value the Street hasn't fully caught up to yet.
Price History & ProjectionsWhere it has been, where the models see it going. History from market close data; projection points are our fair-value estimates and third-party analyst targets, dated to the 2026-10-23 screen.
Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.
The Business, in Plain WordsStale software business at a low price but no spark
Picture a company still selling filing cabinets in the era of cloud drives. Open Text sells information management tools across dozens of countries yet shows almost no momentum, with revenue edging up just 2% and margins stuck at 10%. The forward multiple of 5.2 times earnings looks cheap next to our fair value of 33.75 dollars, yet analysts see little upside and rate it with no consensus conviction at all.
We pass because the business lacks visible growth drivers or a clear moat. Return on equity sits at a modest 13% and the ethical screen raises no flags, but low single-digit expansion in a competitive software space rarely rewards patient capital. The 45% margin of safety on paper does not offset the absence of any real operating lift.
Risks centre on prolonged stagnation and execution drift in a market that rewards faster innovation. Currency moves across its global footprint add another layer of uncertainty that could erode even the thin growth on offer. Analysis, not advice.
| Forward P/E | 6.2xexpensive even after accounting for its growth |
| Trailing P/E | 10.3xreasonably valued |
| EPS, trailing | 2.58 |
| EPS, forward | 4.28 |
| Revenue growth | +2.9%slow but positive growth |
| Profit margin | 12.3%thin but positive margins |
| Return on equity | 16.2%a solid return on shareholder capital |
| FCF yield | 21.24% |
| Dividend yield | 495.00% |
| Debt to equity | 1.49a meaningful debt load worth watching |
| Current ratio | 0.81below 1: short-term bills exceed liquid assets |
| Beta | 1.02moves a little more than the market |
| Short interest, float | 0.04% |
| 52-week range | 19.78 - 39.81 |
| Market cap | $6.4B |
| Employees | 20,500 |
The risks · The things to watch: its business and earnings are exposed to Canada and to currency swings.
Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.
Where & How to TradeOTEX trades on Nasdaq (the company is based in Canada). As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.
Every Entry, As Written
The framework has shifted from accumulation to markup since the last review. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved up 11.5% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are down 22%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 17%. The street (11 analysts) rates it hold, with a mean price target of $29.
The framework has shifted from distribution to accumulation since the last review. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are down 22%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 17%. The street (11 analysts) rates it hold, with a mean price target of $29.
Our analysis reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 8.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are down 22%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 17%. The street (11 analysts) rates it hold, with a mean price target of $29.
The framework has shifted from markup to distribution since the last review. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 5.1% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are down 22%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 17%. The street (11 analysts) rates it hold, with a mean price target of $29.
Our analysis reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved up 15.4% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are down 22%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 17%. The street (11 analysts) rates it hold, with a mean price target of $29.
Our analysis reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are down 22%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 17%. The street (11 analysts) rates it hold, with a mean price target of $29.
Our analysis reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns.
Our analysis reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.
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| Period | Price then | Price return | Divs per share | $1,000 became | Total return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 month | $24.12 | -9.9% | $0.28 | $913 | -8.7% |
| 2 months | $20.61 | +5.5% | $0.28 | $1,068 | +6.8% |
| 3 months | $23.08 | -5.8% | $0.28 | $954 | -4.6% |
| 6 months | $32.67 | -33.5% | $0.55 | $682 | -31.8% |
| 1 year | $27.68 | -21.5% | $1.10 | $825 | -17.5% |
| 2 years | $26.22 | -17.1% | $2.15 | $911 | -8.9% |
| 3 years | $37.97 | -42.8% | $3.15 | $655 | -34.5% |
| 5 years | $42.75 | -49.2% | $5.01 | $626 | -37.4% |
Historical returns from market close data. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
This entry now belongs to the ledger. Whatever OTEX does next, these words stay.
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Join the deskScreening is research, not a fatwa and not financial advice. Figures are drawn from public accounts at the screen date shown. Always manage your risk.